Alert archive / Missouri / Shelby County

Weather alerts in Shelby County, Missouri, 2011

124 weather alerts in 2011, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Shelby County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2011. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
124
Warnings
28
Watches
29
Advisories
27
Busiest month
June35 alerts
Busiest day
May 25, 20119 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 2 tornado warnings covering Shelby County in 2011 had a tornado report inside them; 0 of 1 tornado reports fell inside a warning.

Shelby County, 2011

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings20100%10%
Severe thunderstorm warnings16663%771%23 min
Flash flood warnings3167%1100%202 min

Each office's whole area, 2011

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS St. Louis, MO: tornado warnings1352184%5680%23 min
NWS St. Louis, MO: severe thunderstorm warnings51123754%1,03166%23 min
NWS St. Louis, MO: flash flood warnings803457%8483%150 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 9, 3:02 AM CSTWinter Storm WatchLSX24 hr
Jan 10, 3:27 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX39 hr
Jan 17, 7:23 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX5 hr
Jan 18, 3:33 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX48 hr
Jan 22, 4:11 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX34 hr
Jan 29, 8:30 PM CSTWinter Storm WatchLSX19 hr
Jan 30, 3:56 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningLSX60 hr
Jan 31, 2:08 PM CSTBlizzard WarningLSX46 hr
Feb 1, 10:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 1, 3:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 2, 3:55 AM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX30 hr
Feb 8, 3:55 AM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX8 hr
Feb 9, 3:55 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX18 hr
Feb 16, 4:17 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX5 hr
Feb 16, 9:03 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX3 hr
Feb 23, 3:57 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX36 hr
Feb 23, 10:30 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX8 hr
Feb 24, 3:57 AM CSTWinter Storm WarningLSX24 hr
Feb 24, 5:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 26, 9:49 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX6 hr
Feb 27, 1:18 PM CSTFlood WatchLSX11 hr
Feb 27, 3:10 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX6 hr
Feb 27, 5:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC35 min
Feb 27, 5:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Feb 27, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX48 min
Mar 25, 3:26 PM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX31 hr
Apr 2, 4:05 AM CDTWind AdvisoryLSX40 hr
Apr 3, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Apr 3, 10:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Apr 3, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX46 min
Apr 9, 1:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX6 hr
Apr 10, 10:43 AM CDTWind AdvisoryLSX8 hr
Apr 10, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Apr 10, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 15, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Apr 15, 12:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr
Apr 19, 2:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC67 min
Apr 19, 3:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 19, 5:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Apr 22, 9:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX3 hr
May 3, 3:36 AM CDTFrost AdvisoryLSX28 hr
May 11, 11:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX38 min
May 12, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
May 12, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX47 min
May 12, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX49 min
May 21, 5:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
May 22, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 22, 10:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 22, 12:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr
May 24, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
May 24, 3:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX32 hr
May 24, 4:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
May 25, 12:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
May 25, 1:22 AM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
May 25, 3:09 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSX5 hr
May 25, 3:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX6 hr
May 25, 7:47 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSX3 hr
May 25, 10:37 AM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
May 25, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
May 25, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX43 min
May 25, 2:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLSX49 min
May 28, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
May 29, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 2, 2:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 5, 2:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 9, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX64 min
Jun 9, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX39 min
Jun 9, 4:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Jun 9, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX39 min
Jun 9, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jun 9, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX51 min
Jun 9, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 9, 11:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX44 min
Jun 9, 11:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jun 10, 4:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jun 10, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 10, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Jun 10, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX43 min
Jun 13, 5:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 13, 6:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jun 13, 10:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jun 13, 4:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX39 hr
Jun 13, 11:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Jun 14, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jun 14, 3:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 14, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Jun 15, 1:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 18, 5:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Jun 25, 3:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jun 26, 2:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX31 hr
Jun 26, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jun 26, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 26, 10:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jun 27, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX49 min
Jun 27, 12:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLSX20 min
Jun 27, 1:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 27, 5:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 29, 4:09 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX4 days
Jul 2, 2:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 3, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jul 8, 3:17 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX4 days
Jul 12, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 12, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 12, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX52 min
Jul 12, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX51 min
Jul 12, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
Jul 14, 3:29 PM CDTExcessive Heat WatchLSX23 hr
Jul 15, 2:23 PM CDTExcessive Heat WarningLSX19 days
Jul 24, 4:00 PM CDTExcessive Heat WatchLSX24 hr
Jul 25, 4:12 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX9 days
Jul 28, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX39 min
Jul 29, 3:00 AM CDTExcessive Heat WatchLSX37 hr
Jul 30, 6:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Aug 6, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 6, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Aug 23, 3:35 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX39 hr
Aug 30, 4:15 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX4 days
Oct 1, 2:25 PM CDTFrost AdvisoryLSX18 hr
Oct 20, 3:48 AM CDTFreeze WarningLSX29 hr
Oct 25, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Oct 27, 3:55 AM CDTFrost AdvisoryLSX28 hr
Oct 28, 3:59 PM CDTFreeze WarningLSX16 hr
Nov 18, 4:29 AM CSTRed Flag WarningLSX13 hr
Dec 20, 10:59 PM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX7 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20102012

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.