Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 122

April 10, 201154 counties in Illinois; 7 counties in Iowa; 23 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 10, 2011, 6:05 PM CDT for 54 counties in Illinois; 7 counties in Iowa; 23 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Apr 10, 2011, 6:10 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2011, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 10, 2011, 6:10 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 11, 2011, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 84 counties

Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Adams County, IL, Boone County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike42 min
Apr 10, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside55 min
Apr 10, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Moniteau34 min
Apr 10, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson55 min
Apr 10, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Monroe, Ralls39 min
Apr 10, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Ogle, Winnebago53 min
Apr 10, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNWhiteside29 min
Apr 10, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle, Winnebago43 min
Apr 10, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike30 min
Apr 10, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Warren42 min
Apr 10, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Pike, Ralls34 min
Apr 10, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Osage, Warren44 min
Apr 10, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Mason, Tazewell, Woodford44 min
Apr 10, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean25 min
Apr 10, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey48 min
Apr 10, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Morgan, Scott34 min
Apr 10, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery40 min
Apr 10, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade36 min
Apr 11, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 400 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 549 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
400 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-550 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1420 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
549 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
529 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

791 
WWUS20 KWNS 102314
SEL2
SPC WW 102314
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-110600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR EASTERN IOWA
       WESTERN...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
       EASTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ROCKFORD ILLINOIS TO 50 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF JEFFERSON CITY
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND STRENGTH
THROUGH LATE EVE ALONG MERGING DRY LINE...PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE
ZONE...AND COLD FRONT FROM FAR ERN IA SWD INTO ERN MO.  OTHER STORMS
MAY FORM FARTHER E ALONG SSW-NNE BAND OF CONFLUENCE NOTED OVER CNTRL
IL.  WHILE LARGE SCALE ASCENT ATTM APPEARS TO BE DOWNWARD IN WAKE OF
PASSING UPR IMPULSE NOW ENTERING WI...LARGE SCALE ASCENT MAY
OVERSPREAD LATER THIS EVE AS JET ENTRANCE REGION EVOLVES AHEAD OF
PROGRESSIVE LARGER SCALE UPR TROUGH.  WITH SFC HEATING/LOW-LVL
CONVERGENCE ALREADY HAVING INITIATED CONVECTION/STORMS IN ERN IA/NE
MO...AND WITH THE EXPECTATION FOR INCREASING LARGE SCALE UVV LATER
THIS EVE...A POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUSTAINED STORMS.
LONG...SLIGHTLY-HOOKED HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST POSSIBILITY FOR
SUPERCELLS/LEWPS WITH TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SVR WIND AND HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 1:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson2 hr
Apr 10, 5:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox, McDonough and 4 more57 min
Apr 9, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell, Winneshiek7 hr
Apr 9, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cherokee and 31 more54 min
Apr 9, 10:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 25 more62 min
Apr 9, 11:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Cherokee and 19 more5 hr
Apr 10, 1:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Buena Vista, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clay, Dickinson and 14 more64 min
Apr 10, 3:19 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Howard, Winneshiek7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.