Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 152

February 27, 2011Adams County, Pike County, Illinois; 9 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 27, 2011, 5:10 PM CST for Adams County, Pike County, Illinois; 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 35 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2011, 5:10 PM CST (23:10 UTC)
Expired
Feb 27, 2011, 5:45 PM CST
In force
35 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Adams County, IL, Pike County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Shelby County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
680 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

016 
ACUS11 KWNS 272311
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272310
ILZ000-MOZ000-272345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MO AND WCNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 272310Z - 272345Z

MCV CONTINUES TO MIGRATE ENE ALONG SRN EDGE OF THE SNOWPACK/WARM
FRONT IN NCNTRL MO.  ASSOCIATED STORMS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS PLACES AN AXIS OF MUCAPE ENE INTO WCNTRL
IL AND EXPECT STORMS MAY PULSE TO SVR LEVELS AS THEY TREK INTO
WCNTRL IL BY EARLY THIS EVENING.  AS SUCH...A NEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE LIKELY.

..RACY.. 02/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

LAT...LON   39979259 40099145 39939088 39489072 39149106 38889190
            38819259 39979259

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 4:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson and 11 more2 hr
Feb 27, 5:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, DeWitt, Fulton, Logan and 12 more4 hr
Feb 27, 5:50 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henry, Lee, Mercer and 3 more6 hr
Feb 27, 12:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPemiscot91 min
Feb 27, 12:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay, Clinton and 7 more59 min
Feb 27, 1:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay and 15 more9 hr
Feb 27, 2:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton93 min
Feb 27, 3:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Carroll, Cass, Chariton, Clay, Cooper and 10 more66 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.