Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 149

February 27, 20119 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 27, 2011, 2:12 PM CST for 9 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri; 11 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2011, 2:12 PM CST (20:12 UTC)
Expired
Feb 27, 2011, 3:45 PM CST
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 25 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Dade County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Newton County, MO, Craig County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 306 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 327 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
306 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-147 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
507 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
327 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

885 
ACUS11 KWNS 272012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272012 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-272145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN OK...SERN KS...SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 272012Z - 272145Z

LEADING EDGE OF STEEPER LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME IS
DEVELOPING/SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION INTO WRN
OK.  THIS IS AFFIRMED IN THE LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA WHERE DRY
ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES ARE NOTED AT LEAST THROUGH 3KM. 
ADDITIONALLY...VIS IMAGERY INDICATES BOUNDARY LAYER CU FIELD IS
DEVELOPING FROM THE OK PANHANDLE...SEWD ALONG THE OK/TX BORDER TO
NEAR I-40.  AS THIS CU FIELD APPROACHES A MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EVOLVE ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR OVER NWRN OK.  SUPERCELLS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE GIVEN
THE VERY STRONG SHEAR AND ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED. 
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE WARRANTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS EVOLVING THREAT.

..DARROW.. 02/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   36839807 38019456 37289361 36509449 36109764 36839807

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 12:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin and 20 more59 min
Feb 27, 1:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas and 22 more9 hr
Feb 27, 2:46 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCChautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho and 2 more8 hr
Feb 27, 3:24 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin and 20 more66 min
Feb 27, 5:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Montgomery, Wilson56 min
Feb 27, 12:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPemiscot91 min
Feb 27, 4:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 29 more2 hr
Feb 27, 5:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Macon, Marion, Monroe, Pike and 3 more35 min
Feb 27, 5:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe and 3 more4 hr
Feb 27, 5:50 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Mercer, Putnam6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.