Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 636

July 12, 201155 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Indiana; 28 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 12, 2011, 1:45 PM CDT for 55 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Indiana; 28 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2011, 1:45 PM CDT (18:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 89 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Linn, Macon, Sullivan47 min
Jul 12, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis47 min
Jul 12, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby52 min
Jul 12, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair26 min
Jul 12, 2:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMadison, Saint Clair3 hr
Jul 12, 2:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox2 hr
Jul 12, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby51 min
Jul 12, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown52 min
Jul 12, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Pike46 min
Jul 12, 4:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion3 hr
Jul 12, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion27 min
Jul 12, 4:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXClay6 hr
Jul 12, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway39 min
Jul 12, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBrown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike44 min
Jul 12, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXGreene, Macoupin, Pike46 min
Jul 12, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Osage45 min
Jul 12, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXScott44 min
Jul 12, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion42 min
Jul 12, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery and 1 more57 min
Jul 12, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFayette, Montgomery30 min
Jul 12, 5:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHGibson, Pike, Spencer, Warrick2 hr
Jul 12, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXLawrence51 min
Jul 12, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXLawrence, Richland5 hr
Jul 12, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Marion39 min
Jul 12, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPosey, Vanderburgh23 min
Jul 12, 6:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCrawford, Jasper5 hr
Jul 12, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCrawford, Lawrence38 min
Jul 12, 7:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXRandolph3 hr
Jul 12, 8:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHJackson, Williamson86 min
Jul 12, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Saline40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1615 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1615 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-167 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 53 more2 hr
Jul 12, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 38 more87 min
Jul 12, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Christian, Clark and 41 more62 min
Jul 11, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more3 hr
Jul 12, 2:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Carroll, Cass, Cherokee, Crawford and 11 more66 min
Jul 11, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill, Fleming and 20 more83 min
Jul 12, 12:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 35 more87 min
Jul 12, 4:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Camden, Cass and 26 more87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.