Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 565

June 27, 201149 counties in Illinois; 30 counties in Kansas; 52 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 27, 2011, 1:32 AM CDT for 49 counties in Illinois; 30 counties in Kansas; 52 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2011, 1:32 AM CDT (06:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2011, 8:56 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 131 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Washington County, IL, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 1:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas27 min
Jun 27, 1:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Ray48 min
Jun 27, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Fulton, Mason, Morgan, Schuyler, Scott62 min
Jun 27, 1:43 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXAdams, Calhoun, Greene, Pike32 min
Jun 27, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb46 min
Jun 27, 1:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry37 min
Jun 27, 2:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison41 min
Jun 27, 2:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Macoupin36 min
Jun 27, 2:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXColes, Edgar47 min
Jun 27, 2:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte33 min
Jun 27, 2:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCass, Mason, Morgan, Scott5 hr
Jun 27, 2:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Montgomery and 5 more43 min
Jun 27, 2:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Washington17 min
Jun 27, 2:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Logan, Mason, Menard, Sangamon, Tazewell55 min
Jun 27, 2:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXFulton, Knox5 hr
Jun 27, 2:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Monroe, Montgomery and 1 more48 min
Jun 27, 2:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Peoria, Tazewell59 min
Jun 27, 2:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXClark, Coles, Edgar6 hr
Jun 27, 2:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry, Holt, Nodaway6 hr
Jun 27, 3:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph29 min
Jun 27, 3:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXFulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Sangamon, Tazewell6 hr
Jun 27, 3:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, DeWitt, Logan, Macon, Moultrie, Piatt and 1 more57 min
Jun 27, 3:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Woodford59 min
Jun 27, 4:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau, Osage23 min
Jun 27, 4:24 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXColes, Douglas, Moultrie, Piatt6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3777 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2011-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3777 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1305 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
307 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.0
Supercell composite
17.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 35 more6 hr
Jun 26, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren5 hr
Jun 27, 12:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 48 more92 min
Jun 27, 3:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 39 more91 min
Jun 27, 5:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 35 more97 min
Jun 27, 11:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Massac, Pope90 min
Jun 26, 9:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha, Pottawatomie65 min
Jun 26, 10:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Audrain, Boone, Buchanan, Caldwell and 29 more84 min
Jun 27, 3:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 21 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.