Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Watches in 2011

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS St. Louis, MO

January 29, 201129 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this winter storm watch at Jan 29, 2011, 8:30 PM CST for 29 counties in Missouri; 17 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Jan 31, 2011, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 29, 2011, 8:30 PM CST (02:30 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 31, 2011, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 30, 2011, 3:56 PM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
All 46 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -72 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
767 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

707 
WWUS43 KLSX 300230
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
830 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TAKING AIM ON REGION EARLY THIS WEEK...

.LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY AND CONTINUE IN WAVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING
RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44
IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE 55 IN ILLINOIS LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE WINTRY MIX GRADUALLY CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST AS COLDER AIR BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SIGNIFICANT
SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE.

THE GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM CENTRAL
MISSOURI TO WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF
DAMAGING ICE ACCUMULATION AND POWER OUTAGES ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 44 IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE 70 IN ILLINOIS.

THE SNOW WILL END WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE
STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL AS AN INCREASED RISK OF DAMAGE AND POWER
OUTAGES DUE TO THE ICE ACCUMULATION WILL LAST INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

ILZ058-095>099-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>052-059-060-
301430-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
GREENE IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
830 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SLEET AND
  SNOW LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ON
  TUESDAY AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH
  AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT
  AND WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS THAT COULD LIMIT
  TRAVEL FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A
CERTAINTY. THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...
JUST IN CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-074-079-100>102-MOZ061>065-072>075-084-
085-099-301430-
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MARION IL-
WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-
ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-
JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-
STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...
ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
830 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES ON TUESDAY...MIXING WITH AND EVENTUALLY CHANGING TO SLEET
  AND SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL END WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE
  HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE. SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6
  INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO 40 MPH
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
  MAY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE COMBINATION OF
  ICE...SLEET AND SNOW WILL MAKE ROAD CONDITIONS EXTREMELY
  DANGEROUS AND THIS COULD LIMIT TRAVEL FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A
CERTAINTY. THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...
JUST IN CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

&&

$$

CVKING
2 follow-up statements
729 
WWUS43 KLSX 301031
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
431 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TAKING AIM ON REGION BEGINNING TOMORROW...

.A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING
RAIN...WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND
CONTINUE IN WAVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX
WITH SNOW AND SLEET NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 IN MISSOURI AND
INTERSTATE 55 IN ILLINOIS MONDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE WINTRY
MIX GRADUALLY CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST ON TUESDAY AS
COLDER AIR BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE INCH PER
HOUR OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THE GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF DAMAGING ICE
ACCUMULATION AND POWER OUTAGES ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44
IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE 70 IN ILLINOIS.

THE SNOW WILL END DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT WINDS WILL
INCREASE BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL AS AN INCREASED RISK OF
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE ICE ACCUMULATION WILL LAST
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.


ILZ058-095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047-048-050-051-
302300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
GREENE IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-
MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-
MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
431 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
  WILL DEVELOP BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE IN WAVES THROUGH
  MONDAY NIGHT. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE MONDAY
  NIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH
  AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR TUESDAY 
  NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS THAT COULD LIMIT 
  TRAVEL FOR DAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A
CERTAINTY. THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...
JUST IN CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

&&

$$

ILZ059-060-064-065-069-070-098>102-MOZ049-052-059>065-302300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MARION IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-OSAGE MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
431 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND
  SNOW MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE TO
  ALL SNOW DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY. THE
  SNOW WILL END WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF
  INCH ARE POSSIBLE. SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
  ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO 40 MPH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
  MAY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE COMBINATION OF ICE...SLEET
  AND SNOW WILL MAKE ROAD CONDITIONS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND THIS 
  COULD LIMIT TRAVEL FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A
CERTAINTY. THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...
JUST IN CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

&&

$$

ILZ074-079-MOZ072>075-084-085-099-302300-
/O.CON.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHESTER...FARMINGTON
431 AM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES ON TUESDAY...MIXING WITH SLEET AND SNOW TUESDAY...THEN
  CHANGING TO SNOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL END WEDNESDAY
  MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF
  INCH ARE POSSIBLE. SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
  ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO 40 MPH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION AND GUSTY NORTHWEST 
  WINDS MAY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE COMBINATION OF 
  ICE...SLEET AND SNOW WILL MAKE ROAD CONDITIONS EXTREMELY 
  DANGEROUS AND THIS COULD LIMIT TRAVEL FOR DAYS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ADVANCED NOTICE THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA...IT DOES NOT MEAN IT IS A
CERTAINTY. THOSE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING IN CASE
THE STORM DOES MATERIALIZE. IF YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANNED...YOU MAY
WANT TO ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL TIME TO AVOID THE STORM. ALSO...YOU
SHOULD USE THIS ADVANCED NOTICE TO MAKE CERTAIN YOUR VEHICLE IS
WINTERIZED. MAKE PREPARATIONS AT HOME BY STOCKING EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES...SUCH AS FOOD...MEDICINE...AND EXTRA HEATING FUEL...
JUST IN CASE THE STORM MAKES TRAVEL IMPOSSIBLE. THIS IS
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT FOR THOSE LIVING IN RURAL AREAS.

&&

$$

TILLY/TES
716 
WWUS43 KLSX 302156
WSWLSX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
356 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TAKING AIM ON REGION BEGINNING
MONDAY...

.A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING
RAIN...WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND
CONTINUE IN WAVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL MIX
WITH SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT...BECOMING
ALL SNOW AS COLDER AIR WRAPS INTO THE SYSTEM. FREEZING RAIN WITH A
LITTLE SLEET WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE FURTHER TO
THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST
ILLINOIS. SLEET...SNOW...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY...WITH THE MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THE GREATEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WHERE AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 12 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF
3/4 INCH ARE LIKELY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST
ILLINOIS.

THE SNOW WILL END DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT WINDS WILL
INCREASE BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS ACROSS THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL AS AN INCREASED
RISK OF DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES DUE TO THE ICE ACCUMULATION WILL
LAST INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047-048-050-051-
311000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
356 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW 
  WILL DEVELOP BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE IN WAVES THROUGH 
  MONDAY EVENING. THE WINTRY MIX WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE MONDAY 
  NIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. 

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE LIKELY.
  ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM LESS THAN 1/10 OF AN INCH IN
  NORTHEAST MISSOURI TO AROUND 2/10 OF AN INCH IN PARTS OF CENTRAL
  MISSOURI.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR TUESDAY 
  NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS COULD LIMIT TRAVEL
  FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IS
EXPECTED. THE RAPID ACCUMULATION OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. IF TRAVEL IS NECESSARY...
MAKE SURE TO EXERCISE CAUTION. BEGIN YOUR TRAVEL WITH A TANK FULL
OF GAS...AND CARRY A WINTER STORM KIT WHICH INCLUDES A SHOVEL...
FLASHLIGHT...CELLPHONE...AND BLANKETS OF EXTRA WARM CLOTHING.

STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH SNOW ALREADY ON THE
GROUND TO PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING THAT WILL FREQUENTLY REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. SNOW ON GRASSY
AREAS WILL LIKELY BLOW OVER ROADWAYS...PARTIALLY COVERING OR
FURTHER BLANKETING THE PAVEMENT. SNOW DRIFTS WILL LIKELY FORM NEAR
STRUCTURES SUCH AS HOMES...CARS...OR TREES AND COULD BECOME
SIGNIFICANTLY DEEPER THAN IN AREAS EXPOSED TO THE WIND AND AWAY
FROM STRUCTURES. AS A RESULT...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS AND
MOTORISTS SHOULD PLAN FOR A SLOWER THAN NORMAL TRIP...AND BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR SUDDEN DROPS IN VISIBILITY AS WELL AS DRIFTING
SNOW THAT MAY IMPEDE TRAVEL.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-098>102-MOZ049-052-059>065-072-073-311000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-OSAGE MO-LINCOLN MO-
GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...EDWARDSVILLE...
BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS
356 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCASIONALLY MIX
  WITH SLEET AND SNOW LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AND
  EVENTUALLY CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL END
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1/2 AND 3/4 INCH ARE
  LIKELY...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SLEET AND SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 3 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST
  ILLINOIS TO 6 TO 12 INCHES IN PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
  EASTERN MISSOURI.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO 40 MPH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
  MAY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE COMBINATION OF
  ICE...SLEET AND SNOW WILL MAKE ROAD CONDITIONS EXTREMELY
  DANGEROUS AND THIS COULD LIMIT TRAVEL FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ONCE THE FREEZING RAIN BEGINS. TRAVEL
IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. AVOID ANY
DOWNED POWER LINES AND BE READY IN CASE OF A LOSS OF POWER.
UNTREATED ROADS AND BRIDGES...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING LOTS WILL BE
TREACHEROUS. ADDITIONALLY...6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IS EXPECTED
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. THE RAPID ACCUMULATION OF SNOW WILL MAKE
TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE. IF TRAVEL IS
NECESSARY... MAKE SURE TO EXERCISE CAUTION. BEGIN YOUR TRAVEL WITH
A TANK FULL OF GAS...AND CARRY A WINTER STORM KIT WHICH INCLUDES A
SHOVEL... FLASHLIGHT...CELLPHONE...AND BLANKETS OF EXTRA WARM
CLOTHING.

&&

$$

ILZ064-065-069-070-074-079-MOZ074-075-084-085-099-311000-
/O.UPG.KLSX.WS.A.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLSX.WS.W.0002.110131T1200Z-110202T1800Z/
BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VANDALIA...SALEM...CHESTER...FARMINGTON
356 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE
  IN WAVES MONDAY NIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES ON TUESDAY...MIXING WITH SLEET AND SNOW TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON...THEN CHANGING TO SNOW TUESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL
  END WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION IN EXCESS OF 3/4 INCH ARE
  LIKELY. SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE ALSO
  POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL GUST TO 40 MPH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
  MAY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE COMBINATION OF
  ICE...SLEET AND SNOW WILL MAKE ROAD CONDITIONS EXTREMELY
  DANGEROUS AND THIS COULD LIMIT TRAVEL FOR DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ONCE THE FREEZING RAIN BEGINS.
TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. AVOID
ANY DOWNED POWER LINES AND BE READY IN CASE OF A LOSS OF POWER.
UNTREATED ROADS AND BRIDGES...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING LOTS WILL BE
TREACHEROUS.

&&

$$

CARNEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Jan 29, 8:30 PM CST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 8:30 PM CST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
830 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

.UPDATE...
/830 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011/

THE 18Z RUNS AND FIRST GLANCE AT THE INCOMING 00Z NAM CONTINUE TO
ADVERTISE A VERY POWERFUL WINTER STORM IMPACTING THE REGION EARLY
THIS COMING WEEK. FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN AS
EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE IN
WAVES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATION DURING THIS PERIOD
WILL LIKELY STAY BELOW WARNING CRITERIA...UNDER A QUARTER OF AN
INCH.

PRECIPITATION INTENSITY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE AND SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION
FORECAST BY NEARLY ALL THE MODEL GUIDANCE. EXACT AMOUNTS/PLACEMENT
ARE STILL UP FOR DEBATE AND WILL DEPEND HIGHLY ON WHERE THE
TRANSITION FROM FREEZING RAIN...TO SLEET AND THEN TO SNOW LAYS OUT
ACROSS THE CWA.

SLU ANALOGS COMPARE THIS UPCOMING WINTER STORM TO THE 1982 SNOW
STORM THAT MANY REMEMBER IN ST. LOUIS AS THE BLIZZARD OF 82...AND
THE JANUARY 30 2006 ICE AND SNOW EVENT THAT LEFT NEARLY 500000
PEOPLE WITHOUT POWER FOR DAYS ACROSS EASTERN MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS.

THIS WINTER STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CRIPPLING AMOUNTS OF
SLEET AND SNOW...IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES...AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN
EXCESS OF 1/2 INCH. ICE ACCUMULATION OF THIS MAGNITUDE WOULD LEAD
TO POWER OUTAGES FROM DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF
THIS STORM TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHICH COULD LEAD TO BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW AND ADDITIONAL POWER OUTAGES WHERE SIGNIFICANT ICE
ACCUMULATION OCCURS.

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE AREA
FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. FEEL THERE IS NO NEED TO
TREAT THIS AS TWO SEPERATE EVENTS...AS THERE WILL LIKELY BE LITTLE
IF ANY BREAK BETWEEN THE LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE/FREEZING RAIN ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AND THE SIGNIFICANT SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATION
THAT OCCURS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

CVKING

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/358 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011/

RATHER QUIET WEATHER DAY FOR FORECAST AREA...WITH A MIX OF SUN AND
CLOUDS ACROSS FORECAST AREA. THIS HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO WARM UP INTO
THE MID 30S TO LOW 50S ACROSS THE REGION. AS FOR THE FORECAST...
MAIN ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE STORM SYSTEM THAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

FOR TONIGHT...WAA CLOUDS TO BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS REGION AS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS STALLED JUST TO OUR SOUTH. SOME MODELS
INDICATING SOME LIGHT PCPN IS POSSIBLE DUE TO THE WAA...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH WITH IT...SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.
AS FOR LOW TEMPS...THEY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 20S FAR NORTH TO THE
LOW 30S FAR SOUTH.

ON SUNDAY...MID LEVEL WAA TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER AREA...SO EXPECT A
CLOUDY DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW 30S TO MID
40S. WITH ALL OF THIS WAA...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE AHEAD OF A DECENT SHORTWAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY LIFTING OUT
OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE MID LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRY SO PCPN
THAT DOES DEVELOP SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY LIGHT
IN NATURE...MAINLY DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE...THOUGH SOME LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER. IT WILL START OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA AND SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. DEPENDING ON HOW WARM TEMPERATURES ARE ALOFT....COULD SEE A
SNOW/SLEET MIX IN NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA. AS FOR SNOW
AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...THEY WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...LESS THAN
AN INCH OF SNOW AND ONLY A LIGHT GLAZING OF ICE. AS FOR LOW TEMPS ON
SUNDAY NIGHT...THEY WILL BE IN THE LOW 20S TO LOW 30S...AND HIGHS ON
MONDAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 40.

LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY WILL BE THE TRANSITION TIME
FROM THE FIRST SHORTWAVE TO THE MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE THAT WILL
APPROACH AREA FROM NEW MEXICO. AHEAD OF SYSTEM...MOISTURE WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE WITH THE ENTIRE COLUMN MOISTENING UP...WITH PCPN ON THE
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES WITH
THE EXACT STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM...SO THESE DIFFERENCES
WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE WHETHER THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW AND HOW MUCH OF EACH. BY TUESDAY
MORNING...CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS WILL LIKELY SEE ALL SNOW...WHILE LOCATIONS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST WILL SEE A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...CHANGING
OVER TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. THE HEAVIEST PCPN APPEARS
LIKELY TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN A RAPID
ACCUMULATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND ICE...INITIALLY THE HEAVY SNOW WILL BE
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-44 DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THIS AREA...THEN SEE A
SECONDARY MAXIMUM OF HEAVY SNOW A BIT FURTHER TO THE NORTH TUESDAY
NIGHT AS SYSTEM BEGINS TO LIFT OUT OF THE AREA. ANOTHER ISSUE WILL
BE WINDS...AS DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST TO OUR
EAST...WINDS TO BEGIN PICKING UP FROM THE NORTHEAST TO NORTH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KTS AT TIMES...WHICH COULD MAKE FOR TREACHEROUS
CONDITIONS DUE TO THE SNOWFALL.

SNOW TO TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES BY WEDNESDAY...WITH STRONG RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP OFF WITH INTO THE
TEENS TO UPPER 20S ON WED AND THU...WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
BOTH WED NIGHT AND THU NIGHT. BEYOND THAT...TEMPS TO MODERATE
BIT...BUT REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

BYRD

&&

.AVIATION...
/528 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011/

MID CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH WILL SPREAD
ACROSS THE TAF SITES TONIGHT. AN AREA OF MVFR CIGS WAS ALSO SLIDING
SWD BUT THESE CLOUDS WERE LARGELY OBSCURED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BY
THE HIGHER CLOUDS. FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE TIMING OF MVFR CIGS AS
TRENDS IN THE PREVIOUS SET OF TAFS STILL LOOK GOOD. AFTER SEVERAL
HOURS OF VFR CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY...MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT MVFR CIGS WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY NIGHT. LGT/VAR WINDS WILL
TURN NELY TO ELY AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
MIDWEST.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...MID CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT WITH LOWER CIGS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AROUND 08Z. THESE MVFR
CLOUDS WERE BEING OBSCURED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BY THE HIGHER MID
LEVEL DECK SO SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TIMING MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.
LGT/VAR WINDS WILL TURN NELY TO ELY AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE MIDWEST.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-CRAWFORD MO-
     FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-IRON MO-JEFFERSON MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS
     MO-LINCOLN MO-MADISON MO-MARION MO-MONITEAU MO-MONROE MO-
     MONTGOMERY MO-OSAGE MO-PIKE MO-RALLS MO-REYNOLDS MO-SHELBY
     MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST.
     LOUIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-WARREN MO-WASHINGTON MO.

IL...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE
     IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-
     MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-PIKE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-
     WASHINGTON IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 4:19 PM CST, 4 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
419 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
419 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A LIGHT WINTRY MIX IN THE FORM OF FREEZING DRIZZLE...LIGHT SNOW
AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST...
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN SPREAD
ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH AND A LIGHT
GLAZING ON ROADS AND BRIDGES DURING THIS PERIOD.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. IT WILL START OFF AS A WINTRY
MIX THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE IN THE DAY ON TUESDAY...WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW POSSIBLE. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT THAT HAS
BEEN ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

BYRD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 29, 2:54 PM CST, 5 hours 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
254 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301000-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...
BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...ST CHARLES...
UNION...ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
254 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE LATEST RUNS OF THE COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT A
MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL LIKELY BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATING ICE AND SNOW TO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE
CONTINUES TO BE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE COMPUTER MODELS ON THE
EXACT STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. THESE DIFFERENCES
WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE WHETHER THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW AND HOW MUCH OF EACH.

AT THIS TIME...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI ON SUNDAY NIGHT WELL AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WITH A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION SPREADING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 ALONG WITH SOME LIGHT
ICE ACCUMULATION ALONG AND SNOW OF INTERSTATE 70.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME STEADY AND HEAVY AT TIMES DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY. NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL
LIKELY SEE ALL SNOW...WHILE LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILL TEND TO SEE A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION APPEARS LIKELY TO OCCUR ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL RESULT IN A RAPID ACCUMULATION
OF HEAVY SNOW AND ICE. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER TO
ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND TAPER TO FLURRIES ON WEDNESDAY.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH MAY
CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IN ADDITION...BITTERLY COLD
AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH BELOW
ZERO WIND CHILLS.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW MUCH AND WHAT TYPE
OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION. HOWEVER IT DOES
LOOK LIKELY THAT A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
FOR THIS STORM LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FORECAST.

BRITT
Special weather statement, Jan 29, 2:57 PM CST, 5 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
257 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301015-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...
BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY...ST CHARLES...
UNION...ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
257 PM CST SAT JAN 29 2011

...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE LATEST RUNS OF THE COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT A
MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL LIKELY BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATING ICE AND SNOW TO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE
CONTINUES TO BE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE COMPUTER MODELS ON THE
EXACT STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. THESE DIFFERENCES
WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE WHETHER THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW AND HOW MUCH OF EACH.

AT THIS TIME...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI ON SUNDAY NIGHT WELL AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WITH A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION SPREADING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 ALONG WITH SOME LIGHT
ICE ACCUMULATION ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME STEADY AND HEAVY AT TIMES DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY. NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL
LIKELY SEE ALL SNOW...WHILE LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILL TEND TO SEE A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION APPEARS LIKELY TO OCCUR ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL RESULT IN A RAPID ACCUMULATION
OF HEAVY SNOW AND ICE. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER TO
ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND TAPER TO FLURRIES ON WEDNESDAY.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WHICH MAY
CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IN ADDITION...BITTERLY COLD
AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH BELOW
ZERO WIND CHILLS.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW MUCH AND WHAT TYPE
OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION. HOWEVER IT DOES
LOOK LIKELY THAT A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
FOR THIS STORM LATER TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FORECAST.

BRITT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 3:56 PM CSTWinter Storm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 23 more60 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Missouri, 2011Winter Storm Watches in Illinois, 2011Every winter storm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.