Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 935

May 24, 201111 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2011, 4:55 PM CDT for 11 counties in Illinois; 22 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2011, 4:55 PM CDT (21:55 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Pike County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Scott County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 518 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
518 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
941 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

107 
ACUS11 KWNS 242155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242155 
ILZ000-MOZ000-242300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0935
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/E-CNTRL MO...W-CNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 359...

VALID 242155Z - 242300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 359
CONTINUES.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES FORWARD PROPAGATING QLCS HAS
UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING DURING THE LAST HR AS IT ENCOUNTERS
A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. MEANWHILE OVER FAR S-SWRN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH...SWD TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS INTERCEPTING NWD RETURN OF
RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPR 60S/.
RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE AIRMASS WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND
UNCAPPED OVER THIS AREA...WHICH COULD FAVOR INITIATION OF NEW STORMS
DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS. IF NEW ACTIVITY OCCURS...SHEAR PROFILES
WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. OTHERWISE...AS QLCS CONTINUES TO
DECAY DURING THE NEXT HR OR TWO OVER NERN/E-CNTRL MO AND W-CNTRL
IL...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL SHOULD BEGIN TO WANE.

..GARNER.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   40239233 40139036 39519034 39518968 38218971 38009062
            38199079 38329237 38559279 39269231 40239233

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 1:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Ford, Grundy, Henry, Iroquois, Kankakee and 12 more94 min
May 24, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 4 more5 hr
May 24, 9:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Cass, Jackson, Vernon87 min
May 24, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Caldwell, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton and 24 more25 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.