Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 929

May 24, 201130 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2011, 1:35 PM CDT for 30 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 25 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2011, 1:35 PM CDT (18:35 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 90 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
90 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-343 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1363 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

422 
ACUS11 KWNS 241835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241835 
MOZ000-KSZ000-241900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0929
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON 

VALID 241835Z - 241900Z

A WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL
MO AS AN MCS MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE REGION. WW ISSUANCE IS CURRENTLY
BEING COORDINATED.

A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT IN NW MO IS LOCATED ALONG AN AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY WHERE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 1000 TO
1500 J/KG RANGE. MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDS SWD ACROSS WRN MO
WHERE THE NOSE OF A 35 TO 45 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED. AS THE
LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND MORE DESTABILIZATION OCCURS...THE MCS
SHOULD RIDE SEWD ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT INTO CNTRL AND ERN MO
WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE. AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE
THREAT COULD ALSO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IF THE BOWING-LINE SEGMENT CAN
ACCELERATE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.

..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   38459083 39229153 40019359 39859463 39099473 38709389
            38319288 37839198 37909122 38459083

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 9:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Cass, Jackson, Vernon87 min
May 24, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Carroll, Chariton, Cole and 27 more5 hr
May 24, 4:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 16 more65 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.