Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 560

June 26, 2011Atchison County, Doniphan County, Kansas; 52 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 26, 2011, 6:55 PM CDT for Atchison County, Doniphan County, Kansas; 52 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2011, 6:55 PM CDT (23:55 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2011, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 54 counties

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Nodaway29 min
Jun 26, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXSchuyler27 min
Jun 26, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Warren14 min
Jun 26, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage38 min
Jun 26, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway47 min
Jun 26, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXNodaway43 min
Jun 26, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGentry, Nodaway, Worth16 min
Jun 26, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Nodaway38 min
Jun 26, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway49 min
Jun 26, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam26 min
Jun 26, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Worth28 min
Jun 26, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan45 min
Jun 26, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Schuyler30 min
Jun 26, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Gentry, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Worth36 min
Jun 26, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess, Grundy, Harrison, Linn, Livingston and 3 more36 min
Jun 26, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess and 3 more50 min
Jun 26, 11:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan42 min
Jun 26, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Chariton, Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Macon and 4 more48 min
Jun 26, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clinton, Daviess, Linn and 2 more46 min
Jun 27, 12:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan50 min
Jun 27, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Carroll, Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Linn and 3 more47 min
Jun 27, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby49 min
Jun 27, 12:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Nodaway24 min
Jun 27, 12:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Monroe, Montgomery, Pike and 1 more53 min
Jun 27, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan50 min
Jun 27, 12:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby20 min
Jun 27, 1:08 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Pike, Ralls37 min
Jun 27, 1:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Ray35 min
Jun 27, 1:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Saint Charles and 1 more63 min
Jun 27, 1:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Ray48 min
Jun 27, 1:43 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXPike32 min
Jun 27, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb46 min
Jun 27, 1:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2189 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2011-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 176 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-268 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
563 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

032 
WWUS20 KWNS 262358
SEL0
SPC WW 262358
KSZ000-MOZ000-270700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 560
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS
       NORTHWEST INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAINT
JOSEPH MISSOURI TO 75 MILES EAST OF JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 555...WW 556...WW
557...WW 558...WW 559...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
SURFACE WARM FRONT IN NW MO...AND W OF STL WHERE A SMALL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY INTERSECTS THE FRONT.  A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE
ALONG AND S OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE MLCAPE IS NEAR 5000 J/KG...AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS.
ADDITIONALLY...EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-400 M2/S2 AND A MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  LATER
TONIGHT...THE DEVELOPING STORMS COULD EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE
CLUSTERS...OR THE BOWING MCS IN ERN NEB COULD DEVELOP SEWD ALONG THE
FRONT...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 6:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Cass, Cherokee, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison and 10 more59 min
Jun 26, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page, Pottawattamie2 hr
Jun 26, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 40 more7 hr
Jun 26, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren83 min
Jun 25, 7:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Crawford, Douglas, Franklin and 5 more113 min
Jun 26, 10:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford and 11 more62 min
Jun 25, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Bollinger, Boone, Butler, Callaway, Camden and 43 more6 hr
Jun 26, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Jefferson, Mississippi, Perry, Sainte Genevieve and 4 more84 min
Jun 26, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Crawford, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson and 16 more4 hr
Jun 26, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot8 hr
Jun 26, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Dunklin, Howell, Oregon, Pemiscot and 6 more64 min
Jun 26, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Carter, Crawford, Dent, Howell, Iron and 15 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.