Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 323

May 22, 201148 counties in Illinois; 41 counties in Iowa; 53 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 22, 2011, 12:51 PM CDT for 48 counties in Illinois; 41 counties in Iowa; 53 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2011, 12:51 PM CDT (17:51 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2011, 10:38 PM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 142 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Worth County, IA, Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Bates County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

112 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 1:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMason, Tazewell34 min
May 22, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Pike50 min
May 22, 1:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCass, Mason, Menard, Morgan, Sangamon55 min
May 22, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Poweshiek, Tama52 min
May 22, 1:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXTazewell, Woodford36 min
May 22, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan16 min
May 22, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Macoupin44 min
May 22, 1:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan, Scott38 min
May 22, 2:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Iowa44 min
May 22, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Poweshiek43 min
May 22, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Keokuk, Washington54 min
May 22, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Tazewell, Woodford37 min
May 22, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene29 min
May 22, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray29 min
May 22, 2:23 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXPoweshiek17 min
May 22, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXLogan, Menard, Sangamon46 min
May 22, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy46 min
May 22, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Linn33 min
May 22, 2:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, McLean, Tazewell52 min
May 22, 2:38 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Linn67 min
May 22, 2:42 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer33 min
May 22, 2:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan32 min
May 22, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray46 min
May 22, 2:45 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Iowa, Linn29 min
May 22, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, Macon, Sangamon46 min
May 22, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette28 min
May 22, 3:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXSangamon39 min
May 22, 3:09 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette36 min
May 22, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBremer31 min
May 22, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren45 min
May 22, 3:22 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNCedar, Iowa, Johnson53 min
May 22, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, McLean66 min
May 22, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Iowa, Johnson, Jones, Linn65 min
May 22, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Piatt46 min
May 22, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXSangamon47 min
May 22, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Washington47 min
May 22, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette31 min
May 22, 3:45 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Saline30 min
May 22, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Warren46 min
May 22, 4:03 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXLafayette, Saline27 min
May 22, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Schuyler25 min
May 22, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Wapello27 min
May 22, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones63 min
May 22, 4:12 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCarroll, Saline18 min
May 22, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Piatt28 min
May 22, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage45 min
May 22, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJefferson, Keokuk, Washington43 min
May 22, 4:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Johnson, Keokuk, Washington43 min
May 22, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry, Johnson36 min
May 22, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette, Saline30 min
May 22, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Johnson58 min
May 22, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Warren58 min
May 22, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Warren55 min
May 22, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Saline31 min
May 22, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWarren45 min
May 22, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess58 min
May 22, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Scott64 min
May 22, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXSaline31 min
May 22, 5:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Warren45 min
May 22, 5:03 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXHenry27 min
May 22, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard23 min
May 22, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Randolph45 min
May 22, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone45 min
May 22, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry29 min
May 22, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Moniteau, Osage40 min
May 22, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery54 min
May 22, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox27 min
May 22, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Muscatine, Scott50 min
May 22, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery48 min
May 22, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson62 min
May 22, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Pettis46 min
May 22, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard12 min
May 22, 5:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSaint Charles38 min
May 22, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry30 min
May 22, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNRock Island, Whiteside31 min
May 22, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Whiteside27 min
May 22, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown51 min
May 22, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage51 min
May 22, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Saline34 min
May 22, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Montgomery48 min
May 22, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell30 min
May 22, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHoward, Randolph30 min
May 22, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox38 min
May 22, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren36 min
May 22, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside63 min
May 22, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Pike48 min
May 22, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls33 min
May 22, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry13 min
May 22, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery12 min
May 22, 6:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren47 min
May 22, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPeoria, Tazewell, Woodford45 min
May 22, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton33 min
May 22, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Montgomery, Pike58 min
May 22, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Pike39 min
May 22, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage and 1 more47 min
May 22, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Knox, Peoria26 min
May 22, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry55 min
May 22, 7:10 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXOsage20 min
May 22, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Warren47 min
May 22, 7:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren45 min
May 22, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLincoln51 min
May 22, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningILXKnox, Peoria, Stark21 min
May 22, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox, Peoria, Stark33 min
May 22, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Gasconade, Osage48 min
May 22, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun45 min
May 22, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Putnam57 min
May 22, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey39 min
May 22, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Saint Charles29 min
May 22, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXGreene, Jersey, Macoupin41 min
May 22, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJersey, Macoupin, Madison45 min
May 22, 8:24 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island51 min
May 22, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island, Whiteside63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 233 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1775 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

483 
WWUS20 KWNS 221754
SEL3
SPC WW 221754
IAZ000-ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN IOWA
       WESTERN ILLINOIS
       EAST-CENTRAL KANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DUBUQUE IOWA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF DEVELOPING ALONG PRIMARY
COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM N-CNTRL IA TO E-CNTRL KS AS WELL AS ALONG
GRAVITY WAVE-INDUCED SURFACE CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY FROM CNTRL IL INTO
E-CNTRL MO.  AMBIENT WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS QUITE MOIST AND
MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3500
J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH 40-50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATELY
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF DESTRUCTIVE HAIL AND TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY STRONG.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 37 more2 hr
May 22, 10:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 7 more2 hr
May 22, 1:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane and 10 more56 min
May 22, 2:04 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy and 12 more9 hr
May 22, 2:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJo Daviess2 hr
May 22, 4:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Douglas, Edgar, Ford, Iroquois, Kankakee and 2 more119 min
May 22, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 23 more88 min
May 21, 8:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 68 more65 min
May 22, 12:07 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more7 hr
May 21, 7:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay and 23 more57 min
May 22, 5:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot57 min
May 22, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 24 more114 min
May 22, 1:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 23 more8 hr
May 22, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 27 more117 min
May 22, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 27 more65 min
May 22, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshland, Bayfield, Burnett, Douglas, Iron, Price and 2 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2011Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.