Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 863

May 22, 20118 counties in Illinois; 36 counties in Indiana; 15 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 22, 2011, 4:16 PM CDT for 8 counties in Illinois; 36 counties in Indiana; 15 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2011, 4:16 PM CDT (21:16 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2011, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 59 counties

Champaign County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Ford County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Allen County, IN, Benton County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -98 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1465 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

011 
ACUS11 KWNS 222117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222116
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-222315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0863
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0416 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN LWR MI...NRN IND...ECNTRL IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 327...

VALID 222116Z - 222315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 327 CONTINUES.

LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN LOWER MI INTO
CENTRAL IL.  THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF LOWER
MI...NORTHERN/WESTERN IND...AND EAST CENTRAL IL WITH A CONTINUED
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.  A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOON.

SEVERAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE MCD
AREA DURING THE EVENING.  STRONG HEATING HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THIS
REGION...WITH MID 60S DEWPOINTS CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE VALUES OF
2000-3000 J/KG AND A WEAK CAP.  THE 18Z ILX RAOB INDICATED VERY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE
SHEAR FOR A RISK OF SUPERCELLS.  STORMS MAY BE ORGANIZING UPSCALE
INTO A LINEAR MCS.  DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL APPEAR TO BE THE
MAIN THREATS.  HOWEVER...SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE STRONG
ENOUGH TO WARRANT SOME CONCERN FOR TORNADOES THIS EVENING.

..HART.. 05/22/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON   39868893 40708858 41968741 42948634 43088450 42448427
            41038487 40328562 39648772 39868893

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 4:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 37 more2 hr
May 22, 10:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 7 more2 hr
May 22, 12:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll and 42 more10 hr
May 22, 1:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane and 10 more56 min
May 22, 2:04 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy and 12 more9 hr
May 22, 2:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJo Daviess2 hr
May 22, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy and 23 more88 min
May 22, 1:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson and 4 more7 hr
May 22, 1:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 37 more54 min
May 22, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSteuben60 min
May 22, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 27 more7 hr
May 22, 2:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston and 11 more3 hr
May 22, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Marquette and 2 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.