Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584

July 2, 201132 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 14 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 2, 2011, 2:50 PM CDT for 32 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 14 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2011, 2:50 PM CDT (19:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2011, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 51 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cole County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTJasper, Porter40 min
Jul 2, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTJasper29 min
Jul 2, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBenton47 min
Jul 2, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXVermilion56 min
Jul 2, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXVermilion34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2626 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -58 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2626 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-129 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1099 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 1:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt, DuPage and 26 more54 min
Jul 2, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian, DeWitt, Douglas and 16 more58 min
Jul 2, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington and 13 more9 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.