Flash Flood Watch 7, NWS St. Louis, MO

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

485 
WGUS63 KLSX 270155
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
855 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY TONIGHT...

.TWO COMPLEXES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. THE STORMS WITH THESE COMPLEXES WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES BECAUSE OF THE ABUNDANT
MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE. ANY HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON
GROUND THAT IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED
THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL CAUSE THE ENOUGH RUNOFF FOR FLASH FLOODING.

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ034>036-042-051-052-
060>065-073>075-271200-
/O.EXA.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONTGOMERY MO-LINCOLN MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-
FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...MEXICO...
ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
855 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...
  BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...
  JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MARION IL...MONROE 
  IL...MONTGOMERY IL...RANDOLPH IL...ST. CLAIR IL AND 
  WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...FRANKLIN MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...PIKE 
  MO...RALLS MO...ST. CHARLES MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...ST. LOUIS 
  CITY MO...ST. LOUIS MO...STE. GENEVIEVE MO...WARREN MO AND 
  WASHINGTON MO.

* UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY

* THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT 
  PERIOD OF TIME ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND WILL IMMEDIATELY TURN INTO 
  RUNOFF. THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-271200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL
855 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  ADAMS IL...BROWN IL AND PIKE IL. IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...KNOX 
  MO...LEWIS MO...MARION MO AND SHELBY MO.

* UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY

* THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT 
  PERIOD OF TIME ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND WILL IMMEDIATELY TURN INTO 
  RUNOFF. THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

BRITT

777 
WGUS63 KLSX 270922
FFALSX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
422 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

MOZ041-047>050-059-072-272200-
/O.EXB.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110628T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BOONE MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-GASCONADE MO-
CRAWFORD MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...JEFFERSON CITY
422 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI AND 
  EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN 
  CENTRAL MISSOURI...BOONE MO...CALLAWAY MO...COLE MO...
  MONITEAU MO AND OSAGE MO. IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...CRAWFORD 
  MO AND GASCONADE MO.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND WILL IMMEDIATELY TURN INTO
  RUNOFF. THIS WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-042-051-052-060>065-073>075-272200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110628T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONTGOMERY MO-LINCOLN MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-
FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...QUINCY...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...HANNIBAL...
BOWLING GREEN...MEXICO...ST CHARLES...UNION...ST LOUIS...
FARMINGTON
422 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...ADAMS IL...BOND IL...BROWN IL...
  CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY 
  IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...
  MONTGOMERY IL...PIKE IL...RANDOLPH IL...ST. CLAIR IL AND 
  WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...AUDRAIN MO...FRANKLIN MO...
  JEFFERSON MO...KNOX MO...LEWIS MO...LINCOLN MO...MARION MO...
  MONROE MO...MONTGOMERY MO...PIKE MO...RALLS MO...SHELBY MO...
  ST. CHARLES MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. 
  LOUIS MO...STE. GENEVIEVE MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND WILL IMMEDIATELY TURN INTO 
  RUNOFF. THIS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

TES

075 
WGUS63 KLSX 272039
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
339 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

ILZ095>097-MOZ018-019-026-027-034>036-041-042-047>051-272145-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110628T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-
MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-
COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUINCY...HANNIBAL...BOWLING GREEN...
COLUMBIA...MEXICO...JEFFERSON CITY
339 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AS WELL AS CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  WHILE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...THEY ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH AMOUNT OF RAINFALL TO CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING.

$$

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
280500-
/O.CON.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110628T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...
ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
339 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...IN ILLINOIS...BOND IL...CALHOUN IL...CLINTON IL...
  FAYETTE IL...GREENE IL...JERSEY IL...MACOUPIN IL...MADISON 
  IL...MARION IL...MONROE IL...MONTGOMERY IL...RANDOLPH IL...
  ST. CLAIR IL AND WASHINGTON IL. IN MISSOURI...CRAWFORD MO...
  FRANKLIN MO...GASCONADE MO...JEFFERSON MO...LINCOLN MO...ST. 
  CHARLES MO...ST. FRANCOIS MO...ST. LOUIS CITY MO...ST. LOUIS 
  MO...STE. GENEVIEVE MO...WARREN MO AND WASHINGTON MO.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT

* SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
  REGION THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY
  HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

* HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUND WILL IMMEDIATELY TURN INTO 
  RUNOFF. THIS WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT
IMMINENT IN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. STAY INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION
IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

$$

BRITT

264 
WGUS63 KLSX 280225
FFALSX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
925 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-098>102-MOZ052-059>065-072>075-
280330-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-110628T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-
WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-ST. LOUIS MO-
ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-WASHINGTON MO-
ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITCHFIELD...VANDALIA...SALEM...
CHESTER...EDWARDSVILLE...BELLEVILLE...ST CHARLES...UNION...
ST LOUIS...FARMINGTON
925 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

WHILE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...IT NOW
APPEARS THAT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED.

$$

TRUETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
104 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
/500 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011/

EARLY THIS MORNING...NWLY H500 FLOW EXISTED ACROSS THE AREA THANKS
TO A H500 HI OVER THE SWRN CONUS.  A SFC WRMFNT EXISTED FROM S CNTRL
KS ACROSS SRN MO AND INTO WRN KY.  A VEERED AND WEAKENING 30KT H850
JET EXISTED NOSING INTO SERN MO AND HAS HELPED TO MAINTAIN ISOLD-SCT
TSRA IN THAT AREA AND INTO PARTS OF CNTRL MO. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
HAS OCCURRED IN MANY LOCATIONS FROM HEAVY RAINS LAST NIGHT.

LOOK FOR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO STRUGGLE TO MOVE MUCH TO THE N
TODAY ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD TO SOME DEGREE.  LO CLOUD AREA OVER NRN MO
WILL ENHANCE TEMP GRADIENT AND NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND COLD POOL
FROM WHAT WAS A HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING MCS OVERNIGHT WILL NOT MAKE IT
VERY CONDUCIVE TO MAKE MUCH HEADWAY THO UNTIL LATE.  WITH THAT IN
MIND...BELIEVE TSRA WILL FADE HEADING INTO MID MORNING BUT WITH
PRESENCE OF FRONT OVER THAT AREA AND WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
APPROACHING FROM THE W...THESE MAY SERVE TO KICK OFF ADDITIONAL SCT
TSRA DURING THE DAY TODAY...BUT APPEARS FOR THE MOST PART WE MAY GET
A BRIEF REPRIEVE.

OLD MCV AND LO LEVEL JET WILL FIRE UP ANOTHER MCS LIKELY IN THE MID
MO VALLEY AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MAINLY E ALTHOUGH BELIEVE
ENOUGH OF A S COMPONENT WILL EXIST TO JUSTIFY POPS ON THE HIGHER END
OF MOS OR ABOVE MOS.  THIS WILL THEN EXIT EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD USE THIS BREAK IN THE ACTION FOR LATER TODAY
AND EARLY TONIGHT TO BEGIN A NEW NEWD ADVANCE THRU THE AREA.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE CDFNT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
APPEARS WE WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT TIME TO RECOVER...ESPECIALLY IN THE
WRN FA...TO IGNITE NEW TSRA BY EARLY AFTERNOON IN NRN MO AND THIS
WILL EXPAND OVER TIME AND PUSH S.  GREATER POTENTIAL HERE OF
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS WITH VERY RESPECTABLE BULK SHEAR VALUES AND
WHAT SHOULD BE A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN FRONT OF IT.

AMPLIFYING H500 FLOW TUESDAY THRU LATE WEEK WILL HELP ALLOW THIS
FRONT TO DIVE WELL S OF THE FA AND STAY TO THE S UNTIL AT LEAST
THURSDAY NOW.  SHOULD SEE A PAIR OF NICE DAYS ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPS BELOW AVERAGE WITH...WAIT FOR IT...DRY WX.

RETURN OF WRMFNT THURSDAY MAY GO THRU LARGELY UNNOTICED FROM PCPN
CHCS...BUT WILL USHER IN A PERIOD OF VERY WARM AND HUMID WX FOR THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
/1225 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011/

CIGS SHOULD BEGIN RISING AROUND TAF ISSUANCE AS A BAND OF IFR TO
MVFR CLOUDS CONTINUES TO BREAK UP AND DISSIPATE. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTN INVOF A WARM FRONT THAT
STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AS A COMPLEX DEVELOPS AND DIVES SEWD. ELY
TO SELY WINDS WILL BECOME SLY THEN SWLY AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
NWD.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...CIGS SHOULD BEGIN RISING SHORTLY AFTER TAF
ISSUANCE AS THE BAND OF IFR TO MVFR CLOUDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MO
CONTINUES TO BREAK UP AND DISSIPATE. A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM
FRONT WILL SUPPORT SCT TSRA THIS AFTN BUT LIMITED COVERAGE
SUGGESTS A CB GROUP IS SUFFICIENT ATTM. A LARGE THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND DIVE SEWD.
DEPENDING ON WHERE THE COMPLEX FORMS...IT MAY IMPACT KSTL DIRECTLY
OR JUST CLIP THE TERMINAL AS IT PASSES. INCLUDED VCTS TO CAPTURE
THE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATION. ELY TO SELY WINDS TURN SLY TO SWLY
AFTER THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF STORMS TO KSTL ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-271115-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
851 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY NEAR A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
SURGES NORTH THROUGH THE AREA AND ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
DEVELOPS AND MOVES THROUGH PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
AS ONE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX EXITS THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING AND
ADDITIONAL STORMS FIRE ALONG A COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND APPEARS MORE
LIKELY FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING.

KANOFSKY