Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 176, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 26, 2011Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 26, 2011, 2:25 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 27, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2011, 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 27, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jul 3, 2011, 7:41 AM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Old Monroe (OMNM7).

Action stage
22 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
27 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514705, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

276 
WGUS43 KLSX 261925
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
225 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 


  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-271925-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0176.110627T1400Z-110630T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110627T1400Z.110628T1200Z.110629T0600Z.NO/
225 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.6 FEET TUESDAY
  MORNING BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC111-271924-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0177.110626T1925Z-110627T2022Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.110626T1515Z.110626T1830Z.110626T2022Z.NO/
225 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  1:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING NEAR 11.3 FEET AND IS FORECAST
  TO FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.50      23.9   24.6   23.6   22.7   22.1

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   11.26       8.6    7.8    7.6    7.0    6.0
13 follow-up statements
701 
WGUS83 KLSX 270301
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1001 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT 

      OLD MONROE 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RISES DUE TO BACKWATER EFFECTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-280301-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.110627T1200Z-110704T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110627T1200Z.110701T1800Z.110703T0600Z.NO/
1001 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY JULY 03.
* AT 7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE AN INITIAL CREST NEAR 24.6
  FEET TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.50      24.0   24.6   24.0   24.4   24.7
993 
WGUS83 KLSX 271648
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1148 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
           THE CUIVRE RIVER AT 
             ...OLD MONROE 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND BACKWATER
FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS 
AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-281648-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110703T1200Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110628T1930Z.110630T0000Z.110702T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.5 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   22.30      23.4   25.2   25.4   24.6   23.4
801 
WGUS83 KLSX 280121
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
821 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER 

      NEAR TROY  

      AT OLD MONROE 
 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER
THE PAST 48 HOURS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-290121-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0187.110628T0600Z-110629T0600Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.110628T0600Z.110628T0600Z.110628T0600Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
  EVENING BEFORE FALLING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MINOR 
  FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

MOC113-290120-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110702T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110628T1800Z.110630T0000Z.110701T0600Z.NO/
821 PM CDT MON JUN 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 25.7 FEET WEDNESDAY
  EVENING BEFORE FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY            21.0   19.51      20.5   11.7    8.1    7.2    6.8
  OLD MONROE      24.0   22.30      23.4   25.3   25.0   23.6   22.3
890 
WGUS83 KLSX 281659
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1159 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
                THE CUIVRE RIVER AT 
                  ...OLD MONROE... AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 



        PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS 
AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-291659-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110702T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110628T1800Z.110630T0600Z.110701T0959Z.NO/
1159 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 24.9 FEET THURSDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.70      24.6   24.8   23.9   22.9   21.9
650 
WGUS83 KLSX 290217
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..


  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER AND RUNOFF DUE TO RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-300217-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110702T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110628T1845Z.110630T0600Z.110701T0959Z.NO/
917 PM CDT TUE JUN 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.9 FEET BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0  E24.30      24.6   24.8   23.9   22.8   21.9
413 
WGUS83 KLSX 291635
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1135 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  

                 THE CUIVRE RIVER AT 
                  ...OLD MONROE

                 THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                  ...EWING

                 THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                  ...TAYLOR

                 THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR 
                  ...EWING 


          
          PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS 
AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-301635-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0177.000000T0000Z-110702T0451Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.110626T1515Z.110629T1800Z.110701T0451Z.NO/
1135 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...OLIVE STREET (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 585) BEGINS 
  FLOODING NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH 280TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 588).
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...JUNIPER AVENUE (LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 513) WILL 
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.3 FEET...195TH STREET (COUNTY ROAD 516) JUST EAST OF 
  MONTICELLO WILL BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 532 (OR 230TH STREET) WILL
  BE FLOODED AT THIS HEIGHT.


$$

MOC111-301634-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0171.000000T0000Z-110701T0800Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.110626T0948Z.110628T1300Z.110630T0800Z.NO/
1135 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL TONIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 18.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 504 WILL BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...YARDS BEGIN FLOODING IN MAYWOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 17.7 FEET...LEWIS COUNTY ROAD 508 WILL BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC113-301634-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110702T0800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1800Z.110630T0600Z.110630T2000Z.NO/
1135 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET OVERNIGHT. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-301634-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0183.000000T0000Z-110701T1200Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.110627T0849Z.110629T1530Z.110630T1200Z.NO/
1135 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS OVERFLOW ONTO LOW LEVEL FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 NW OF PHILADELPHIA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.2 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS FLOODING THE RIGHT BANK 
  JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE COUNTY ROAD 319 BRIDGE AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.1 FEET...MARION COUNTY ROAD 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  THE EAST END OF THE ROAD, THE INTERSECTION WITH COUNTY ROAD 365.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           11.0   21.88      18.3    9.2    6.4    5.7    5.3

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING           12.0   18.55      10.6    5.5    5.3    5.0    4.4

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.75      24.2   23.3   22.3   21.6   21.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   11.00       9.5    5.4    4.0    3.0    2.9
430 
WGUS83 KLSX 300055
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
755 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..


  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-010055-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110702T0800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T2200Z.110630T0600Z.110630T2000Z.NO/
755 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.75      24.2   23.3   22.3   21.6   21.0
422 
WGUS83 KLSX 301446
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
946 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT 

      OLD MONROE  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE BASIN
OVER THE PAST WEEK IN CONJUNCTION WITH BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-011446-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110703T0359Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110630T1200Z.110701T1559Z.NO/
946 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING NEAR 24.6 FEET AND IS FORECAST
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   24.60      24.2   22.7   21.6   20.9   20.5
899 
WGUS83 KLSX 010106
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
806 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-020106-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110703T0800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110630T1200Z.110701T2000Z.NO/
806 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   24.60      24.3   23.0   21.6   20.9   20.3
997 
WGUS83 KLSX 011524
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1024 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT 

      OLD MONROE  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
MISSOURI OVER THE PAST SEVEN TO TEN DAYS IN CONJUNCTION WITH RISES DUE TO
BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-021524-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110703T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110701T1200Z.110702T0600Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   24.75      23.6   22.0   21.3   21.0   20.4
501 
WGUS83 KLSX 020116
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
816 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI 
RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-030116-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110703T2247Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110701T1200Z.110702T1047Z.NO/
816 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   24.75      23.9   22.3   21.6   21.4   21.0
216 
WGUS83 KLSX 021343
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
843 AM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT 

      OLD MONROE  


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
MISSOURI OVER THE PAST SEVEN TO TEN DAYS IN CONJUNCTION WITH BACKWATER 
EFFECTS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-031343-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110704T0320Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110701T1200Z.110702T1520Z.NO/
843 AM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 7:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING
  AND CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 19.9 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LEFT BANK AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.  A UTILITY ROAD IS FLOODED ALONG THE
  OLD MONROE LEVEE ALONG THE LEFT BANK UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.


$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   24.25      22.3   20.9   20.3   19.9   19.6
881 
WGUS83 KLSX 031241
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
741 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT 

      OLD MONROE 


.THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT REGARDING THE FLOODING EVENT WHICH
AFFECTED THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-031311-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0176.000000T0000Z-110704T0320Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.110629T1903Z.110701T1200Z.110702T1818Z.NO/
741 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* AT 7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:18 PM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 19.9 FEET
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD   LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG     07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07  07/08

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE      24.0   23.30      20.9   20.3   19.9   19.6   19.4

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 26, 1:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 1:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
104 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
/500 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011/

EARLY THIS MORNING...NWLY H500 FLOW EXISTED ACROSS THE AREA THANKS
TO A H500 HI OVER THE SWRN CONUS.  A SFC WRMFNT EXISTED FROM S CNTRL
KS ACROSS SRN MO AND INTO WRN KY.  A VEERED AND WEAKENING 30KT H850
JET EXISTED NOSING INTO SERN MO AND HAS HELPED TO MAINTAIN ISOLD-SCT
TSRA IN THAT AREA AND INTO PARTS OF CNTRL MO. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
HAS OCCURRED IN MANY LOCATIONS FROM HEAVY RAINS LAST NIGHT.

LOOK FOR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO STRUGGLE TO MOVE MUCH TO THE N
TODAY ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD TO SOME DEGREE.  LO CLOUD AREA OVER NRN MO
WILL ENHANCE TEMP GRADIENT AND NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND COLD POOL
FROM WHAT WAS A HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING MCS OVERNIGHT WILL NOT MAKE IT
VERY CONDUCIVE TO MAKE MUCH HEADWAY THO UNTIL LATE.  WITH THAT IN
MIND...BELIEVE TSRA WILL FADE HEADING INTO MID MORNING BUT WITH
PRESENCE OF FRONT OVER THAT AREA AND WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
APPROACHING FROM THE W...THESE MAY SERVE TO KICK OFF ADDITIONAL SCT
TSRA DURING THE DAY TODAY...BUT APPEARS FOR THE MOST PART WE MAY GET
A BRIEF REPRIEVE.

OLD MCV AND LO LEVEL JET WILL FIRE UP ANOTHER MCS LIKELY IN THE MID
MO VALLEY AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MAINLY E ALTHOUGH BELIEVE
ENOUGH OF A S COMPONENT WILL EXIST TO JUSTIFY POPS ON THE HIGHER END
OF MOS OR ABOVE MOS.  THIS WILL THEN EXIT EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD USE THIS BREAK IN THE ACTION FOR LATER TODAY
AND EARLY TONIGHT TO BEGIN A NEW NEWD ADVANCE THRU THE AREA.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE CDFNT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
APPEARS WE WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT TIME TO RECOVER...ESPECIALLY IN THE
WRN FA...TO IGNITE NEW TSRA BY EARLY AFTERNOON IN NRN MO AND THIS
WILL EXPAND OVER TIME AND PUSH S.  GREATER POTENTIAL HERE OF
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS WITH VERY RESPECTABLE BULK SHEAR VALUES AND
WHAT SHOULD BE A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN FRONT OF IT.

AMPLIFYING H500 FLOW TUESDAY THRU LATE WEEK WILL HELP ALLOW THIS
FRONT TO DIVE WELL S OF THE FA AND STAY TO THE S UNTIL AT LEAST
THURSDAY NOW.  SHOULD SEE A PAIR OF NICE DAYS ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPS BELOW AVERAGE WITH...WAIT FOR IT...DRY WX.

RETURN OF WRMFNT THURSDAY MAY GO THRU LARGELY UNNOTICED FROM PCPN
CHCS...BUT WILL USHER IN A PERIOD OF VERY WARM AND HUMID WX FOR THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
/1225 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011/

CIGS SHOULD BEGIN RISING AROUND TAF ISSUANCE AS A BAND OF IFR TO
MVFR CLOUDS CONTINUES TO BREAK UP AND DISSIPATE. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTN INVOF A WARM FRONT THAT
STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AS A COMPLEX DEVELOPS AND DIVES SEWD. ELY
TO SELY WINDS WILL BECOME SLY THEN SWLY AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
NWD.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL...CIGS SHOULD BEGIN RISING SHORTLY AFTER TAF
ISSUANCE AS THE BAND OF IFR TO MVFR CLOUDS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MO
CONTINUES TO BREAK UP AND DISSIPATE. A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM
FRONT WILL SUPPORT SCT TSRA THIS AFTN BUT LIMITED COVERAGE
SUGGESTS A CB GROUP IS SUFFICIENT ATTM. A LARGE THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND DIVE SEWD.
DEPENDING ON WHERE THE COMPLEX FORMS...IT MAY IMPACT KSTL DIRECTLY
OR JUST CLIP THE TERMINAL AS IT PASSES. INCLUDED VCTS TO CAPTURE
THE UNCERTAINTY IN LOCATION. ELY TO SELY WINDS TURN SLY TO SWLY
AFTER THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF STORMS TO KSTL ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

KANOFSKY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 8:51 AM CDT, 5 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-271115-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
851 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY NEAR A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
SURGES NORTH THROUGH THE AREA AND ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
DEVELOPS AND MOVES THROUGH PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL
ILLINOIS. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
AS ONE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX EXITS THE AREA ON MONDAY MORNING AND
ADDITIONAL STORMS FIRE ALONG A COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND APPEARS MORE
LIKELY FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING.

KANOFSKY

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Jefferson, Washington49 min
Jun 25, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles39 min
Jun 25, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington45 min
Jun 25, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Saint Francois, Washington42 min
Jun 25, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis51 min
Jun 25, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve48 min
Jun 25, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles47 min
Jun 25, 8:33 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLewis6 hr
Jun 25, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington48 min
Jun 25, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis44 min
Jun 25, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington38 min
Jun 25, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois23 min
Jun 25, 10:01 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington6 hr
Jun 25, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington43 min
Jun 25, 11:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington45 min
Jun 25, 11:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Washington22 min
Jun 25, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis49 min
Jun 25, 11:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois40 min
Jun 25, 11:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis6 hr
Jun 26, 12:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois39 min
Jun 26, 12:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren and 1 more6 hr
Jun 26, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve33 min
Jun 26, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis47 min
Jun 26, 1:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles13 hr
Jun 26, 2:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXSainte Genevieve4 hr
Jun 26, 6:29 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis12 hr
Jun 26, 2:25 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis4 days
Jun 26, 2:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 20 more31 hr
Jun 26, 3:11 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls6 days
Jun 26, 4:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Francois6 hr
Jun 26, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds30 min
Jun 26, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Francois, Washington29 min
Jun 26, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Francois, Washington38 min
Jun 26, 4:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXWashington6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.