Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314

June 25, 202138 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2021, 1:43 PM CDT for 38 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 1:43 PM CDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Clay County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 1:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Chase, Marion26 min
Jun 25, 2:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase41 min
Jun 25, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler44 min
Jun 25, 2:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon, Morris32 min
Jun 25, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Lyon, Osage21 min
Jun 25, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon, Morris, Wabaunsee11 min
Jun 25, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase26 min
Jun 25, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage50 min
Jun 25, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJefferson, Shawnee34 min
Jun 25, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Johnson33 min
Jun 25, 3:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage7 hr
Jun 25, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte24 min
Jun 25, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey, Franklin36 min
Jun 25, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee48 min
Jun 25, 3:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXMiami6 hr
Jun 25, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee, Wabaunsee41 min
Jun 25, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Franklin48 min
Jun 25, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Leavenworth, Wyandotte46 min
Jun 25, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard38 min
Jun 25, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood32 min
Jun 25, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson44 min
Jun 25, 4:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey, Franklin6 hr
Jun 25, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDickinson24 min
Jun 25, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Jefferson, Shawnee36 min
Jun 25, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Linn, Miami35 min
Jun 25, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDickinson, Geary, Riley43 min
Jun 25, 4:52 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXHenry, Johnson23 min
Jun 25, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton53 min
Jun 25, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson, Pettis49 min
Jun 25, 4:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXHenry, Johnson6 hr
Jun 25, 5:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCoffey, Lyon6 hr
Jun 25, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson55 min
Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Linn, Miami39 min
Jun 25, 5:16 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatICTChase, Marion5 hr
Jun 25, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Pottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee40 min
Jun 25, 5:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXLinn, Miami6 hr
Jun 25, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Franklin32 min
Jun 25, 6:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Saline6 hr
Jun 25, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, Marion55 min
Jun 25, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarper, Kingman66 min
Jun 25, 6:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey4 hr
Jun 25, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMcPherson, Reno, Rice58 min
Jun 25, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey67 min
Jun 25, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSedgwick63 min
Jun 25, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMcPherson, Marion61 min
Jun 25, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler62 min
Jun 25, 8:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase, Greenwood55 min
Jun 25, 8:45 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatICTMarion6 hr
Jun 25, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler53 min
Jun 25, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMcPherson, Saline24 min
Jun 25, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDickinson36 min
Jun 25, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTElk, Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson63 min
Jun 25, 10:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBourbon6 hr
Jun 25, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Neosho, Wilson, Woodson53 min
Jun 25, 10:25 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatICTHarvey9 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 146 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -236 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
146 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-476 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1200 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-236 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

515 
WWUS20 KWNS 251840
SEL4  
SPC WW 251840
KSZ000-MOZ000-260200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South-central/Eastern Kansas
  Western Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop this afternoon
along/south of a modifying boundary that extends from
south-central/eastern Kansas into western Missouri. Some supercells
and sustained multicells can be expected, with storms likely to
become more numerous by early evening. Damaging winds and large hail
are the primary risks, although there is a possibility that some
tornado risk could materialize later this afternoon/early evening
particularly for storms interacting with the remnant boundaries.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Hutchinson KS to 25 miles east of Knob Noster MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 2 more61 min
Jun 24, 8:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson and 3 more87 min
Jun 24, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Douglas, Franklin, Geary, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more6 hr
Jun 24, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove and 14 more60 min
Jun 25, 1:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 16 more3 hr
Jun 25, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 17 more3 hr
Jun 25, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Jewell, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins and 4 more114 min
Jun 25, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 18 more2 hr
Jun 25, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 20 more10 hr
Jun 25, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more6 hr
Jun 25, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more2 hr
Jun 25, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more66 min
Jun 25, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Greenwood, Harvey, Linn and 4 more84 min
Jun 24, 11:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Cooper and 16 more2 hr
Jun 24, 11:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls and 4 more4 hr
Jun 25, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Madison, Perry2 hr
Jun 25, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 14 more59 min
Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole, Crawford and 25 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.