Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1100

June 25, 202110 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 25, 2021, 6:21 PM CDT for 10 counties in Kansas; 5 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 314

Counties Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Linn County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Bates County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 146 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -236 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
146 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-476 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1200 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-236 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

804 
ACUS11 KWNS 252322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252321 
MOZ000-KSZ000-260045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1100
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0621 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

Areas affected...South-central/southeast Kansas...west-central
Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314...

Valid 252321Z - 260045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will focus across southern portions of
ww314.

DISCUSSION...Slow-moving MCS has developed over southeast KS/MO this
evening. MCV may be evolving just northeast of Kansas City which
will encourage continued eastward propagation across the MO portion
of this activity. However, southwestern flank of the MCS is only
sagging south with new updrafts developing north of the outflow
likely producing hail at times. These trends should continue for the
next several hours and the slow movement may lead to more heavy rain
than actual severe. Regardless, convection should approach the
southern edge of the watch by 02z, then possibly sag south of the
KS/OK border later this evening.

..Darrow.. 06/25/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   38179765 38169562 38459335 37909322 37479513 37529774
            38179765

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 2 more61 min
Jun 24, 8:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson and 3 more87 min
Jun 24, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Douglas, Franklin, Geary, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more6 hr
Jun 24, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove and 14 more60 min
Jun 25, 1:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 16 more3 hr
Jun 25, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 17 more3 hr
Jun 25, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Jewell, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins and 4 more114 min
Jun 25, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 32 more9 hr
Jun 25, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 18 more2 hr
Jun 25, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 20 more10 hr
Jun 25, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more6 hr
Jun 25, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more2 hr
Jun 25, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more66 min
Jun 24, 11:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Cooper and 16 more2 hr
Jun 24, 11:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls and 4 more4 hr
Jun 25, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Madison, Perry2 hr
Jun 25, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 14 more59 min
Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole, Crawford and 25 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.