Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 316

June 25, 20215 counties in Colorado; 17 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2021, 2:07 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado; 17 counties in Kansas; 35 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 2:07 PM MDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 57 counties

Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Smith County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 2:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson45 min
Jun 25, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster40 min
Jun 25, 2:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur64 min
Jun 25, 2:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Sherman14 min
Jun 25, 3:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Sherman37 min
Jun 25, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson43 min
Jun 25, 4:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Sherman37 min
Jun 25, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDGreeley, Valley41 min
Jun 25, 5:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Hall, Howard, Sherman32 min
Jun 25, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins60 min
Jun 25, 5:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Kearney, Phelps29 min
Jun 25, 5:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone52 min
Jun 25, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins, Thomas45 min
Jun 25, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Kearney, Webster31 min
Jun 25, 6:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBoone23 min
Jun 25, 6:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXColfax, Madison, Platte, Stanton52 min
Jun 25, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Polk, York47 min
Jun 25, 6:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNance25 min
Jun 25, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Graham, Sheridan, Thomas65 min
Jun 25, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster12 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 612 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
612 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
859 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

593 
WWUS20 KWNS 252003
SEL6  
SPC WW 252003
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-260200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 316
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Northwest Kansas
  Southwest/Central Nebraska

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
across the region this afternoon, initially across
northeast/east-central Colorado into southwest/south-central
Nebraska and northwest Kansas. Moderate instability/deep-layer shear
will support severe storms capable of hail/wind.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles west northwest
of Columbus NE to 50 miles south southeast of Burlington CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314...WW 315...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 12:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Yuma114 min
Jun 25, 1:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Otero and 1 more2 hr
Jun 25, 1:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Kiowa, Prowers10 hr
Jun 25, 4:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Washington, Yuma66 min
Jun 24, 6:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 2 more61 min
Jun 24, 7:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 7:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson and 3 more87 min
Jun 24, 7:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Douglas, Franklin, Geary, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more6 hr
Jun 24, 9:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove and 14 more60 min
Jun 25, 12:40 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 16 more3 hr
Jun 25, 10:56 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 17 more3 hr
Jun 25, 12:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 32 more9 hr
Jun 25, 2:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more2 hr
Jun 25, 5:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Greenwood, Harvey, Linn and 4 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.