Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 24, 2021, 8:57 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois; 15 counties in Kansas; 37 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 24, 2021, 8:57 PM CDT (01:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 25, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 56 counties
Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Pike County, IL, Atchison County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Leavenworth | 60 min |
| Jun 24, 9:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Grundy, Sullivan | 17 min |
| Jun 24, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess, Grundy and 7 more | 61 min |
| Jun 24, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 57 min |
| Jun 24, 9:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Putnam, Sullivan | 20 min |
| Jun 24, 9:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jefferson | 34 min |
| Jun 24, 9:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Adair, Sullivan | 17 min |
| Jun 24, 10:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Carroll, Lafayette, Saline | 27 min |
| Jun 24, 10:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Carroll, Chariton, Howard, Lafayette, Linn and 6 more | 51 min |
| Jun 24, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 32 min |
| Jun 24, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Shelby | 48 min |
| Jun 24, 11:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe, Shelby | 42 min |
| Jun 24, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Pike | 46 min |
| Jun 24, 11:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lewis | 28 min |
| Jun 24, 11:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Audrain, Monroe, Ralls | 40 min |
| Jun 24, 11:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Marion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby | 38 min |
| Jun 24, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clark | 46 min |
| Jun 25, 12:03 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Adams, Pike | 42 min |
| Jun 25, 12:09 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Audrain, Pike, Ralls | 51 min |
| Jun 25, 12:17 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Pike | 43 min |
| Jun 25, 12:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike | 48 min |
| Jun 25, 12:57 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb | 10 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2766 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1424 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 404 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.2
- Supercell composite
- 23.2
The text
As transmitted.
792
WWUS20 KWNS 250155
SEL2
SPC WW 250155
ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-250800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 312
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far west-central Illinois
Northeast and east-central Kansas
Northern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 855 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Increasingly elongated QLCS should spread east-southeast
across north-central and northeast Missouri, with shifting southeast
across from parts of eastern Kansas towards central Missouri.
Embedded bowing segments will have the potential for significant
severe gusts and a brief tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles northeast of
Quincy IL to 40 miles west southwest of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 309...tornado watch number 311. Watch number
309 311 will not be in effect after 855 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW
310...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 11:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Hancock and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 11:47 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 18 more | 4 hr |
| Jun 25, 12:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 15 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 25, 4:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 23 more | 59 min |
| Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 30 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Kankakee | 4 hr |
| Jun 24, 7:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor | 61 min |
| Jun 25, 1:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler and 29 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 8:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 29 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 8:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson and 3 more | 87 min |
| Jun 24, 10:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove and 14 more | 60 min |
| Jun 25, 1:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 16 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 25, 11:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 17 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 25, 1:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Jewell, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins and 4 more | 114 min |
| Jun 25, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 32 more | 9 hr |
| Jun 25, 2:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 18 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 25, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 20 more | 10 hr |
| Jun 25, 3:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 3:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 25, 5:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more | 66 min |
| Jun 25, 6:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Butler, Greenwood, Harvey, Linn and 4 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.