Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312

June 24, 20214 counties in Illinois; 15 counties in Kansas; 37 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 24, 2021, 8:57 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois; 15 counties in Kansas; 37 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 8:57 PM CDT (01:57 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 56 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Pike County, IL, Atchison County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Leavenworth60 min
Jun 24, 9:13 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGrundy, Sullivan17 min
Jun 24, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess, Grundy and 7 more61 min
Jun 24, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Leavenworth, Wyandotte57 min
Jun 24, 9:40 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan20 min
Jun 24, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJefferson34 min
Jun 24, 9:58 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXAdair, Sullivan17 min
Jun 24, 10:18 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Saline27 min
Jun 24, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Carroll, Chariton, Howard, Lafayette, Linn and 6 more51 min
Jun 24, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLeavenworth, Wyandotte32 min
Jun 24, 10:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby48 min
Jun 24, 11:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby42 min
Jun 24, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Pike46 min
Jun 24, 11:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLewis28 min
Jun 24, 11:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Ralls40 min
Jun 24, 11:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMarion, Monroe, Ralls, Shelby38 min
Jun 24, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClark46 min
Jun 25, 12:03 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXAdams, Pike42 min
Jun 25, 12:09 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Pike, Ralls51 min
Jun 25, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Pike43 min
Jun 25, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBrown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike48 min
Jun 25, 12:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCaldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb10 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2766 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 225 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2766 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1424 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
404 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.2
Supercell composite
23.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

792 
WWUS20 KWNS 250155
SEL2  
SPC WW 250155
ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-250800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 312
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far west-central Illinois
  Northeast and east-central Kansas
  Northern Missouri

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 855 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Increasingly elongated QLCS should spread east-southeast
across north-central and northeast Missouri, with shifting southeast
across from parts of eastern Kansas towards central Missouri.
Embedded bowing segments will have the potential for significant
severe gusts and a brief tornado or two.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles northeast of
Quincy IL to 40 miles west southwest of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 309...tornado watch number 311. Watch number
309 311 will not be in effect after 855 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW
310...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 11:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Hancock and 9 more2 hr
Jun 24, 11:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 18 more4 hr
Jun 25, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 15 more2 hr
Jun 25, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 23 more59 min
Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 30 more6 hr
Jun 25, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKankakee4 hr
Jun 24, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor61 min
Jun 25, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Black Hawk, Boone, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 8:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney, Ford and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson and 3 more87 min
Jun 24, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Edwards, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove and 14 more60 min
Jun 25, 1:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 16 more3 hr
Jun 25, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 17 more3 hr
Jun 25, 1:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Jewell, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins and 4 more114 min
Jun 25, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Coffey and 32 more9 hr
Jun 25, 2:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 18 more2 hr
Jun 25, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney and 20 more10 hr
Jun 25, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more6 hr
Jun 25, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Chase, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Johnson and 6 more2 hr
Jun 25, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Jewell and 11 more66 min
Jun 25, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Greenwood, Harvey, Linn and 4 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.