Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1088

June 24, 202115 counties in Illinois; Lee County, Iowa; 22 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 24, 2021, 11:23 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; Lee County, Iowa; 22 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 11:23 PM CDT (04:23 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 1:30 AM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 312
All 38 counties

Lee County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howard County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 112 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2021-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 151 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
112 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
817 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

247 
ACUS11 KWNS 250423
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250423 
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-250630-

Mesoscale Discussion 1088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Areas affected...northeastern and east-central Missouri into
west-central Illinois

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312...

Valid 250423Z - 250630Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312
continues.

SUMMARY...Eastward advancement of a well-organized MCS continues,
along with local wind damage risk.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a clearly defined mesolow just
south of TVK/northwest of IRK, with a well-organized bowing line
crossing the northern half of Missouri.  No recent reports of
severe-caliber wind gusts have been received, but given the
available instability ahead of the band and the observed degree of
organization, strong/potentially damaging wind gusts remain possible
along the line.  Storms are approaching the southern fringe of the
watch across Missouri, and will eventually do the same on the
eastern fringe over west-central Illinois.  We will continue to
monitor convective trends, with respect to possible need for WW
extensions in time/area, or possible new WW issuance.

..Goss.. 06/25/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   40579238 40759216 40759161 40659044 40018962 39258976
            38649044 38369141 38409222 38979337 39529228 40169203
            40579238

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, Pike6 hr
Jun 24, 11:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 18 more4 hr
Jun 25, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 15 more2 hr
Jun 25, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 23 more59 min
Jun 25, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian and 30 more6 hr
Jun 25, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKankakee4 hr
Jun 24, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor61 min
Jun 25, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Black Hawk, Boone, Buchanan, Buena Vista, Butler and 29 more2 hr
Jun 24, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Audrain, Bates, Benton, Boone and 49 more87 min
Jun 25, 11:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade, Dallas and 8 more3 hr
Jun 25, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Carroll, Cass, Cedar and 14 more9 hr
Jun 25, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Benton, Camden, Cass, Henry, Hickory and 7 more2 hr
Jun 25, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Henry, Hickory, St. Clair, Vernon84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.