Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County

Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2014

82 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Prince William County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
82
Warnings
32
Watches
14
Advisories
0
Busiest month
July31 alerts
Busiest day
July 9, 20146 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Prince William County, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings242017%989%13 min
Flash flood warnings220%0

Each office's whole area, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings21290%825%6 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings25919425%67286%21 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings492353%9580%88 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 21, 11:03 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Jan 21, 4:28 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 12, 6:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 13, 12:17 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 13, 1:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 21, 10:39 AM ESTTornado WatchSPC5 hr
Mar 3, 12:47 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Mar 3, 6:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Mar 12, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Mar 12, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Mar 16, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Apr 26, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Apr 30, 8:31 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX30 hr
Apr 30, 1:20 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Apr 30, 5:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
May 6, 12:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
May 15, 11:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 15, 3:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
May 15, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
May 15, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
May 15, 6:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
May 15, 10:08 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX20 hr
May 16, 12:46 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX36 hr
May 16, 3:16 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX12 hr
May 16, 3:22 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX6 hr
May 21, 2:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
May 22, 1:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
May 22, 2:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 27, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
May 27, 6:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC36 min
May 27, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
May 28, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
May 28, 2:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
May 28, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jun 9, 3:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 11, 1:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 11, 2:59 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 11, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX23 min
Jun 18, 11:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX27 min
Jun 18, 11:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Jun 19, 12:18 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jun 25, 1:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 2, 12:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Jul 2, 12:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jul 2, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX55 min
Jul 2, 6:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jul 3, 11:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jul 3, 12:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 3, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jul 3, 3:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jul 3, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX25 min
Jul 8, 4:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jul 8, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jul 8, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 8, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Jul 8, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX91 min
Jul 9, 3:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 9, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jul 9, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 9, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jul 9, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 9, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jul 13, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jul 13, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Jul 13, 8:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jul 14, 1:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jul 14, 1:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 14, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jul 14, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jul 15, 1:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 15, 1:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 15, 4:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jul 23, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Aug 12, 1:17 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX7 hr
Aug 31, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX51 min
Aug 31, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Sep 2, 4:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Sep 6, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Sep 6, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Oct 7, 9:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Oct 15, 5:14 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Nov 6, 1:33 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.