Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County
Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2014
82 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Prince William County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 82
- Warnings
- 32
- Watches
- 14
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- July31 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 9, 20146 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Prince William County, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 24 | 20 | 17% | 9 | 89% | 13 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings | 21 | 2 | 90% | 8 | 25% | 6 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings | 259 | 194 | 25% | 672 | 86% | 21 min |
| NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings | 49 | 23 | 53% | 95 | 80% | 88 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 11:03 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jan 21, 4:28 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 12, 6:41 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 13, 12:17 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 13, 1:43 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 21, 10:39 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 3, 12:47 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 3, 6:05 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 12, 4:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Mar 12, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 16, 4:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 26, 3:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 30, 8:31 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 30 hr |
| Apr 30, 1:20 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 5:19 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | 3 hr |
| May 6, 12:51 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 24 min |
| May 15, 11:56 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 15, 3:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| May 15, 4:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| May 15, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 40 min |
| May 15, 6:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| May 15, 10:08 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 20 hr |
| May 16, 12:46 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 36 hr |
| May 16, 3:16 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 12 hr |
| May 16, 3:22 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 6 hr |
| May 21, 2:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 22, 1:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| May 22, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 27, 2:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 27, 6:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 36 min |
| May 27, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 46 min |
| May 28, 2:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| May 28, 2:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 28, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Jun 9, 3:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 11, 1:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jun 11, 2:59 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 11, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 23 min |
| Jun 18, 11:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 27 min |
| Jun 18, 11:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 52 min |
| Jun 19, 12:18 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 25, 1:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 2, 12:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 12:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jul 2, 4:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 6:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Jul 3, 11:57 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jul 3, 12:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jul 3, 3:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Jul 3, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 25 min |
| Jul 8, 4:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jul 8, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 8, 5:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jul 8, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 52 min |
| Jul 8, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 91 min |
| Jul 9, 3:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 9, 3:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 59 min |
| Jul 9, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 9, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 50 min |
| Jul 9, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 39 min |
| Jul 13, 7:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jul 13, 8:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 36 min |
| Jul 13, 8:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jul 14, 1:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jul 14, 1:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jul 14, 3:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 4:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jul 15, 1:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 15, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 15, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 23, 6:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 26 min |
| Aug 12, 1:17 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | 7 hr |
| Aug 31, 5:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 51 min |
| Aug 31, 6:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | 38 min |
| Sep 2, 4:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Sep 6, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Sep 6, 6:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Oct 7, 9:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Oct 15, 5:14 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Nov 6, 1:33 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 24 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 12 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 36 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 6 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.