Alert archive / Virginia / Prince William County

Weather alerts in Prince William County, Virginia, 2013

94 weather alerts in 2013, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Prince William County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2013. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
94
Warnings
32
Watches
14
Advisories
0
Busiest month
June39 alerts
Busiest day
June 28, 20139 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Prince William County, 2013

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings201525%2100%16 min
Flash flood warnings880%333%126 min

Each office's whole area, 2013

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings22959%2162%11 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings21014133%49574%21 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings815137%12478%74 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 30, 12:54 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jan 30, 4:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Jan 30, 6:31 PM ESTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Jan 30, 6:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jan 30, 7:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX49 min
Jan 30, 9:38 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC67 min
Jan 30, 10:30 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Mar 5, 10:52 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Mar 6, 3:25 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Mar 12, 12:53 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX14 hr
Mar 25, 5:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Apr 19, 1:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Apr 19, 2:31 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 19, 4:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Apr 19, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Apr 19, 6:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWX32 min
Apr 19, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Apr 24, 6:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 8, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWX38 min
May 8, 3:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWX32 min
May 11, 1:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
May 23, 3:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
May 23, 10:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
May 28, 4:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 2, 3:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 2, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jun 10, 12:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 10, 2:02 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr
Jun 10, 2:30 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Jun 10, 4:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 10, 6:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jun 10, 7:32 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Jun 10, 7:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Jun 13, 2:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 13, 3:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 13, 5:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 13, 8:10 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Jun 13, 11:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC67 min
Jun 13, 12:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 13, 2:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC55 min
Jun 13, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX49 min
Jun 24, 1:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC57 min
Jun 24, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 24, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jun 24, 4:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
Jun 25, 8:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jun 26, 1:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 26, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Jun 26, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 26, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX55 min
Jun 26, 4:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 27, 1:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jun 28, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 28, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX45 min
Jun 28, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Jun 28, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
Jun 28, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jun 28, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jun 28, 3:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 28, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX23 min
Jun 28, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Jun 30, 11:48 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 30, 1:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLWX29 min
Jul 7, 1:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 7, 6:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Jul 11, 10:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Jul 11, 11:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX6 hr
Jul 12, 1:05 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX4 hr
Jul 12, 1:44 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX14 hr
Jul 12, 2:12 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX3 hr
Jul 12, 4:58 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX23 hr
Jul 12, 5:13 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWX23 hr
Jul 17, 2:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jul 19, 6:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 20, 1:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jul 20, 8:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Jul 28, 1:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Aug 9, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Aug 22, 2:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Sep 12, 1:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Sep 12, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Sep 12, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX28 min
Sep 12, 4:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Sep 12, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Sep 21, 7:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Oct 7, 8:10 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Oct 7, 8:56 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Oct 7, 10:36 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Nov 18, 2:31 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Dec 8, 11:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Dec 8, 2:30 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Dec 10, 4:37 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Dec 22, 3:37 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Dec 22, 6:14 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20122014

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.