Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 24
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 30, 2013, 6:31 PM EST for 11 counties in Maryland; 23 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2013, 6:31 PM EST (23:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 31, 2013, 2:32 AM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 34 counties
Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Hanover County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 6:58 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Madison, Orange, Prince William and 5 more | 47 min |
| Jan 30, 7:41 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Charles, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more | 49 min |
| Jan 30, 9:12 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Culpeper, Fauquier, Greene, Madison and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 30, 10:30 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 31, 1:21 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 3 hr |
| Jan 31, 1:52 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 53 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 543 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 328 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 293 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
792
WWUS20 KWNS 302334
SEL4
SPC WW 302334
DCZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-310700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 24
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF BALTIMORE
MARYLAND TO 45 MILES WEST OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 21...WW 22...WW 23...
DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL SQLN WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS/LEWPS
NOW NEAR CHARLOTTESVILLE VA EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD AHEAD OF
EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE LWR TN VLY. SUFFICIENT
BUOYANCY LIKELY WILL REMAIN PRESENT TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH OF PRESENT
ACTIVITY...WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION POSSIBLE A BIT LATER AS
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DRAWS CLOSER TO SQLN/AXIS OF LOW-LVL ASCENT.
SHALLOW WSW-ENE BOUNDARY LEFT BY EARLIER WAVE OF STORMS IN THE
BALTIMORE AREA EXPECTED TO EDGE SLIGHTLY NWD THROUGH THE
EVE...THEREBY EXTENDING THE THREAT SOMEWHAT NWD ACROSS THE UPR
CHESAPEAKE BAY INTO AREA NOW BLANKETED BY SHALLOW LAYER OF COOL AIR.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO S CNTRL/SE VA LATER TNGT AS STORMS
MOVE/ACCELERATE ENE FROM NC. THIS AREA MAY REQUIRE A SEPARATE WW
LATER IN THE EVE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22055.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 8:31 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Garrett | 4 hr |
| Jan 30, 10:19 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Frederick, Garrett, Washington | 86 min |
| Jan 30, 12:54 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 6 more | 96 min |
| Jan 30, 4:06 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Charles, Prince George's | 114 min |
| Jan 30, 5:51 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Buchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 30, 7:38 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington and 3 more | 97 min |
| Jan 30, 3:21 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Carroll, Craig, Floyd and 15 more | 84 min |
| Jan 30, 3:42 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Botetourt, Buckingham, Campbell and 25 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2013Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.