Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 24

January 30, 201311 counties in Maryland; 23 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 30, 2013, 6:31 PM EST for 11 counties in Maryland; 23 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 6:31 PM EST (23:31 UTC)
Expired
Jan 31, 2013, 2:32 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 34 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Caroline County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Hanover County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 6:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Madison, Orange, Prince William and 5 more47 min
Jan 30, 7:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Charles, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more49 min
Jan 30, 9:12 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLWXAlbemarle, Augusta, Culpeper, Fauquier, Greene, Madison and 4 more6 hr
Jan 30, 10:30 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more6 hr
Jan 31, 1:21 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's3 hr
Jan 31, 1:52 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2013-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 328 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
543 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
328 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

792 
WWUS20 KWNS 302334
SEL4  
SPC WW 302334
DCZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-310700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 24
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND
       CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF BALTIMORE
MARYLAND TO 45 MILES WEST OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 21...WW 22...WW 23...

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL SQLN WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS/LEWPS
NOW NEAR CHARLOTTESVILLE VA EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD AHEAD OF
EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE LWR TN VLY. SUFFICIENT
BUOYANCY LIKELY WILL REMAIN PRESENT TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH OF PRESENT
ACTIVITY...WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION POSSIBLE A BIT LATER AS
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DRAWS CLOSER TO SQLN/AXIS OF LOW-LVL ASCENT.
SHALLOW WSW-ENE BOUNDARY LEFT BY EARLIER WAVE OF STORMS IN THE
BALTIMORE AREA EXPECTED TO EDGE SLIGHTLY NWD THROUGH THE
EVE...THEREBY EXTENDING THE THREAT SOMEWHAT NWD ACROSS THE UPR
CHESAPEAKE BAY INTO AREA NOW BLANKETED BY SHALLOW LAYER OF COOL AIR.

ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO S CNTRL/SE VA LATER TNGT AS STORMS
MOVE/ACCELERATE ENE FROM NC. THIS AREA MAY REQUIRE A SEPARATE WW
LATER IN THE EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22055.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 8:31 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGarrett4 hr
Jan 30, 10:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Frederick, Garrett, Washington86 min
Jan 30, 12:54 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 6 more96 min
Jan 30, 4:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharles, Prince George's114 min
Jan 30, 5:51 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington and 3 more7 hr
Jan 30, 7:38 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington and 3 more97 min
Jan 30, 3:21 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Carroll, Craig, Floyd and 15 more84 min
Jan 30, 3:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAmherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Botetourt, Buckingham, Campbell and 25 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2013Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.