Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 17

January 30, 20135 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 30, 2013, 5:51 AM EST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 30, 2013, 5:51 AM EST (10:51 UTC)
Expired
Jan 30, 2013, 1:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 91 counties

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Wayne County, WV

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 30, 6:22 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, Whitley53 min
Jan 30, 6:28 AM ESTTornado WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle32 min
Jan 30, 6:31 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMorgan, Scott59 min
Jan 30, 6:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery, Owsley and 3 more49 min
Jan 30, 6:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Marion, Sequatchie64 min
Jan 30, 6:42 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Rowan48 min
Jan 30, 6:50 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Rockcastle40 min
Jan 30, 7:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Whitley41 min
Jan 30, 7:15 AM ESTTornado WarningJKLMenifee, Montgomery, Powell30 min
Jan 30, 7:25 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup65 min
Jan 30, 7:26 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Elliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan49 min
Jan 30, 7:28 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Owsley and 3 more47 min
Jan 30, 7:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Breathitt, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knott and 6 more45 min
Jan 30, 7:53 AM ESTTornado WarningMRXBledsoe, Marion, Sequatchie52 min
Jan 30, 8:01 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin and 1 more44 min
Jan 30, 8:03 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Scott, Union57 min
Jan 30, 8:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Leslie, Letcher, Magoffin and 1 more41 min
Jan 30, 8:10 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Lawrence65 min
Jan 30, 8:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Harlan, Leslie, Letcher, Perry63 min
Jan 30, 8:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Marion, Sequatchie63 min
Jan 30, 8:17 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Rhea43 min
Jan 30, 8:20 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne55 min
Jan 30, 8:37 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFloyd, Johnson, Knott, Martin, Pike53 min
Jan 30, 8:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLHarlan, Knott, Letcher, Perry, Pike47 min
Jan 30, 8:48 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXHancock57 min
Jan 30, 9:13 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Marion, Meigs47 min
Jan 30, 12:08 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee, Clay37 min
Jan 30, 12:45 PM ESTTornado WarningMRXCherokee, Clay30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-01-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 91 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-01-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 345 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
91 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-78 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
345 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
364 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

467 
WWUS20 KWNS 301051
SEL7  
SPC WW 301051
GAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-301800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA
       EASTERN KENTUCKY
       SOUTHERN OHIO
       EASTERN TENNESSEE
       FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
       FAR WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 550 AM UNTIL
100 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH OF KNOXVILLE
TENNESSEE TO 5 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF HUNTINGTON WEST VIRGINIA.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...WW 15...WW 16...

DISCUSSION...QLCS WITH A HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE OVER CNTRL KY/MIDDLE
TN IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING. 
THOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS VERY WEAK...INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR AND
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL MAINTAIN EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 300.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 29, 7:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Carlisle, Crittenden, Daviess, Fulton and 13 more2 hr
Jan 29, 8:13 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCracken6 hr
Jan 29, 10:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler and 39 more86 min
Jan 29, 10:35 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Caldwell and 33 more6 hr
Jan 29, 10:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Fulton116 min
Jan 30, 1:45 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 4 more60 min
Jan 30, 3:33 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 76 more57 min
Jan 30, 4:35 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 57 more4 hr
Jan 30, 7:38 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 21 more97 min
Jan 30, 8:11 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCGraham, Jackson, Macon, Swain7 hr
Jan 30, 12:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 21 more85 min
Jan 30, 1:19 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 22 more9 hr
Jan 30, 3:21 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin84 min
Jan 30, 3:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more5 hr
Jan 30, 4:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Franklin, Granville and 6 more114 min
Jan 30, 4:13 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGaston, Mecklenburg2 hr
Jan 29, 8:31 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester, Crockett, Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Lauderdale and 4 more119 min
Jan 29, 11:07 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Davidson, Decatur and 20 more6 hr
Jan 30, 2:31 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, DeKalb, Fentress and 20 more29 min
Jan 30, 2:46 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland, DeKalb and 19 more8 hr
Jan 30, 4:03 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cheatham, Chester, Davidson, Decatur, Dickson and 16 more57 min
Jan 30, 8:43 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBledsoe, Cumberland, Grundy, Marion, Sequatchie62 min
Jan 30, 8:31 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBland, Carroll, Giles, Grayson, Pulaski, Smyth and 4 more4 hr
Jan 30, 10:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Augusta, Bath, Bedford and 43 more86 min
Jan 30, 12:54 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Arlington and 74 more96 min
Jan 30, 6:31 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlbemarle, Arlington, Caroline, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier and 17 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2013Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2013Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.