Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 15
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 30, 2013, 3:35 AM CST for 63 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2013, 3:35 AM CST (09:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 30, 2013, 7:14 AM CST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Green County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Woodford County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 3:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Monroe, Warren | 32 min |
| Jan 30, 3:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Hardin, Hart, Larue, Nelson | 32 min |
| Jan 30, 3:54 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart | 31 min |
| Jan 30, 4:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Grant, Owen | 25 min |
| Jan 30, 4:05 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Henry | 20 min |
| Jan 30, 4:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Barren, Cumberland, Green, Hart, Metcalfe and 2 more | 39 min |
| Jan 30, 4:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Franklin, Shelby | 31 min |
| Jan 30, 4:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Boone, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant | 34 min |
| Jan 30, 4:11 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Franklin, Nelson, Shelby, Spencer | 49 min |
| Jan 30, 4:11 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Cumberland, Metcalfe | 29 min |
| Jan 30, 4:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Green, Larue, Marion, Mercer, Nelson, Taylor and 1 more | 51 min |
| Jan 30, 4:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Russell and 1 more | 40 min |
| Jan 30, 4:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Marion, Taylor | 29 min |
| Jan 30, 4:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Pulaski, Wayne | 46 min |
| Jan 30, 4:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Boone, Campbell, Grant, Kenton, Owen, Pendleton | 26 min |
| Jan 30, 4:53 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Russell | 32 min |
| Jan 30, 4:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Bourbon, Fayette, Harrison, Jessamine, Mercer and 2 more | 39 min |
| Jan 30, 4:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Lincoln, Marion | 33 min |
| Jan 30, 5:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Casey, Garrard, Lincoln | 28 min |
| Jan 30, 5:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, Whitley | 53 min |
| Jan 30, 5:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Garrard, Madison | 28 min |
| Jan 30, 5:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JKL | Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle | 32 min |
| Jan 30, 5:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Harrison, Jessamine, Madison and 1 more | 40 min |
| Jan 30, 5:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Garrard, Madison | 28 min |
| Jan 30, 5:40 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Clark | 20 min |
| Jan 30, 5:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Estill, Jackson, Lee, Menifee, Montgomery, Owsley and 3 more | 49 min |
| Jan 30, 5:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Rowan | 48 min |
| Jan 30, 5:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Clay, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Rockcastle | 40 min |
| Jan 30, 6:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Clay, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Whitley | 41 min |
| Jan 30, 6:15 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JKL | Menifee, Montgomery, Powell | 30 min |
| Jan 30, 6:26 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bath, Elliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan | 49 min |
| Jan 30, 6:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Breathitt, Lee, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan, Owsley and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jan 30, 6:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knott and 6 more | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 91 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -78 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 520 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 345 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 364 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
529
WWUS20 KWNS 300938
SEL5
SPC WW 300938
KYZ000-301700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 435 AM UNTIL NOON EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LONDON KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES NORTH OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...WW 14...
DISCUSSION...A QLCS WITH EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES WILL CONTINUE EWD
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE THE AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ONLY VERY WEAKLY UNSTABLE...THE PRESENCE OF
STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT AND INTENSE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
WILL PROMOTE IN-LINE MESO-VORTICES WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 300.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 6:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Daviess, Fountain, Gibson, Greene, Knox and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 30 more | 86 min |
| Jan 29, 9:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bartholomew, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clark, Clay and 46 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 29, 11:05 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 37 more | 85 min |
| Jan 30, 12:45 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more | 60 min |
| Jan 30, 2:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 15 more | 57 min |
| Jan 29, 7:13 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCracken | 6 hr |
| Jan 29, 9:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calloway, Fulton | 116 min |
| Jan 30, 4:51 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bath, Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay and 31 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 30, 6:38 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 21 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.