Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 13, 2014, 7:49 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2014, 7:49 PM EDT (23:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2014, 12:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Warren County, VA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 8:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Washington | 38 min |
| Jul 13, 8:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 36 min |
| Jul 13, 8:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton | 57 min |
| Jul 13, 9:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Lehigh | 56 min |
| Jul 13, 9:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's | 28 min |
| Jul 13, 9:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Warren | 57 min |
| Jul 13, 9:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Bucks, Lehigh, Northampton | 46 min |
| Jul 13, 10:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 40 min |
| Jul 13, 10:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 46 min |
| Jul 13, 10:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren | 47 min |
| Jul 13, 10:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 74 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -162 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1097 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 158 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 82 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 1:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Garrett | 7 hr |
| Jul 13, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Frederick, Washington | 6 hr |
| Jul 13, 5:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bergen, Essex, Hunterdon, Morris, Passaic, Sussex and 1 more | 86 min |
| Jul 13, 7:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren | 84 min |
| Jul 13, 3:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broome, Chemung, Steuben, Tioga | 2 hr |
| Jul 13, 6:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Columbia, Dutchess, Orange, Putnam, Ulster | 4 hr |
| Jul 13, 12:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 10 more | 53 min |
| Jul 13, 6:18 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Fayette, Greene, Washington, Westmoreland | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.