Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 415

July 13, 2014Capitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; Berkshire County, Hampden County, Hampshire County, Massachusetts; 5 counties in New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 13, 2014, 6:25 PM EDT for Capitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; Berkshire County, Hampden County, Hampshire County, Massachusetts; 5 counties in New York. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2014, 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2014, 10:08 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Ulster County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region60 min
Jul 13, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region45 min
Jul 13, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region65 min
Jul 13, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-142 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
958 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 13, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Chemung, Steuben, Tioga2 hr
Jul 13, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBroome, Chemung, Delaware, Steuben, Sullivan, Tioga6 hr
Jul 13, 12:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 10 more53 min
Jul 13, 1:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 11 more7 hr
Jul 13, 6:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Fayette, Greene, Washington, Westmoreland87 min
Jul 13, 7:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia, Cumberland and 20 more84 min
Jul 13, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Delaware, Lehigh and 4 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.