Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1367

July 14, 20147 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 14, 2014, 1:06 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2014, 1:06 PM EDT (17:06 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2014, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 134 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Caroline County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Tucker County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2014-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 483 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2014-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
483 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
844 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 8:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle89 min
Jul 14, 1:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex8 hr
Jul 14, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex96 min
Jul 14, 6:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex61 min
Jul 14, 4:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 15 more93 min
Jul 14, 12:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt, Campbell and 29 more85 min
Jul 14, 1:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Scott, Wise, City of Norton2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.