Alert archive / Kentucky / Estill County

Weather alerts in Estill County, Kentucky, 2014

193 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Estill County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
193
Warnings
49
Watches
23
Advisories
80
Busiest month
February34 alerts
Busiest day
February 21, 201410 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 2 tornado warnings covering Estill County in 2014 had a tornado report inside them.

Estill County, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings20100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings241729%1776%15 min
Flash flood warnings330%40%

Each office's whole area, 2014

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Jackson, KY: tornado warnings35391%450%31 min
NWS Jackson, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings15711825%45782%24 min
NWS Jackson, KY: flash flood warnings442641%12274%67 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 1, 3:50 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL40 hr
Jan 4, 3:15 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL44 hr
Jan 4, 8:35 PM ESTWind Chill WatchJKL7 hr
Jan 5, 4:00 AM ESTWind Chill WarningJKL55 hr
Jan 5, 10:15 PM ESTWind AdvisoryJKL6 hr
Jan 12, 4:29 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL29 hr
Jan 16, 2:43 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL32 hr
Jan 18, 3:55 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL23 hr
Jan 20, 3:25 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL33 hr
Jan 21, 10:06 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningJKL14 hr
Jan 22, 3:44 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryJKL42 hr
Jan 24, 2:55 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL43 hr
Jan 27, 3:36 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryJKL26 hr
Jan 27, 3:36 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL7 hr
Feb 1, 3:07 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchJKL13 hr
Feb 2, 4:03 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningJKL31 hr
Feb 2, 4:03 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL31 hr
Feb 2, 11:21 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 3, 10:52 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL39 hr
Feb 3, 3:00 PM ESTFlood WatchJKL41 hr
Feb 3, 3:50 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL4 days
Feb 4, 4:19 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL24 hr
Feb 4, 10:11 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKL41 hr
Feb 4, 11:55 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningJKL25 hr
Feb 5, 12:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKL49 hr
Feb 5, 10:12 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningJKL6 hr
Feb 5, 6:34 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL9 hr
Feb 5, 11:44 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL6 hr
Feb 6, 5:45 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKL21 hr
Feb 6, 7:44 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL4 days
Feb 9, 10:40 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL5 hr
Feb 13, 4:32 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL38 hr
Feb 19, 3:00 PM ESTWind AdvisoryJKL36 hr
Feb 20, 10:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Feb 20, 10:47 PM ESTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Feb 20, 11:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL38 min
Feb 20, 11:20 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL40 min
Feb 20, 11:27 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Feb 20, 11:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL49 min
Feb 20, 11:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL33 min
Feb 21, 12:36 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL5 hr
Feb 21, 3:30 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Feb 21, 1:46 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL70 hr
Feb 21, 9:34 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL39 hr
Feb 22, 4:49 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningJKL28 hr
Feb 22, 8:04 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL31 hr
Feb 25, 2:27 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL20 hr
Feb 28, 1:34 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchJKL26 hr
Mar 1, 3:12 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningJKL48 hr
Mar 2, 6:48 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Mar 3, 12:50 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Mar 3, 9:34 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL69 hr
Mar 11, 2:35 PM EDTWind AdvisoryJKL29 hr
Mar 13, 3:45 PM EDTFire Weather WatchJKL12 hr
Mar 14, 9:18 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryJKL10 hr
Mar 15, 3:36 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL39 hr
Mar 27, 3:45 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryJKL15 hr
Mar 27, 4:25 AM EDTRed Flag WarningJKL15 hr
Mar 30, 8:02 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL4 days
Apr 3, 12:30 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchJKL27 hr
Apr 3, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL47 min
Apr 3, 7:47 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL9 hr
Apr 3, 8:04 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL8 hr
Apr 3, 9:18 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJKL14 hr
Apr 4, 2:24 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL60 hr
Apr 4, 3:54 AM EDTWind AdvisoryJKL16 hr
Apr 4, 5:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Apr 4, 7:12 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJKL33 hr
Apr 4, 11:07 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL44 hr
Apr 5, 4:32 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL51 hr
Apr 7, 9:50 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryJKL12 hr
Apr 7, 3:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Apr 10, 2:47 AM EDTRed Flag WarningJKL17 hr
Apr 14, 3:43 AM EDTFreeze WatchJKL22 hr
Apr 14, 3:43 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryJKL14 hr
Apr 15, 2:06 AM EDTFreeze WarningJKL32 hr
Apr 16, 3:24 AM EDTFreeze WarningJKL30 hr
Apr 19, 1:37 PM EDTRed Flag WarningJKL12 min
Apr 19, 1:49 PM EDTRed Flag WarningJKL4 hr
Apr 28, 5:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Apr 29, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL50 min
Apr 30, 2:35 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL6 hr
Apr 30, 8:37 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL55 hr
Apr 30, 9:59 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL3 days
May 10, 1:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 14, 11:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC53 min
May 14, 12:53 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
May 14, 3:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
May 14, 3:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchJKL12 hr
May 16, 5:45 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryJKL3 hr
May 21, 6:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
May 21, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC13 hr
May 21, 9:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL60 min
May 21, 9:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
May 21, 9:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL56 min
May 21, 9:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchJKL7 hr
May 21, 10:19 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
May 21, 10:22 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
May 22, 12:39 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
May 22, 3:53 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 4, 2:51 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr
Jun 4, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jun 4, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL28 min
Jun 4, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL46 min
Jun 4, 11:27 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Jun 10, 2:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jun 10, 2:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 10, 4:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jun 10, 6:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Jun 10, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL40 min
Jun 28, 5:54 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL2 hr
Jul 14, 1:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 14, 2:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL41 min
Jul 14, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL28 min
Jul 14, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL47 min
Jul 14, 9:01 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Jul 15, 3:01 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Jul 20, 9:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL82 min
Jul 23, 9:01 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL119 min
Jul 25, 4:15 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryJKL5 hr
Jul 26, 11:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Jul 27, 10:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL22 min
Jul 27, 11:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 27, 12:06 PM EDTTornado WarningJKL24 min
Jul 27, 12:13 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Jul 27, 12:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL51 min
Jul 27, 12:38 PM EDTTornado WarningJKL37 min
Jul 27, 1:00 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC11 hr
Jul 27, 3:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 27, 7:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jul 27, 8:00 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 3, 12:12 AM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryJKL10 hr
Aug 10, 11:18 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Aug 10, 8:02 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL118 min
Aug 18, 11:17 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryJKL11 hr
Aug 20, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Aug 20, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL24 min
Aug 20, 6:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Aug 21, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL31 min
Aug 21, 4:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL31 min
Aug 21, 4:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL2 hr
Aug 21, 7:41 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL22 hr
Aug 22, 6:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Aug 22, 7:22 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKL6 hr
Aug 22, 7:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL50 min
Aug 22, 8:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL5 hr
Aug 22, 10:09 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJKL6 hr
Aug 23, 1:59 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL18 hr
Aug 30, 8:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchJKL26 hr
Aug 31, 7:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL59 min
Aug 31, 8:53 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Aug 31, 9:56 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKL3 hr
Sep 1, 2:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Sep 1, 2:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL62 min
Sep 2, 4:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Sep 2, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Sep 2, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL51 min
Sep 2, 4:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL65 min
Sep 2, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL56 min
Sep 4, 3:02 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKL5 hr
Sep 6, 1:39 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Sep 11, 5:45 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Sep 21, 3:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Sep 29, 10:34 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryJKL11 hr
Oct 4, 3:47 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryJKL17 hr
Oct 6, 4:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL51 min
Oct 6, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL47 min
Oct 6, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL52 min
Oct 6, 6:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL24 min
Oct 6, 9:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL46 min
Oct 6, 9:53 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL4 hr
Oct 6, 10:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL37 min
Oct 6, 10:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL26 min
Oct 7, 4:38 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Oct 7, 1:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Oct 7, 2:02 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr
Oct 7, 4:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Oct 7, 7:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
Oct 7, 10:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryJKL3 hr
Oct 7, 10:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJKL29 min
Oct 11, 2:14 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL42 hr
Oct 13, 3:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchJKL22 hr
Oct 13, 11:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Oct 15, 8:01 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryJKL4 days
Oct 30, 3:27 PM EDTFreeze WatchJKL20 hr
Oct 30, 3:27 PM EDTFreeze WatchJKL45 hr
Nov 1, 3:48 AM EDTFreeze WarningJKL30 hr
Nov 16, 12:03 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryJKL24 hr
Nov 23, 2:57 PM ESTWind AdvisoryJKL27 hr
Nov 24, 10:17 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKL73 min
Nov 24, 11:30 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKL75 min
Dec 24, 3:58 AM ESTWind AdvisoryJKL16 hr
Dec 24, 2:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementJKL48 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.