Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 523

October 7, 20144 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 7, 2014, 2:02 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 7, 2014, 2:02 PM EDT (18:02 UTC)
Expired: Oct 7, 2014, 11:00 PM EDT
In force: 9 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 131 counties

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Washington County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Green County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, Meade County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Athens County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Warren County, OH, Washington County, OH, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 20%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 60%

Warnings issued inside it

72 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 7, 2:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark	29 min
Oct 7, 2:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Shelby	31 min
Oct 7, 3:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin, Scott, Shelby, Woodford	30 min
Oct 7, 3:36 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	ILN	Grant, Owen	24 min
Oct 7, 3:43 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Harrison, Scott	32 min
Oct 7, 3:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Bracken, Lewis, Mason, Robertson	44 min
Oct 7, 3:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Fayette, Scott	32 min
Oct 7, 3:53 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	ILN	Lewis, Mason	37 min
Oct 7, 4:11 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Rowan	64 min
Oct 7, 4:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Nicholas	28 min
Oct 7, 4:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas	32 min
Oct 7, 4:17 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	ILN	Lewis	28 min
Oct 7, 4:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Harrison, Nicholas	14 min
Oct 7, 4:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Rowan	56 min
Oct 7, 4:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard, Lincoln	30 min
Oct 7, 4:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Laurel, Lee, Owsley, Pulaski and 1 more	65 min
Oct 7, 4:36 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Rowan	39 min
Oct 7, 4:36 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Lincoln	19 min
Oct 7, 4:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Greenup	36 min
Oct 7, 4:41 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Jackson, Laurel, Rockcastle	34 min
Oct 7, 4:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Lewis	18 min
Oct 7, 4:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Lewis	35 min
Oct 7, 5:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee and 2 more	66 min
Oct 7, 5:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence	36 min
Oct 7, 5:13 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Clay, Jackson, Laurel	47 min
Oct 7, 5:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Greenup	45 min
Oct 7, 5:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knott, Laurel and 4 more	66 min
Oct 7, 5:39 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Clay, Harlan, Leslie, Perry	36 min
Oct 7, 5:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Gallia	37 min
Oct 7, 6:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Cabell, Lincoln, Putnam, Wayne	45 min
Oct 7, 6:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham	27 min
Oct 7, 6:11 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Shelby	24 min
Oct 7, 6:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Rowan	46 min
Oct 7, 6:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry	16 min
Oct 7, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Clay, Kanawha, Lincoln, Nicholas, Putnam	33 min
Oct 7, 6:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin, Henry, Shelby	29 min
Oct 7, 6:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Nicholas	30 min
Oct 7, 6:49 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bourbon	31 min
Oct 7, 6:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark	30 min
Oct 7, 6:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Rowan	53 min
Oct 7, 7:03 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Franklin, Scott, Woodford	32 min
Oct 7, 7:06 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery	24 min
Oct 7, 7:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Martin, Morgan	52 min
Oct 7, 7:08 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	37 min
Oct 7, 7:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry, Oldham, Shelby	32 min
Oct 7, 7:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Nicholas	22 min
Oct 7, 7:21 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan	24 min
Oct 7, 7:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Montgomery, Morgan, Rowan	63 min
Oct 7, 7:30 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Scott	25 min
Oct 7, 7:33 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Morgan	42 min
Oct 7, 7:39 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Johnson, Martin	11 min
Oct 7, 7:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee, Montgomery and 1 more	64 min
Oct 7, 7:43 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Franklin, Scott, Woodford	32 min
Oct 7, 7:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark	30 min
Oct 7, 7:57 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Elliott, Johnson, Morgan	48 min
Oct 7, 7:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Lawrence	33 min
Oct 7, 8:03 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Menifee, Montgomery	27 min
Oct 7, 8:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon, Clark, Fayette, Scott	30 min
Oct 7, 8:07 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	53 min
Oct 7, 8:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin, Scott	21 min
Oct 7, 8:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Wolfe	37 min
Oct 7, 8:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Johnson, Martin	46 min
Oct 7, 8:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Lawrence	46 min
Oct 7, 8:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery	55 min
Oct 7, 8:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan	53 min
Oct 7, 8:41 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery	34 min
Oct 7, 8:47 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Martin	13 min
Oct 7, 8:56 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	34 min
Oct 7, 8:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Kanawha	33 min
Oct 7, 9:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Logan, Mingo	33 min
Oct 7, 9:27 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Martin	18 min
Oct 7, 10:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Pike	18 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1440 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 269 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 7, 1:20 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clark, Dearborn, Floyd, Harrison, Jackson, Jefferson and 6 more	115 min
Oct 7, 2:44 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Benton, Carroll, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Fountain and 13 more	2 hr
Oct 7, 4:25 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Adams, Allen, Blackford, DeKalb, Delaware, Grant and 17 more	2 hr
Oct 7, 4:54 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson and 6 more	96 min
Oct 7, 7:59 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Clark, Floyd, Harrison	61 min
Oct 7, 3:50 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bath, Bourbon, Carter, Elliott, Fayette, Fleming and 9 more	55 min
Oct 7, 6:12 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barbour, Braxton, Doddridge, Fayette, Gilmer, Greenbrier and 19 more	93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014 Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2014 Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2014 Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.