Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Jackson, KY

019 
WWUS53 KJKL 072135
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
535 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC025-109-125-072145-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
JACKSON KY-BREATHITT KY-LAUREL KY-
535 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LAUREL...
SOUTHWESTERN BREATHITT AND SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3723 8393 3732 8385 3734 8378 3736 8380
      3734 8354 3733 8355 3734 8351 3729 8290
      3677 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 284DEG 49KT 3726 8371

$$

KYC051-095-119-131-133-189-193-072230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-CLAY KY-HARLAN KY-
535 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
HARLAN...CLAY...PERRY...SOUTHERN OWSLEY...WESTERN LETCHER...LESLIE
AND SOUTHWESTERN KNOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 532 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAUREL
CREEK...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SETH AND HENSLEY AROUND 540 PM EDT.
  SIZEROCK AND JACKS CREEK AROUND 545 PM EDT.
  THOUSANDSTICKS AND KALIOPI AROUND 550 PM EDT.
  HYDEN AND DRYHILL AROUND 555 PM EDT.
  WOOTON AND SMILAX AROUND 600 PM EDT.
  FREW AND DALEY AROUND 605 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ERILINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON
KY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET...OR BASEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8393 3732 8385 3734 8378 3736 8380
      3734 8354 3733 8355 3734 8351 3729 8290
      3677 8314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 284DEG 49KT 3726 8371

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KAS

293 
WWUS53 KJKL 072148
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
548 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC051-095-119-131-133-189-193-072230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-CLAY KY-HARLAN KY-
548 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
HARLAN...NORTHEASTERN CLAY...SOUTHERN PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN OWSLEY...
WESTERN LETCHER...LESLIE AND SOUTHWESTERN KNOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...

AT 546 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PANCO...AND
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HYDEN AND DRYHILL AROUND 555 PM EDT.
  WOOTON AND SMILAX AROUND 600 PM EDT.
  FREW AND DALEY AROUND 605 PM EDT.
  VIPER AND SLEMP AROUND 610 PM EDT.
  CORNETTSVILLE AND ULVAH AROUND 615 PM EDT.
  ELKO AND BLACKEY AROUND 620 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON
KY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET...OR BASEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8374 3726 8368 3730 8367 3734 8361
      3726 8291 3689 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 284DEG 49KT 3722 8349

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KAS

824 
WWUS53 KJKL 072206
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
606 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC051-095-189-072216-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
OWSLEY KY-CLAY KY-HARLAN KY-
606 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL HARLAN...
NORTHEASTERN CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN OWSLEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3698 8314 3700 8313 3702 8318 3701 8319
      3715 8350 3723 8343 3728 8335 3726 8292
      3726 8291 3699 8304 3697 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 284DEG 49KT 3716 8319

$$

KYC119-131-133-193-072230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-
606 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
PERRY...WESTERN LETCHER...NORTHERN LESLIE AND SOUTHWESTERN KNOTT
COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 604 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FREW...AND
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ULVAH AND CORNETTSVILLE AROUND 615 PM EDT.
  ELKO AND BLACKEY AROUND 620 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON
KY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET...OR BASEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3698 8314 3700 8313 3702 8318 3701 8319
      3715 8350 3723 8343 3728 8335 3726 8292
      3726 8291 3699 8304 3697 8310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 284DEG 49KT 3716 8319

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KAS

658 
WWUS53 KJKL 072216
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
616 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC119-131-133-193-072230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-
616 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
PERRY...WESTERN LETCHER...EAST CENTRAL LESLIE AND EXTREME SOUTH
CENTRAL KNOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 614 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DALEY...AND
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  VICCO AROUND 620 PM EDT.
  CORNETTSVILLE AND ULVAH AROUND 625 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON
KY.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET...OR BASEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3699 8312 3701 8313 3702 8316 3702 8319
      3712 8339 3724 8326 3723 8292 3700 8303
      3699 8304 3698 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 285DEG 45KT 3715 8317

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

KAS

882 
WWUS53 KJKL 072221
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
621 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC119-131-133-193-072231-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-141007T2230Z/
KNOTT KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-PERRY KY-
621 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PERRY...WESTERN
LETCHER...EAST CENTRAL LESLIE AND EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL KNOTT
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3699 8312 3701 8313 3702 8316 3702 8319
      3712 8339 3724 8326 3723 8292 3700 8303
      3699 8304 3698 8308
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 285DEG 45KT 3714 8311

$$

KAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
435 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 435 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

UPDATED THE FORECAST TO EXTEND THE TORNADO WATCH A COUPLE OF COUNTIES
SOUTH. THIS WAS MAINLY TO DEAL WITH THE DEVELOPING LINEAR CELLS JUST
OUTSIDE OF ROCKCASTLE COUNTY. THE WCN HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG WITH
UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES. HWO TO FOLLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 350 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

18Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING CLOSER TO THE AREA. THE WIND FIELD AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS WITH A MID LEVEL SPEED
MAX MOVING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS...COMBINED WITH A SURGE OF
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION...HAS RESULTED IN A THREAT FOR
SUPERCELLS AND THEIR SEVERE WEATHER ATTRIBUTES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA...WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. ON
RADAR...A VERY STRONG/SEVERE CLUSTER OF STORMS IS NOW TRACKING
THROUGH THE WATCH AREA TOWARD EAST KENTUCKY AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
JKL CWA BETWEEN 4:30 AND 6 PM...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER THIS
INITIAL BATCH OF STORMS PASS. A CLEARING OF THE LOWER CLOUDS IN THE
WAKE OF THE EARLIER SHOWERS AND STORMS IS BRINGING TEMPERATURES UP
INTO THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE AREA ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
10 TO 20 KTS AND GUSTS TO 25 KTS.

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT WITH THE LARGE AND DEEP UPPER
LOW SPINNING NORTH OF THE MIDWEST AND ITS ATTENDANT ENERGY PACKET
RACING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS NODE OF
THE UPPER LOW THEN LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING FOR DECENT HEIGHT
RISES IN ITS WAKE. THE ECMWF AND GEM ARE A VIRTUAL MATCH WITH THEIR
FLATTENING OF THE PATTERN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. LATER THAT NIGHT
AN OPENING TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNER/S REGION WILL SEND MORE ENERGY
THIS WAY IN THE FAST FLOW LEADING RIGHT INTO KENTUCKY. FOR THE MOST
PART...USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WITH A LEAN TOWARD THE HRRR AND
NAM12 FOR THE NEAR TERM.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A STORMY EVENING FOR AT LEAST THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE AREA INTO THE
EVENING. THE STORMS WILL MOVE OFF BY LATE EVENING AND CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER COOL NIGHT ON TAP. FOR WEDNESDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE US ONE SOLID DAY OF DRY WEATHER WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. HOWEVER...THE FRONT THAT PUSHES OFF TO THE SOUTH
TONIGHT WILL START TO COME BACK AS A WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BY DAWN IN BOTH THE NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA AND ALSO ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER.

USED THE CONSSHORT AS A STARTING POINT FOR THE T/TD/WIND GRIDS
THROUGH THE FIRST 18-24 HOURS BEFORE GOING WITH THE SUPERBLEND
THEREAFTER. DID MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE LOWS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR TERRAIN EFFECTS. AS FOR POPS...ENDED
UP MORE SIMILAR TO THE WETTER MET NUMBERS TONIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS ON THURSDAY WITH THE BROAD
CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CANADIAN MARITIMES AND SLOWLY
SHIFTING EAST. MEANWHILE DURING THIS TIME...A RIDGE RESIDES OVER THE
NORTHWEST CONUS WITH A CLOSED LOW BEING THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM SIMON MOVING OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND MOVING INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. BY THE WEEKEND...A STRONG JET STREAK DIVES OUT OF
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A TROUGH DEEPENS
FURTHER WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH AND INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. THE MODELS HAVE SEEM TO
COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AS WELL AS THE SUPER BLEND
MODEL...AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SUPER BLEND GAVE A
CONSENSUS OF LIKELY POPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND SO KEPT THIS SOLUTION
IN THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILS IN THE LOWER LEVELS...AN EXITING FRONT BECOMES STALLED
AND ORIENTED WEST TO EAST ALONG THE TN VALLEY AND INTO KY DURING THE
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PERIOD DUE TO STRONG RIDGING ALONG THE EAST
COAST. THIS SETS UP A SCENARIO WHERE NUMEROUS WAVES MOVE ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY PROVIDING RAIN CHANCES EVERYDAY DURING THE EXTENDED. THIS
BEING A MORE SPRING LIKE PATTERN OCCURRING THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH
VEGETATION ON THE DECLINE COULD MAKE FOR A CONCERN FOR FLOODING IN
THE EXTENDED. WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON...THE INFLUX OF GULF
MOISTURE AND AN ACTIVE JET FOR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THE INGREDIENTS
MAY BE AVAILABLE FOR THIS EVENT. A FEW DETAILS WILL NEED TO BE
IRONED OUT...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MODELS HANDLING A TRANSITION IN THE
PATTERN BUT THIS SCENARIO WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 220 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

CLEARING OF THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. A FEW OF THESE COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTH OF
THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY. HAVE TIMED THE STORMS THROUGH THE TAF SITES
BY 23/00Z. WITH THESE...IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON WITH
BRIEF TIMES OF VLIFR ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 KTS...THOUGH
THEY WILL BE SUSTAINED FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KTS.
OTHERWISE...THE CIGS WILL START TO CLEAR UP AFTER 03Z WITH A MOSTLY
SUNNY DAY EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND WINDS SWITCHING TO THE WEST AT 5
TO 10 KTS.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...SHALLENBERGER
AVIATION...GREIF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>120-082345-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-
LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...
HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 523 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH MID EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SMALL HAIL WITH A FEW LARGE
STONES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY ANY STRONG STORM. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.

MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS MAY ALSO OCCUR WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF FLOODING...WIND
DAMAGE...OR HAIL TO THE JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

KYZ083>088-082345-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SMALL HAIL WITH A FEW LARGER
STONES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY ANY STRONG STORM.

ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS MAY ALSO OCCUR WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF FLOODING...WIND
DAMAGE...OR HAIL TO THE JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

AR/GREIF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
417 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYZ068-069-111-114-072045-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-OWSLEY-LEE-
417 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 445 PM EDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

   JACKSON...
   NORTHWESTERN OWSLEY...
   NORTHERN ROCKCASTLE AND
   SOUTHWESTERN LEE.

AT 416 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CLOVER BOTTOM TO 8 MILES WEST OF GUM SULPHUR...OR
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEREA TO 15 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MOUNT VERNON...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...ARVEL AROUND
425 PM EDT...CRESSMONT AROUND 430 PM EDT...IDA MAY AROUND 435 PM
EDT...NEW ZION AROUND 440 PM EDT...TURKEY FOOT AROUND 445 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 8445 3748 8438 3754 8435 3754 8432
      3752 8427 3753 8420 3756 8417 3757 8414
      3755 8391 3754 8390 3755 8390 3753 8359
      3732 8385 3741 8448
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 271DEG 52KT 3752 8409 3746 8454

KAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
456 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     HAIL             1 NE BRODHEAD           37.41N 84.40W
10/07/2014  E1.00 INCH       ROCKCASTLE         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ABE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
459 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHARPSBURG              38.20N 83.93W
10/07/2014                   BATH               KY   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN WITH A ROAD CLOSED NEAR SHARPSUBRG. ALSO BARN
            ROOFS WERE REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN OFF.

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
507 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             PRESTON                 38.09N 83.75W
10/07/2014  E0.88 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
513 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW MOREHEAD           38.22N 83.48W
10/07/2014  M54 MPH          ROWAN              KY   MESONET

            54 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT THE ROWAN COUNTY KY
            MESONET SITE.

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
522 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE OLYMPIA SPRINGS    38.09N 83.63W
10/07/2014                   BATH               KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ONTO MUDLICK ROAD ABOUT
            HALFWAY BETWEEN OLYMPIA SPRINGS AND SALT LICK.

&&

JP