Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2014

Tornado Warning 31, NWS Jackson, KY

October 7, 2014Johnson County, Magoffin County, Morgan County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this tornado warning at Oct 7, 2014, 8:07 PM EDT for Johnson County, Magoffin County, Morgan County, Kentucky. It was in force for 53 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 7, 2014, 8:07 PM EDT (00:07 UTC)
Expired: Oct 7, 2014, 9:00 PM EDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Johnson County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Morgan County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 7, 8:07 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	West Liberty, KY	ROOF BLOWN OFF GARAGE, CHIMNEY KNOCKED OFF HOUSE, AND SEVERAL TREES SNAPPED OFF. DAMAGE OCCURED IN WEST LIBERTY ON HIGHWAY 460 WEST.
Oct 7, 8:08 PM EDT	HAIL 1	3 Wnw West Liberty, KY
Oct 7, 8:27 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 W West Liberty, KY	UPROOTED TREE, CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO HOME, TORE ROOF OFF BUILDING.
Oct 7, 8:31 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Oil Springs, KY	ONE TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 7, 2:02 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -160 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1166 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

589 
WFUS53 KJKL 080007
TORJKL
KYC115-153-175-080100-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0031.141008T0007Z-141008T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
807 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...
  NORTH CENTRAL MAGOFFIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
  CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 805 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
  TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LIBERTY ROAD...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

  HAZARD...TORNADO.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
           TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
           LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FLORRESS AND COTTLE AROUND 815 PM EDT.
  LOGVILLE AND HALEBURG AROUND 820 PM EDT.
  LACEY AND EVER AROUND 825 PM EDT.
  HARGIS AND NILES AROUND 830 PM EDT.
  BARNETTS CREEK AND STAFFORDSVILLE AROUND 835 PM EDT.
  WOODLAND ESTATES AND PERSTON ESTATES AROUND 840 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MARY...MAGGARD...EMMA...
BLAIR...BAKER AND BUFFALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3790 8340 3795 8336 3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 284DEG 44KT 3791 8327

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

KAS

4 follow-up statements

501 
WWUS53 KJKL 080017
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
817 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC115-153-175-080100-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-141008T0100Z/
JOHNSON KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MORGAN KY-
817 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL MORGAN...NORTH
CENTRAL MAGOFFIN AND JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

AT 815 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR WILLIAMS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
         LIKELY.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EMMA AND BROWNLOW AROUND 825 PM EDT.
  BALLOT AND OIL SPRINGS AROUND 830 PM EDT.
  DENVER AND PATRICK AROUND 835 PM EDT.
  OAKLAWN ESTATES AND FITZ AROUND 840 PM EDT.
  VAN LEAR AND BUFFALO AROUND 845 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EMMA...BLAIR AND BUFFALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3787 8329 3794 8323 3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 284DEG 44KT 3783 8315

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

PELTON

787 
WWUS53 KJKL 080036
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
836 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC153-175-080046-
/O.CAN.KJKL.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-141008T0100Z/
MAGOFFIN KY-MORGAN KY-
836 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL MORGAN AND NORTH CENTRAL MAGOFFIN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3776 8295 3779 8295 3782 8299
      3785 8299 3790 8297 3790 8296 3792 8297
      3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 282DEG 44KT 3781 8286

$$

KYC115-080100-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-141008T0100Z/
JOHNSON KY-
836 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY UNTIL 900
PM EDT...

AT 833 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BARNETTS CREEK...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
         LIKELY.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUFFALO AND MEALLY AROUND 845 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BAKER AND BUFFALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3776 8295 3779 8295 3782 8299
      3785 8299 3790 8297 3790 8296 3792 8297
      3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 282DEG 44KT 3781 8286

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

PELTON

717 
WWUS53 KJKL 080045
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
845 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC115-080100-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-141008T0100Z/
JOHNSON KY-
845 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY
UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

AT 842 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR HAGERHILL...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
         LIKELY.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WELLS CHAPEL AND BOONS CAMP AROUND 850 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3776 8293 3778 8292 3784 8288
      3787 8285 3791 8285 3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 283DEG 38KT 3779 8277

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

JP

443 
WWUS53 KJKL 080053
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
853 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYC115-080101-
/O.EXP.KJKL.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-141008T0100Z/
JOHNSON KY-
853 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR JOHNSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM
EDT...

THE ROTATION WITHING THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS 
WEAKENED.  HOWEVER...HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL 
POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3774 8273 3775 8276 3774 8277 3775 8279
      3773 8284 3776 8293 3778 8292 3784 8288
      3787 8285 3791 8285 3789 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 283DEG 38KT 3777 8269

$$

PELTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 7, 4:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 4:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
435 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 435 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

UPDATED THE FORECAST TO EXTEND THE TORNADO WATCH A COUPLE OF COUNTIES
SOUTH. THIS WAS MAINLY TO DEAL WITH THE DEVELOPING LINEAR CELLS JUST
OUTSIDE OF ROCKCASTLE COUNTY. THE WCN HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG WITH
UPDATED GRIDS AND ZONES. HWO TO FOLLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 350 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

18Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING CLOSER TO THE AREA. THE WIND FIELD AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING STORMS WITH A MID LEVEL SPEED
MAX MOVING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS...COMBINED WITH A SURGE OF
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE REGION...HAS RESULTED IN A THREAT FOR
SUPERCELLS AND THEIR SEVERE WEATHER ATTRIBUTES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA...WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT. ON
RADAR...A VERY STRONG/SEVERE CLUSTER OF STORMS IS NOW TRACKING
THROUGH THE WATCH AREA TOWARD EAST KENTUCKY AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
JKL CWA BETWEEN 4:30 AND 6 PM...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER THIS
INITIAL BATCH OF STORMS PASS. A CLEARING OF THE LOWER CLOUDS IN THE
WAKE OF THE EARLIER SHOWERS AND STORMS IS BRINGING TEMPERATURES UP
INTO THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE AREA ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
10 TO 20 KTS AND GUSTS TO 25 KTS.

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ALOFT WITH THE LARGE AND DEEP UPPER
LOW SPINNING NORTH OF THE MIDWEST AND ITS ATTENDANT ENERGY PACKET
RACING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS NODE OF
THE UPPER LOW THEN LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST ALLOWING FOR DECENT HEIGHT
RISES IN ITS WAKE. THE ECMWF AND GEM ARE A VIRTUAL MATCH WITH THEIR
FLATTENING OF THE PATTERN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. LATER THAT NIGHT
AN OPENING TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNER/S REGION WILL SEND MORE ENERGY
THIS WAY IN THE FAST FLOW LEADING RIGHT INTO KENTUCKY. FOR THE MOST
PART...USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WITH A LEAN TOWARD THE HRRR AND
NAM12 FOR THE NEAR TERM.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A STORMY EVENING FOR AT LEAST THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE AREA INTO THE
EVENING. THE STORMS WILL MOVE OFF BY LATE EVENING AND CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER COOL NIGHT ON TAP. FOR WEDNESDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE US ONE SOLID DAY OF DRY WEATHER WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. HOWEVER...THE FRONT THAT PUSHES OFF TO THE SOUTH
TONIGHT WILL START TO COME BACK AS A WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BY DAWN IN BOTH THE NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA AND ALSO ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER.

USED THE CONSSHORT AS A STARTING POINT FOR THE T/TD/WIND GRIDS
THROUGH THE FIRST 18-24 HOURS BEFORE GOING WITH THE SUPERBLEND
THEREAFTER. DID MAKE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE LOWS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR TERRAIN EFFECTS. AS FOR POPS...ENDED
UP MORE SIMILAR TO THE WETTER MET NUMBERS TONIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS ON THURSDAY WITH THE BROAD
CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CANADIAN MARITIMES AND SLOWLY
SHIFTING EAST. MEANWHILE DURING THIS TIME...A RIDGE RESIDES OVER THE
NORTHWEST CONUS WITH A CLOSED LOW BEING THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM SIMON MOVING OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND MOVING INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. BY THE WEEKEND...A STRONG JET STREAK DIVES OUT OF
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A TROUGH DEEPENS
FURTHER WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH AND INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. THE MODELS HAVE SEEM TO
COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AS WELL AS THE SUPER BLEND
MODEL...AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE SUPER BLEND GAVE A
CONSENSUS OF LIKELY POPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND SO KEPT THIS SOLUTION
IN THE FORECAST.

FOR DETAILS IN THE LOWER LEVELS...AN EXITING FRONT BECOMES STALLED
AND ORIENTED WEST TO EAST ALONG THE TN VALLEY AND INTO KY DURING THE
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PERIOD DUE TO STRONG RIDGING ALONG THE EAST
COAST. THIS SETS UP A SCENARIO WHERE NUMEROUS WAVES MOVE ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY PROVIDING RAIN CHANCES EVERYDAY DURING THE EXTENDED. THIS
BEING A MORE SPRING LIKE PATTERN OCCURRING THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH
VEGETATION ON THE DECLINE COULD MAKE FOR A CONCERN FOR FLOODING IN
THE EXTENDED. WITH THE REMNANTS OF SIMON...THE INFLUX OF GULF
MOISTURE AND AN ACTIVE JET FOR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THE INGREDIENTS
MAY BE AVAILABLE FOR THIS EVENT. A FEW DETAILS WILL NEED TO BE
IRONED OUT...ESPECIALLY WITH THE MODELS HANDLING A TRANSITION IN THE
PATTERN BUT THIS SCENARIO WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 220 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

CLEARING OF THE LOWER CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. A FEW OF THESE COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTH OF
THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY. HAVE TIMED THE STORMS THROUGH THE TAF SITES
BY 23/00Z. WITH THESE...IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE COMMON WITH
BRIEF TIMES OF VLIFR ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 KTS...THOUGH
THEY WILL BE SUSTAINED FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KTS.
OTHERWISE...THE CIGS WILL START TO CLEAR UP AFTER 03Z WITH A MOSTLY
SUNNY DAY EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND WINDS SWITCHING TO THE WEST AT 5
TO 10 KTS.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...SHALLENBERGER
AVIATION...GREIF

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 4:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>120-082345-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-
LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...
HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 523 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH MID EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SMALL HAIL WITH A FEW LARGE
STONES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY ANY STRONG STORM. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.

MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS MAY ALSO OCCUR WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF FLOODING...WIND
DAMAGE...OR HAIL TO THE JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

KYZ083>088-082345-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN
440 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SMALL HAIL WITH A FEW LARGER
STONES POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING COULD ACCOMPANY ANY STRONG STORM.

ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS MAY ALSO OCCUR WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF FLOODING...WIND
DAMAGE...OR HAIL TO THE JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

AR/GREIF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 6:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
645 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

KYZ050-051-072300-
MONTGOMERY-BATH-
645 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 700
PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING...

   NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND
   CENTRAL BATH.

AT 645 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRASSY LICK...
OR NEAR MOUNT STERLING...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...EWINGTON AROUND
650 PM EDT...KENDALL SPRINGS AROUND 655 PM EDT...BOURBON FURNACE
AROUND 700 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 8370 3805 8366 3806 8405 3808 8406
      3813 8408 3814 8406
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 269DEG 43KT 3810 8396

KAS

Local storm report, Oct 7, 7:03 PM EDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
703 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HAZARD                  37.25N 83.20W
10/07/2014                   PERRY              KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A LARGE TREE LIMB WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO A VEHICLE IN
            DOWNTOWN HAZARD. THE TIME OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

JP

Local storm report, Oct 7, 7:32 PM EDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
732 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     HAIL             SIDEVIEW                38.11N 84.04W
10/07/2014  M1.75 INCH       MONTGOMERY         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSTAMPER

Local storm report, Oct 7, 7:33 PM EDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
733 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     HAIL             PRESTON                 38.09N 83.75W
10/07/2014  E1.00 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSTAMPER

Local storm report, Oct 7, 7:36 PM EDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
736 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 NE WHEELERSBURG       37.85N 82.98W
10/07/2014                   JOHNSON            KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

JP

Local storm report, Oct 7, 7:46 PM EDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
746 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 PM     HAIL             OWINGSVILLE             38.14N 83.76W
10/07/2014  M0.75 INCH       BATH               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DSTAMPER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 7, 8:03 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Menifee, Montgomery	27 min
Oct 7, 8:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Wolfe	37 min
Oct 7, 8:25 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Morgan, Rowan	4 hr
Oct 7, 8:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Johnson, Martin	46 min
Oct 7, 8:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery	55 min
Oct 7, 8:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee, Morgan	53 min
Oct 7, 8:41 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee, Montgomery	34 min
Oct 7, 8:47 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Martin	13 min
Oct 7, 8:56 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	34 min
Oct 7, 9:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Martin	31 min
Oct 7, 9:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Menifee, Powell	24 min
Oct 7, 9:27 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	JKL	Floyd, Johnson, Martin	18 min
Oct 7, 9:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan	22 min
Oct 7, 9:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Martin	31 min
Oct 7, 9:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Magoffin, Wolfe	28 min
Oct 7, 9:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Johnson, Martin	49 min
Oct 7, 10:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Magoffin	29 min
Oct 7, 10:08 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Estill, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin, Menifee and 5 more	3 hr
Oct 7, 10:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Floyd, Magoffin	26 min
Oct 7, 10:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Martin	35 min
Oct 7, 10:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Estill, Lee, Powell, Wolfe	29 min
Oct 7, 10:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Pike	18 min
Oct 7, 10:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Pike	31 min
Oct 7, 11:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Floyd, Magoffin	24 min
Oct 7, 11:21 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Knott, Magoffin, Pike, Wolfe	2 hr
Oct 7, 11:31 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Breathitt, Floyd, Magoffin, Pike	4 hr
Oct 7, 11:45 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Breathitt, Clay, Jackson, Knott, Laurel, Leslie and 4 more	3 hr
Oct 7, 11:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Clay, Laurel	40 min
Oct 8, 12:14 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Laurel	31 min
Oct 8, 12:21 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Clay, Laurel, Leslie, Perry, Pulaski	3 hr
Oct 8, 12:31 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	JKL	Clay, Knox, Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle	4 hr
Oct 8, 12:44 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Leslie, Letcher, Perry and 1 more	2 hr
Oct 8, 12:52 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Harlan	53 min
Oct 8, 1:33 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	JKL	Bell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Laurel, Leslie and 1 more	2 hr
Oct 8, 1:34 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	Harlan	26 min
Oct 8, 2:11 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	JKL	McCreary	49 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2014 Every tornado warning in 2014 Tornadoes in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.