Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 450

July 27, 20144 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 27, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2014, 12:24 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 98 counties

Adair County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Washington County, TN, White County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Sevier64 min
Jul 27, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Russell28 min
Jul 27, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Knox, Sevier52 min
Jul 27, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLMKClinton, Cumberland, Russell30 min
Jul 27, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Whitley57 min
Jul 27, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Cocke, Sevier38 min
Jul 27, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hancock, Union54 min
Jul 27, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Whitley18 min
Jul 27, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXJackson, Putnam37 min
Jul 27, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Scott43 min
Jul 27, 9:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJKLWhitley6 hr
Jul 27, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXFentress21 min
Jul 27, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCampbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins and 1 more50 min
Jul 27, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Greene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington46 min
Jul 27, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Warren, White, Wilson38 min
Jul 27, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon, Morgan and 3 more47 min
Jul 27, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins, Jefferson and 2 more61 min
Jul 27, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Greene, Unicoi, Washington33 min
Jul 27, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Cumberland, Van Buren, Warren, White40 min
Jul 27, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea, Roane47 min
Jul 27, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Cocke, Hamblen, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon and 1 more46 min
Jul 27, 11:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Coffee, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2014-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3837 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2014-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3837 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1139 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.6
Supercell composite
10.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

096 
WWUS20 KWNS 272359
SEL0  
SPC WW 272359
KYZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-280600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 450
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN KENTUCKY
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
  EASTERN TENNESSEE
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF JACKSON
KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 445...WW 447...WW
448...WW 449...

DISCUSSION...ONGOING SUPERCELLS OVER PORTIONS ERN TN...FAVORABLE
CAPE/DEEP-SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS
TO BECOME SVR OVER REMAINDER AREA WITH AT LEAST MRGL TORNADO
POTENTIAL...COMPELS ISSUANCE OF A NEW WW OVER MUCH OF THE SAME AREA
AS PREVIOUS.  REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1491 FOR
ADDITIONAL/NEAR-TERM DETAILS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.


...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 10:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Caswell, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, Granville and 7 more2 hr
Jul 27, 11:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabarrus, Catawba, Cherokee, Clay, Cleveland, Davidson and 17 more88 min
Jul 28, 1:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrunswick, Columbus93 min
Jul 28, 2:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin and 6 more6 hr
Jul 27, 8:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Augusta, Bath, Greene, Highland and 13 more4 hr
Jul 27, 8:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFrederick66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2014Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.