Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 450
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 27, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 28, 2014, 12:24 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 98 counties
Adair County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Washington County, TN, White County, TN, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MRX | Blount, Knox, Sevier | 64 min |
| Jul 27, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Russell | 28 min |
| Jul 27, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Blount, Knox, Sevier | 52 min |
| Jul 27, 7:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Clinton, Cumberland, Russell | 30 min |
| Jul 27, 8:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bell, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Whitley | 57 min |
| Jul 27, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Blount, Cocke, Sevier | 38 min |
| Jul 27, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hancock, Union | 54 min |
| Jul 27, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bell, Whitley | 18 min |
| Jul 27, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Jackson, Putnam | 37 min |
| Jul 27, 9:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Scott | 43 min |
| Jul 27, 9:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JKL | Whitley | 6 hr |
| Jul 27, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Fentress | 21 min |
| Jul 27, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hamblen, Hancock, Hawkins and 1 more | 50 min |
| Jul 27, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Greene, Hawkins, Sullivan, Unicoi, Washington | 46 min |
| Jul 27, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Warren, White, Wilson | 38 min |
| Jul 27, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Anderson, Campbell, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon, Morgan and 3 more | 47 min |
| Jul 27, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Cocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen, Hawkins, Jefferson and 2 more | 61 min |
| Jul 27, 10:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Carter, Greene, Unicoi, Washington | 33 min |
| Jul 27, 10:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cannon, Cumberland, Van Buren, Warren, White | 40 min |
| Jul 27, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Bledsoe, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs, Rhea, Roane | 47 min |
| Jul 27, 10:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MRX | Blount, Cocke, Hamblen, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon and 1 more | 46 min |
| Jul 27, 11:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cannon, Coffee, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3837 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1139 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.6
- Supercell composite
- 10.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
096
WWUS20 KWNS 272359
SEL0
SPC WW 272359
KYZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-280600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 450
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN TENNESSEE
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF JACKSON
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 445...WW 447...WW
448...WW 449...
DISCUSSION...ONGOING SUPERCELLS OVER PORTIONS ERN TN...FAVORABLE
CAPE/DEEP-SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS
TO BECOME SVR OVER REMAINDER AREA WITH AT LEAST MRGL TORNADO
POTENTIAL...COMPELS ISSUANCE OF A NEW WW OVER MUCH OF THE SAME AREA
AS PREVIOUS. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1491 FOR
ADDITIONAL/NEAR-TERM DETAILS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...EDWARDSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 10:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Caswell, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, Granville and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 27, 11:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cabarrus, Catawba, Cherokee, Clay, Cleveland, Davidson and 17 more | 88 min |
| Jul 28, 1:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brunswick, Columbus | 93 min |
| Jul 28, 2:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin and 6 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 27, 8:28 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Albemarle, Alleghany, Augusta, Bath, Greene, Highland and 13 more | 4 hr |
| Jul 27, 8:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Frederick | 66 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2014Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.