Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 218

June 4, 20145 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 4, 2014, 2:51 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 4, 2014, 2:51 PM EDT (18:51 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2014, 12:50 AM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 116 counties

Dearborn County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Adair County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Green County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Pike County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Boone County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Roane County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan49 min
Jun 4, 3:30 PM EDTTornado WarningILNBrown, Clermont, Highland30 min
Jun 4, 3:44 PM EDTTornado WarningILNClinton, Highland, Pike, Ross31 min
Jun 4, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNGrant, Owen29 min
Jun 4, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Rowan29 min
Jun 4, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Madison21 min
Jun 4, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHarrison, Scott29 min
Jun 4, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Raleigh46 min
Jun 4, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott29 min
Jun 4, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLFleming, Rowan30 min
Jun 4, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLawrence43 min
Jun 4, 5:03 PM EDTTornado WarningILNAdams27 min
Jun 4, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis38 min
Jun 4, 5:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoyd, Greenup3 hr
Jun 4, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Harlan23 min
Jun 4, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Shelby, Woodford28 min
Jun 4, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXLee56 min
Jun 4, 5:58 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNLewis4 hr
Jun 4, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHardin, Larue, Nelson31 min
Jun 4, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXWise, City of Norton23 min
Jun 4, 6:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Fayette, Jessamine, Madison32 min
Jun 4, 6:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Mason, Pendleton, Robertson22 min
Jun 4, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Taylor29 min
Jun 4, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill28 min
Jun 4, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMadison21 min
Jun 4, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Logan, Raleigh, Wyoming39 min
Jun 4, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Lee, Owsley46 min
Jun 4, 7:27 PM EDTTornado WarningILNBracken, Mason, Robertson21 min
Jun 4, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Owsley, Perry38 min
Jun 4, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Knox, Laurel, Pulaski32 min
Jun 4, 8:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence4 hr
Jun 4, 8:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Leslie, Owsley, Perry50 min
Jun 4, 8:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoyd, Greenup113 min
Jun 4, 9:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFranklin, Shelby32 min
Jun 4, 9:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan48 min
Jun 4, 9:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Monroe30 min
Jun 4, 9:52 PM EDTTornado WarningJKLMorgan23 min
Jun 4, 10:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan38 min
Jun 4, 10:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBath, Elliott, Johnson, Morgan, Rowan4 hr
Jun 4, 11:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXLawrence4 hr
Jun 4, 11:23 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLJohnson, Magoffin, Martin, Morgan, Pike4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2014-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2014-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1323 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

980 
WWUS20 KWNS 041854
SEL8  
SPC WW 041854
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-050100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 218
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EXTREME SOUTHEAST INDIANA
  NORTHERN AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHERN OHIO
  SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM
  UNTIL 900 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
HUNTINGTON WEST VIRGINIA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF LONDON KENTUCKY. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...WHILE INITIAL ROUND OF STRONG TO ISOLD SVR STORMS WAS
PROGRESSING INTO WV ALONG WARM FRONTAL SEGMENT...MORE NUMEROUS
STRONG TO SVR STORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF THIS
INITIAL ROUND. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SPURRED BY LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING
EAST ACROSS OH AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW/FRONTAL WAVE. MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL FUEL INTENSE UPDRAFTS WHERE DEEP-LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS. DISCRETE CELLS WILL EXIST IN
A MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE LOW LEVEL SHEAR REGIME FOR MESOCYCLONES AND
PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 4:46 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCVermillion59 min
Jun 4, 1:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois, Floyd, Gibson and 11 more115 min
Jun 4, 3:21 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois, Floyd, Gibson and 16 more6 hr
Jun 4, 12:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boyd, Carter, Elliott, Fleming, Floyd and 13 more2 hr
Jun 4, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Bourbon, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clark and 36 more116 min
Jun 4, 7:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway and 22 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2014Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.