Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Charleston, WV

358 
WGUS71 KRLX 050243
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1043 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

KYC089-WVC035-053-050251-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140605T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP KY-MASON WV-JACKSON WV-
1043 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN
GREENUP COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHERN JACKSON AND MASON COUNTIES
IN WEST VIRGINIA...

THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL DOWNPOURS HAS DIMINISHED. 

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...800-401-9535...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

YOU MAY ALSO REPORT HIGH WATER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3835 8277 3838 8279 3831 8260 3841 8259
      3840 8253 3848 8207 3843 8189 3840 8190
      3830 8183 3803 8193 3802 8204 3796 8228
      3786 8241 3807 8256 3818 8290

$$

KYC019-043-127-WVC005-011-039-043-079-099-050415-
/O.CON.KRLX.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140605T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE KY-BOYD KY-CARTER KY-PUTNAM WV-LINCOLN WV-KANAWHA WV-
CABELL WV-BOONE WV-WAYNE WV-
1043 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN CARTER...SOUTHERN BOYD AND NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY...AND WAYNE...WEST CENTRAL BOONE...CABELL...EXTREME WEST 
CENTRAL KANAWHA...LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES IN WEST 
VIRGINIA...

AT 1031 PM EDT...LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE STILL 
MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...800-401-9535...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

YOU MAY ALSO REPORT HIGH WATER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 8277 3838 8279 3831 8260 3841 8259
      3840 8253 3848 8207 3843 8189 3840 8190
      3830 8183 3803 8193 3802 8204 3796 8228
      3786 8241 3807 8256 3818 8290

$$

22

257 
WGUS71 KRLX 050414
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1214 AM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

KYC019-043-127-WVC005-011-039-043-079-099-050422-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-140605T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE KY-BOYD KY-CARTER KY-PUTNAM WV-LINCOLN WV-KANAWHA WV-
CABELL WV-BOONE WV-WAYNE WV-
1214 AM EDT THU JUN 5 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1215 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CARTER...BOYD AND NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY...AND WAYNE...WEST CENTRAL BOONE...SOUTHERN CABELL...EXTREME
WEST CENTRAL KANAWHA...LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES IN
WEST VIRGINIA...

HEAVY RAIN IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. STREAMS AND
CREEKS HAVE BEGUN TO RECEDE AND NO LONGER POSE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...800-401-9535...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

YOU MAY ALSO REPORT HIGH WATER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

LAT...LON 3835 8277 3838 8279 3831 8260 3841 8259
      3840 8253 3848 8207 3843 8189 3840 8190
      3830 8183 3803 8193 3802 8204 3796 8228
      3786 8241 3807 8256 3818 8290

$$

09

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
740 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT CROSSES LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE CROSSES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. NEXT SYSTEM SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MESOSCALE UPDATE...
245 PM UPDATE...

FRESHENED UP GRIDS TO REFLECT TORNADO WATCH. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
STILL VALID CONCERNING FORECAST THINKING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...

VERY BUSY SHIFT HERE THIS MORNING. WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMING
HARD TO DISCERN ACROSS CWA BUT FEEL IT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
ACROSS S OH INTO C WV PER LATEST RUC LOW LEVEL THETA E AXIS.
BEGINNING TO SEE CONVECTION FIRE ALONG GRADIENT AND BECOMING SFC
BASED. THIS WILL SLIDE INTO PORTIONS OF SE OH/NE KY AND W WV OVER
THE NEXT FEW HRS WITH ISOLATED SVR THREAT ON COLD POOL PROPAGATION.

COMPLICATED FORECAST HEADING INTO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
BLOWOFF FROM DECAYING MCS OVER W KY THIS MORNING WITH MORE IN THE
WAY OF SFC HEATING C AND E KY INTO WV TO AID IN INSTABILITY. FEEL
THE RAP/HRRR HAVE A DECENT HANDLE ON THINGS AND USED THESE AS A BASE
FOR THE FORECAST. THINKING A FEW ROUNDS DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE MAIN
SHOW ALONG VORT LOBE...SLATED 21 TO 01Z TIME FRAME. SEE SPC TXT FOR
A MORE TECHNICAL DISCUSSION REGARDING SLIGHT RISK AND SVR THREAT
OVER E OH/E KY AND C WV AS WE ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THEIR
ASSESSMENT.

GIVEN HIGH PWATS AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME TRAINING THIS EVE AND IN
COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR NE KY/C AND S WV/SE OH UNTIL 09Z...ESSENTIALLY FOLLOWING OUTLINE
OF MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ISSUED EARLIER BY WPC.

HAVE FRONT SAGGING S THRU AREA OVERNIGHT AND SLOWING SOME ON
THURSDAY BUT SHOULD STILL BE SW OF AREA FOR TOMORROW WITH SOME FRESH
AIR TRYING TO MOVE IN FROM THE N.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A RELATIVELY BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE STORMS THIS PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE OVER CANADA NOSES SOUTHWARD INTO OUR AREA WITH DRIER AND
COOLER AIR. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE AN UPPER DISTURBANCE DROPPING
SOUTHEAST FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF OUR AREA THERE APPEARS
TO BE ENOUGH LINGERING MOISTURE AND UPPER DYNAMICS TO SQUEEZE OUT A
FEW SHOWERS FAR SOUTH FRIDAY. CHOSE A MIDDLE OF ROAD SCENARIO AS
SOME MODELS KEEP RAIN SOUTH OF US...WHILE OTHER BRING RAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. LOOK FOR BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
WITH A WARMING TREND SATURDAY UNDER LOTS OF SUNSHINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FOLLOWED HPC THINKING ON A RATHER UNSETTLED PATTERN AS THE SOUTHERN
EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES ALOFT RETURN OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE
VALLEYS. THIS WILL ALLOW A FRONTAL SYSTEM TO MEANDER NORTH AND SOUTH
THROUGH OUR AREA...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. PERHAPS BY
TUESDAY...THE FRONT MAY DRIFT FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO ALLOW SOME COOLER
AND DRIER AIR AT LEAST ACROSS THE NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FRONT STILL SLIDING SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH LINE OF
CONVECTION PUSHING THROUGH. KEEPING 1 TO 2 HR IFR TEMPO TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE CONVECTION WITH SOME GUSTS FOR MAINLY THE EASTERN
SITES.

EXPECT STRATUS TO HANG ON TONIGHT WITH MVFR VSBY FG. FLOW SHOULD
PREVENT WIDESPREAD DENSE FG. FRONT CONTINUES TO CROSS OVERNIGHT
...TAKING INTO MORNING TO CLEAR SW VA. ANY LOW STRATUS WILL
QUICKLY SCT OUT IN THE MORNING WITH SCT TO BKN FLAT LOW END VFR CU
WITH DAYTIME HEATING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND DEGREE OF IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS
COULD VARY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  IF A LARGE BOWING LINE DEVELOPS
LATER TODAY...THAT WOULD LIKELY SPEED UP THE TIMING...ESPECIALLY
DOWNSTREAM...AS WELL AS INCREASE THE WIND THREAT.  TIMING AND EXTENT
OF POST RAIN FOG AND STRATUS WILL VARY LATE TONIGHT.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                            THU 06/05/14
UTC 1HRLY       00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
EDT 1HRLY       20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    M    M    H    H    H    M    M    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    M    L    L    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    H    M    H    L    M    M    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    M    H    H    H    M    M    L    L    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    H

AFTER 00Z FRIDAY...
NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR WVZ005>008-
     013>018-024>029.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR OHZ083>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMV/30
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...JMV
LONG TERM...JMV
AVIATION...KMC/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
306 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083-086-087-WVZ005>008-013>017-024>026-051915-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-JACKSON OH-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-MINGO-
LOGAN-BOONE-
306 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-067-075-076-WVZ009>011-019-020-030>032-035>040-046-047-051915-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-RITCHIE-
DODDRIDGE-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-
UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
306 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ084-085-WVZ018-027>029-051915-
VINTON-MEIGS-CALHOUN-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-
306 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ003-004-WVZ033-034-051915-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
306 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 218 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
703 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 ENE COAL GROVE        38.53N  82.55W
06/04/2014                   LAWRENCE           OH   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER OVER COUNTY ROAD 6 NEAR ROCK CAMP FROM ICE CREEK.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400971

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
708 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SE AID                38.55N  82.43W
06/04/2014                   LAWRENCE           OH   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER FROM MCKINNEY CREEK OVER COUNTY ROAD 36 IN
            MULTIPLE LOCATIONS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400972

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
722 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HAMLIN                  38.28N  82.11W
06/04/2014  M1.10 INCH       LINCOLN            WV   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.1 INCHES RAIN SINCE 5AM WED AM... WITH APPROX 1INCH
            FALL SINCE 5PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400973

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
749 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE ATHALIA           38.50N  82.25W
06/04/2014                   CABELL             WV   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            BIG 7 MILE ROAD IS FLOODED AND CLOSED...FIRST REPORTS
            OF WATER OVER ROAD ESTIMATED AT 5 PM...RAIN HAS
            CONTINUED SINCE THEN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400975

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
757 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PENNSBORO               39.28N  80.97W
06/04/2014                   RITCHIE            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HORNERS RUN AND BUNNELLS RUN OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
            BUNNELLS RUN FLOODING LOCAL RACETRACK. WATER IS RECEDING
            NOW.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400976

NW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
759 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 ENE POINT PLEASANT    38.89N  82.03W
06/04/2014  M0.72 INCH       MASON              WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.72 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 7 AM...0.79 INCHES IN
            PREVIOUS 24 HRS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1400977

JM