Tornado Watch 445

Issued

Jul 27, 2014, 12:00 PM CDT (17:00 UTC)

Expired

Jul 27, 2014, 11:15 PM CDT

In force

11 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

2.5 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

70%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

30%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

90%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1480Jul 27, 10:19 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1485Jul 27, 2:14 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1491Jul 27, 6:28 PM CDT

836 
WWUS20 KWNS 271657
SEL5  
SPC WW 271657
KYZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-280000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 445
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
  EAST TENNESSEE
  EXTREME SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
  800 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRISTOL TENNESSEE. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...IN VICINITY OF A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  INCREASING INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE SHEAR
PROFILES WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.


...HART

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2014Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.