Alert archive / Ohio / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 447

July 27, 20145 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 27, 2014, 1:44 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2014, 1:44 PM EDT (17:44 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2014, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 143 counties

Boone County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Garrett County, MD, Adams County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Athens County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Greene County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Perry County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Portage County, OH, Preble County, OH, Richland County, OH, Ross County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Union County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Warren County, OH, Washington County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEKnox, Morrow54 min
Jul 27, 2:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Tuscarawas39 min
Jul 27, 3:06 PM EDTTornado WarningILNChampaign, Logan, Madison, Union24 min
Jul 27, 3:30 PM EDTTornado WarningILNChampaign, Madison, Union19 min
Jul 27, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Butler, Clarion31 min
Jul 27, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZMonroe41 min
Jul 27, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Licking31 min
Jul 27, 5:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCLECuyahoga, Geauga4 hr
Jul 27, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Forest, Jefferson26 min
Jul 27, 5:07 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZMarion, Monongalia, Wetzel23 min
Jul 27, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMorgan, Perry25 min
Jul 27, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAuglaize, Mercer24 min
Jul 27, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXMorgan, Washington28 min
Jul 27, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAuglaize, Darke, Mercer, Miami, Shelby37 min
Jul 27, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAuglaize, Logan, Shelby39 min
Jul 27, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXWashington67 min
Jul 27, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Preble49 min
Jul 27, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLogan, Union33 min
Jul 27, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLECuyahoga, Lake, Lorain63 min
Jul 27, 8:08 PM EDTTornado WarningRLXRitchie22 min
Jul 27, 8:21 PM EDTTornado WarningCLECuyahoga, Lake39 min
Jul 27, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBarbour, Harrison, Lewis, Upshur27 min
Jul 27, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEGeauga, Portage, Summit48 min
Jul 27, 8:47 PM EDTTornado WarningRLXBarbour, Harrison, Lewis, Upshur28 min
Jul 27, 8:54 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCLECuyahoga, Geauga, Lake6 hr
Jul 27, 9:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEPortage, Summit47 min
Jul 27, 9:12 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBarbour, Doddridge, Harrison, Lewis3 hr
Jul 27, 9:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLETrumbull57 min
Jul 27, 9:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEAshtabula44 min
Jul 27, 9:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZTucker51 min
Jul 27, 9:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMahoning44 min
Jul 27, 9:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis24 min
Jul 27, 9:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEStark46 min
Jul 27, 9:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2014-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 426 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2014-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
426 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-183 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
973 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

840 
WWUS20 KWNS 271744
SEL7  
SPC WW 271744
INZ000-KYZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-280100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 447
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EAST CENTRAL INDIANA
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  EXTREME WESTERN MARYLAND
  OHIO
  WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
  NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
  LAKE ERIE

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL
  900 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF DAYTON
OHIO TO 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LATROBE PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 445...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
ACROSS MUCH OF OH THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH.  STRONG INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE SHEAR WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST CELLS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 9:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Carroll, Crittenden and 25 more64 min
Jul 26, 9:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 50 more3 hr
Jul 26, 11:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 54 more61 min
Jul 27, 4:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Boyle, Bullitt, Casey, Garrard, Green and 14 more116 min
Jul 27, 11:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 61 more116 min
Jul 27, 1:00 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 65 more11 hr
Jul 27, 3:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bath, Bell, Bourbon and 53 more2 hr
Jul 27, 7:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 56 more92 min
Jul 27, 6:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll66 min
Jul 27, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Carroll, Frederick, Washington7 hr
Jul 27, 12:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ashland, Carroll, Champaign, Clark, Columbiana and 34 more83 min
Jul 27, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Paulding, Putnam and 2 more6 hr
Jul 27, 4:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Paulding, Putnam and 2 more65 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2014Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2014Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.