Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1489

July 27, 2014Carroll County, Maryland; 7 counties in New York; 44 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 27, 2014, 6:09 PM EDT for Carroll County, Maryland; 7 counties in New York; 44 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2014, 6:09 PM EDT (22:09 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2014, 7:15 PM EDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 52 counties

Carroll County, MD, Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 843 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
843 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 1:44 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCGarrett9 hr
Jul 27, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Carroll, Frederick, Washington7 hr
Jul 27, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Clinton, Columbia, Dutchess, Essex, Franklin and 12 more63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.