Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 19

February 20, 20145 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 20, 2014, 10:47 PM EST for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2014, 10:47 PM EST (03:47 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 5:00 AM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 103 counties

Bartow County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hall County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Swain County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 11:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Rockcastle38 min
Feb 20, 11:12 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJackson, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle and 2 more48 min
Feb 20, 11:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Marion, Sequatchie58 min
Feb 20, 11:20 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and 1 more40 min
Feb 20, 11:21 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCampbell, Morgan, Scott54 min
Feb 20, 11:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Rockcastle, Wolfe49 min
Feb 20, 11:55 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Jackson, Knox, Laurel, McCreary and 2 more50 min
Feb 20, 11:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan and 3 more33 min
Feb 21, 12:06 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Hamilton, Marion, Meigs, Rhea, Sequatchie54 min
Feb 21, 12:10 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Claiborne, Morgan, Roane, Scott65 min
Feb 21, 12:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Magoffin, Morgan, Owsley, Wolfe45 min
Feb 21, 12:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMarion15 min
Feb 21, 12:20 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLElliott, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan, Wolfe40 min
Feb 21, 12:27 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Breathitt, Clay, Harlan, Knott, Knox and 4 more48 min
Feb 21, 12:28 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDade, Walker32 min
Feb 21, 12:53 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Campbell, Knox, Loudon, Morgan, Roane67 min
Feb 21, 12:54 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton, McMinn, Meigs, Monroe, Rhea51 min
Feb 21, 12:57 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Dade, Walker48 min
Feb 21, 12:57 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin and 1 more48 min
Feb 21, 1:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, Hamilton60 min
Feb 21, 1:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Letcher, Magoffin, Perry and 1 more46 min
Feb 21, 1:36 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMcMinn, Monroe39 min
Feb 21, 1:39 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hamblen and 5 more66 min
Feb 21, 1:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMartin, Pike34 min
Feb 21, 1:49 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPike56 min
Feb 21, 1:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBradley, McMinn, Monroe, Polk47 min
Feb 21, 2:07 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Murray, Walker, Whitfield38 min
Feb 21, 2:16 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Grainger, Hancock, Hawkins, Sullivan44 min
Feb 21, 2:34 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Cocke, Greene, Hamblen, Jefferson, Knox and 1 more56 min
Feb 21, 2:45 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBartow, Floyd45 min
Feb 21, 2:46 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCGilmer, Gordon, Murray44 min
Feb 21, 2:59 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningJKLClay, Knox, McCreary, Whitley4 hr
Feb 21, 3:08 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXHawkins, Sullivan52 min
Feb 21, 3:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Greene, Johnson, Unicoi, Washington61 min
Feb 21, 3:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGraham, Swain47 min
Feb 21, 3:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCarter, Johnson, Sullivan47 min
Feb 21, 4:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPHaywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2014-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 231 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2014-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
231 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-78 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1039 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

083 
WWUS20 KWNS 210353
SEL9  
SPC WW 210353
GAZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-211000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 19
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTH GEORGIA
  EASTERN KENTUCKY
  FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
  EASTERN TENNESSEE
  FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
  UNTIL 500 AM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
JACKSON KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ROME GEORGIA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...WW 15...WW 16...WW
17...WW 18...

DISCUSSION...SFC AND VWP DATA SUGGEST THAT COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH DEEPENING MID-MS VLY SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE STEADILY ESE ACROSS
THE TN VLY OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD SERVE TO KEEP EXISTING PRE-FRONTAL
SQLN ACTIVE AS ASSOCIATED LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE FORCES PARCELS THROUGH
ELEVATED CAP AND NOCTURNAL CIN LAYER. GIVEN STRENGTH OF WIND
FIELD...AND SOME INCREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED WITH THE APPROACH OF
SECONDARY UPR IMPULSE NOW OVER THE WRN OZARKS...SETUP MAY SUPPORT
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK
FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY SHORT-LIVED BUT FAST-MOVING TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 10:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Dawson, Fannin and 10 more61 min
Feb 21, 1:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaker, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Calhoun, Carroll and 55 more7 hr
Feb 21, 4:33 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Calhoun, Chattahoochee and 45 more87 min
Feb 21, 6:39 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien and 64 more9 hr
Feb 21, 8:17 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brantley and 33 more118 min
Feb 21, 10:13 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Camden, Charlton, Glynn, Ware92 min
Feb 21, 12:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baldwin, Ben Hill, Berrien and 61 more62 min
Feb 20, 9:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Boone, Boyle and 41 more86 min
Feb 20, 11:38 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Boyd, Bracken, Campbell and 23 more67 min
Feb 21, 12:02 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Bracken, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence, Lewis and 3 more4 hr
Feb 21, 3:11 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 14 more94 min
Feb 21, 8:57 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Bladen, Caswell, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland and 22 more63 min
Feb 21, 10:02 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Bladen, Brunswick, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland and 24 more6 hr
Feb 21, 10:39 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more5 hr
Feb 21, 11:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Carteret, Chowan, Columbus and 27 more55 min
Feb 21, 12:15 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Dare, Duplin, Greene and 9 more5 hr
Feb 21, 1:14 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 19 more61 min
Feb 20, 7:49 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 26 more6 hr
Feb 20, 9:01 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Clay, Coffee, Cumberland and 33 more89 min
Feb 21, 12:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAccomack, Charles City, Essex, Gloucester, Isle of Wight, James City and 24 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2014Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.