Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 23

February 21, 201430 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 21, 2014, 10:02 AM EST for 30 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2014, 10:02 AM EST (15:02 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 4:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 38 counties

Alamance County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pender County, NC, Person County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 10:04 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Montgomery, Moore26 min
Feb 21, 10:27 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Lee, Orange and 3 more48 min
Feb 21, 10:41 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more64 min
Feb 21, 11:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Halifax, Harnett, Johnston, Nash and 4 more48 min
Feb 21, 11:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMDarlington, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Marlboro45 min
Feb 21, 11:47 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke58 min
Feb 21, 11:59 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Robeson61 min
Feb 21, 12:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Johnston, Nash, Wilson73 min
Feb 21, 12:13 PM ESTTornado WarningILMRobeson47 min
Feb 21, 12:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Sampson62 min
Feb 21, 12:57 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Robeson63 min
Feb 21, 1:12 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Johnston, Nash, Sampson, Wayne and 1 more78 min
Feb 21, 1:25 PM ESTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne20 min
Feb 21, 1:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMPender59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 24 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 272 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

254 
WWUS20 KWNS 211458
SEL3  
SPC WW 211458
NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-212100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 23
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
  EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1000 AM UNTIL
  400 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SQLN EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER PIEDMONT NC AND
NRN SC LATER THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO CONTINUED SFC HEATING AND
CONTINUED NE MOTION OF TN VLY UPR VORT. INTENSITY OF WIND FIELD AND
PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR ROBUST STORMS SUGGEST RISK FOR
LEWPS/BOWS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 10:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham, Swain61 min
Feb 20, 10:47 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon and 2 more6 hr
Feb 21, 3:11 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 14 more94 min
Feb 21, 8:57 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Bladen, Caswell, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland and 22 more63 min
Feb 21, 10:39 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more5 hr
Feb 21, 11:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Carteret, Chowan, Columbus and 27 more55 min
Feb 21, 12:15 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Dare, Duplin, Greene and 9 more5 hr
Feb 21, 1:14 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 19 more61 min
Feb 21, 6:39 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Allendale, Anderson, Bamberg, Barnwell and 30 more9 hr
Feb 21, 8:17 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Calhoun and 12 more118 min
Feb 21, 12:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Allendale, Anderson, Bamberg, Barnwell and 20 more62 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2014Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.