Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Raleigh, NC

614 
WWUS52 KRAH 211716
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1216 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

NCC051-085-093-211745-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140221T1745Z/
CUMBERLAND NC-HOKE NC-HARNETT NC-
1216 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM EST
FOR CUMBERLAND...HOKE AND HARNETT COUNTIES...
 
AT 1216 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
SOUTH OF GARNER TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT BRAGG...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAYETTEVILLE...RAEFORD...LILLINGTON...FORT BRAGG...DUNN...ANGIER...
BENSON...GODWIN...DUNDARRACH...ANTIOCH...POPE AFB...HOPE MILLS...
SPRING LAKE...BUIES CREEK...ERWIN...EASTOVER...COATS...STEDMAN...WADE
AND FALCON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH A
TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS A VERY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
 
&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3485 7934 3493 7935 3517 7912 3518 7910
      3520 7908 3555 7881 3552 7869 3534 7853
      3525 7862 3520 7864 3511 7864 3509 7867
      3499 7864 3495 7859 3485 7861 3484 7890
      3490 7894 3495 7903 3483 7920
TIME...MOT...LOC 1716Z 237DEG 34KT 3561 7860 3505 7907 

$$

KRD

488 
WWUS52 KRAH 211746
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1246 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

NCC051-085-093-211755-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140221T1745Z/
CUMBERLAND NC-HOKE NC-HARNETT NC-
1246 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND...HOKE AND HARNETT
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN CUMBERLAND...EASTERN HARNETT AND SAMPSON COUNTIES. 

LAT...LON 3485 7934 3493 7935 3517 7912 3518 7910
      3520 7908 3555 7881 3552 7869 3534 7853
      3525 7862 3520 7864 3511 7864 3509 7867
      3499 7864 3495 7859 3485 7861 3484 7890
      3490 7894 3495 7903 3483 7920
TIME...MOT...LOC 1743Z 237DEG 34KT 3561 7860 3505 7907 

$$

KRD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1050 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG COLD FRONT AND LINE OF STORMS WILL SWEEP EAST
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
OUR AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DRIFT EAST
AND OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1045 PM FRIDAY...

TORNADO WATCH 23 IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA
UNTIL 4PM.  THE PRIMARY AXIS OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE CURRENTLY
STRETCHES FROM EAST OF ROXBORO TO SILER CITY TO ROCKINGHAM...MOVING
TO THE EAST WITH INDIVIDUAL CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST.  MORNING ANALYSIS OF SHEAR PARAMETERS...SLIGHTLY CURVED
BUT LONG HODOGRAPHS...50KT OF 0-1KM BULK SHEAR AND 300 M2/S2 OF 0-
1KM SRH...STILL SUPPORTS EMBEDDED BOWING/ROTATING SEGMENTS WITHIN
THE LINE.  WEVE HAD A FEW REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT AND SOME WEAK AND TRANSIENT ROTATION SHOWING UP AT RADAR.
DESPITE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ANVIL CIRRUS...SPC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS AN
INSTABILITY AXIS OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG MLCAPE FROM US HWY 1 EASTWARD.
THE BEST INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE ALONG EAST OF I-95 EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE LINE ENCROACHES ON BETTER HEATING AND A PLUME OF
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SLOWLY SHIFTING EAST TOWARD THE COAST.
CURRENT TIMING OF THE LINE LOOKS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS
FORECASTS...WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO....REACHING THE TRIANGLE BY NOON
AND EXITING THE COASTAL PLAIN BY AROUND 2-3PM.

OTHER THAN THE SEVERE THREAT...THERE MAY BE A SECOND BAND OF SHOWERS
WITH THE FRONT ITSELF...WHICH SOME HI-RES MODELS HINT AT WILL MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS TO HOLD ONTO A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT.

 TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL
BUILD INTO CENTRAL NC. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ADVECT A SLIGHTLY
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS I TO THE REGION. MIXING INITIALLY THIS
EVENING WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM FREE-FALLING. AFTER MIDNIGHT...COULD
SEE SFC WINDS DECOUPLE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...ALLOWING TEMPS TO COOL.
MIN TEMPS IN THE MID-UPPER 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 304 AM FRIDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...
AND A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. INITIAL COLD ADVECTION EARLY SATURDAY WILL
BECOME NEUTRAL... AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW REMAINS PRIMARILY
SOUTHWESTERLY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY... AND TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SUNDAY... WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW...
AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN SATURDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 305 AM FRIDAY...

A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY MORNING...
BRINGING TEMPERATURES MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEK.

STRONG SIGNAL FOR RIDGING ACROSS THE WESTERN US... WITH BROAD
TROUGHING DEVELOPING OVER THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEK. THIS WILL
BRING TEMPS BACK BELOW NORMAL. WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST
FLOW GENERALLY STAY NORTH OF OUR AREA THROUGH THIS PERIOD... WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF WEDNESDAY WHEN A AN IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT ARE PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA... AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINA COAST... BRINGING
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 645 AM FRIDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF SHOWERS AND STRONG
TO BRIEFLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE SHOWERS
AND STORMS WERE EXITING THE NC MOUNTAINS AT 1130Z...STILL MOVING
QUICKLY TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE SHOWERS AND
STORMS SHOULD REACH THE NW PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD BY 13Z...THE
TRIANGLE AREA AND SANDHILLS INCLUDING KRDU AND KFAY BETWEEN 15Z AND
17Z...AND THE COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING KRWI AND KGSB BETWEEN 16Z AND
18Z. THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BE MOST UNSTABLE ACROSS THE
SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN...SO A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
WIND GUSTS 40-50KTS MAY OCCUR IN THIS REGION. OTHERWISE EXPECT
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN VICINITY OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS.

WLY FLOW BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL ADVECT DRIER AND
STABLE AIR INTO CENTRAL NC. THIS WILL LEAD TO CLEARING SKIES WEST-TO-
EAST...STARTING AROUND MID DAY IN THE TRIAD...REACHING THE TRIANGLE
BY MID AFTERNOON...AND THE COASTAL PLAIN BY 21-23Z.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO CENTRAL NC TONIGHT AND LINGER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE CENTRAL NC WITH VFR
CONDITIONS.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS CENTRAL NC SUNDAY. SINCE THE AIR MASS WILL
BE RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE...THIS WEATHER FEATURE EXPECTED TO HAVE
LITTLE IMPACT ON AVIATION CONDITIONS ASIDE FROM SFC WINDS VEERING
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS/SMITH
SHORT TERM..SEC
LONG TERM...SEC
AVIATION...WSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1025 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

NCZ021-022-038-039-073-074-083-221530-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON-
1025 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ007>011-023>028-040>043-075>078-084>086-088-089-221530-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-
FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-
HARNETT-WAYNE-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1025 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 23 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1123 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE DABNEY            36.36N  78.45W
02/21/2014                   VANCE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN NEAR KELLY ROAD AND LEE LANE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400944

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1128 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N RALEIGH             35.86N  78.64W
02/21/2014                   WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN ALONG SIX FORKS ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400945

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1129 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1124 AM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE YOUNGSVILLE        36.05N  78.44W
02/21/2014  M51 MPH          FRANKLIN           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400946

NP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1132 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1051 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW BETHESDA           35.94N  78.86W
02/21/2014                   DURHAM             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE PINE TREE BLOWN DOWN AND LARGE LIMBS ALSO DOWN
            ALONG ELLIS ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY 147.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400947

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1138 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E SANFORD             35.48N  79.17W
02/21/2014                   LEE                NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON OAKWOOD AVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400948

NP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1147 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E BISCOE              35.36N  79.73W
02/21/2014                   MONTGOMERY         NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD 24 27 AREA...NEAR THE COUNTY
            LINE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1400949

NP