Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 25

February 21, 201415 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 21, 2014, 12:15 PM EST for 15 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2014, 12:15 PM EST (17:15 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2014, 4:55 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt

Counties Beaufort County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Craven County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 1:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin, Greene, Lenoir, Martin, Pitt82 min
Feb 21, 2:04 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCraven, Duplin, Jones, Onslow86 min
Feb 21, 2:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Hyde, Martin, Pitt, Tyrrell, Washington53 min
Feb 21, 3:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXPamlico57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 418 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
418 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
602 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

054 
WWUS20 KWNS 211714
SEL5  
SPC WW 211714
NCZ000-CWZ000-220000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
  700 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO 40 MILES EAST OF WILMINGTON
NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 22...WW 23...WW 24...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING INVOF SUB-SYNOPTIC WAVE ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL SQLN OVER ERN SC AND THE NC SAND HILLS EXPECTED TO
MOVE/DEVELOP NE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
AFTN. VERY STRONG SWLY MID/UPR-LVL FLOW...MODEST SFC HEATING...AND
CONVERGENCE ALONG EXISTING STORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES EXPECTED TO
SUPPORT EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DMGG
WIND/POSSIBLE TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 10:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham, Swain61 min
Feb 20, 10:47 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon and 2 more6 hr
Feb 21, 3:11 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 14 more94 min
Feb 21, 8:57 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Bladen, Caswell, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland and 22 more63 min
Feb 21, 10:02 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Bladen, Brunswick, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland and 24 more6 hr
Feb 21, 10:39 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more5 hr
Feb 21, 11:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Carteret, Chowan, Columbus and 27 more55 min
Feb 21, 1:14 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 19 more61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.