Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 285

March 19, 20125 counties in Kansas; 27 counties in Oklahoma; Wilbarger County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 19, 2012, 3:34 AM CDT for 5 counties in Kansas; 27 counties in Oklahoma; Wilbarger County, Texas. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2012, 3:34 AM CDT (08:34 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Barber County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Harper County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lamont, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 877 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lamont, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 206 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
877 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
866 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
311 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

060 
ACUS11 KWNS 190835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190834
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-191000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL OK INTO PARTS OF S CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 83...

VALID 190834Z - 191000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 83
CONTINUES.

IT IS NOT YET CERTAIN THAT A NEW WW WILL BE NEEDED NORTH AND EAST OF
WW 83...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

THE NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATING SEGMENT OF A MORE EXTENSIVE SQUALL
LINE...WHICH CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...HAS
GENERALLY MAINTAINED A STEADY STRENGTH AS IT ADVANCES INTO WESTERN
OKLAHOMA.  ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY TO RAPIDLY PROGRESS INTO THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
BY 11-12Z...WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR LOCALLY STRONG AND DAMAGING
SURFACE GUSTS.  THEREAFTER...INFLOW OF LESS UNSTABLE AIR IN
CONJUNCTION WITH WEAKENING UPPER SUPPORT...AND AT LEAST SOME
WEAKENING OF THE SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...MAY CONTRIBUTE TO A DIMINISHING SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT.  IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SUFFICIENT WEAKENING MAY OCCUR
THAT AN ADDITIONAL WW TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WW 83 MAY NOT BECOME
NECESSARY...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT PROBABLY BECOMING FOCUSED
ACROSS PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY AFTER
DAYBREAK.

..KERR.. 03/19/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   35829950 36899929 37409874 37729736 37369676 36499647
            35539695 34669781 34149849 34039951 35829950

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Gray, Lane, Meade67 min
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Ford, Gray, Meade, Seward53 min
Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 2 more53 min
Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills and 2 more35 min
Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills83 min
Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 19 more4 hr
Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin and 15 more115 min
Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Love, Marshall90 min
Mar 19, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 14 more95 min
Mar 19, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 11 more5 hr
Mar 19, 6:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 9 more58 min
Mar 19, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 6 more5 hr
Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more96 min
Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more11 hr
Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBriscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more4 hr
Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more92 min
Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more7 hr
Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more89 min
Mar 19, 2:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman and 42 more7 hr
Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more85 min
Mar 19, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 26 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.