Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 85
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2012, 2:39 PM CDT for 48 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 19, 2012, 2:39 PM CDT (19:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 19, 2012, 9:53 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Bandera County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Denton County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Wise County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 45 min |
| Mar 19, 3:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Edwards, Val Verde | 39 min |
| Mar 19, 3:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Wise | 35 min |
| Mar 19, 3:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Sutton | 35 min |
| Mar 19, 3:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Sutton | 49 min |
| Mar 19, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Denton, Montague, Wise | 47 min |
| Mar 19, 3:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble, Sutton | 35 min |
| Mar 19, 4:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble | 31 min |
| Mar 19, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch, Menard | 38 min |
| Mar 19, 4:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble | 25 min |
| Mar 19, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 5:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason | 36 min |
| Mar 19, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Mason, Menard | 47 min |
| Mar 19, 5:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Edwards | 42 min |
| Mar 19, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina, Uvalde | 49 min |
| Mar 19, 5:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard, Sutton | 43 min |
| Mar 19, 5:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Mason | 37 min |
| Mar 19, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina, Zavala | 55 min |
| Mar 19, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble | 24 min |
| Mar 19, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch, San Saba | 38 min |
| Mar 19, 6:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Llano | 27 min |
| Mar 19, 6:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 38 min |
| Mar 19, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde | 50 min |
| Mar 19, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala | 67 min |
| Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 57 min |
| Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | San Saba | 27 min |
| Mar 19, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lampasas | 49 min |
| Mar 19, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Frio, Medina | 60 min |
| Mar 19, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr | 55 min |
| Mar 19, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Frio | 58 min |
| Mar 19, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Coryell, Lampasas | 50 min |
| Mar 19, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 46 min |
| Mar 19, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 55 min |
| Mar 19, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 29 min |
| Mar 19, 7:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Medina | 31 min |
| Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr | 43 min |
| Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 48 min |
| Mar 19, 8:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Frio | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Coryell, McLennan | 45 min |
| Mar 19, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 65 min |
| Mar 19, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 61 min |
| Mar 19, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr | 66 min |
| Mar 19, 9:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas | 4 hr |
| Mar 19, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Uvalde | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 9:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kerr, Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| Mar 19, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde | 60 min |
| Mar 19, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde, Zavala | 59 min |
| Mar 19, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, McCulloch, San Saba | 15 min |
| Mar 19, 9:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Bell, Coryell, McLennan | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1782 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 509 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 318 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 447 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.3
- Supercell composite
- 17.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
581
WWUS20 KWNS 191940
SEL5
SPC WW 191940
TXZ000-200300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
SHERMAN TEXAS TO 85 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS SHOWN A TENDENCY TO INTENSIFY ALONG AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS DRIFTING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL/N CENTRAL
TX...PARTIALLY AIDED BY THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF AN EMBEDDED SPEED
MAX EJECTING NEWD OVER W TX. MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY IS PRESENT
E OF THE BOUNDARY...AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
AS WELL AS BOWING SEGMENTS. AS A RESULT...THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO
THIS EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...ANY OF THE STORMS ROOTED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Fisher, Foard and 13 more | 53 min |
| Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Donley and 7 more | 35 min |
| Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more | 96 min |
| Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more | 11 hr |
| Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Briscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree and 2 more | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens and 25 more | 83 min |
| Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wilbarger | 86 min |
| Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more | 92 min |
| Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cooke, Grayson, Montague | 115 min |
| Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more | 89 min |
| Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Concho, Cooke and 26 more | 90 min |
| Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more | 85 min |
| Mar 19, 6:21 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 26 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.