Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 85

March 19, 201248 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2012, 2:39 PM CDT for 48 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2012, 2:39 PM CDT (19:39 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2012, 9:53 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Bandera County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Denton County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Wise County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

50 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDPalo Pinto, Parker45 min
Mar 19, 3:06 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXEdwards, Val Verde39 min
Mar 19, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Wise35 min
Mar 19, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTSutton35 min
Mar 19, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSutton49 min
Mar 19, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Montague, Wise47 min
Mar 19, 3:55 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTKimble, Sutton35 min
Mar 19, 4:29 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTKimble31 min
Mar 19, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, Menard38 min
Mar 19, 4:50 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTKimble25 min
Mar 19, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards53 min
Mar 19, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTKimble, Mason36 min
Mar 19, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Mason, Menard47 min
Mar 19, 5:18 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXEdwards42 min
Mar 19, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde49 min
Mar 19, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Menard, Sutton43 min
Mar 19, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTMason37 min
Mar 19, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Zavala55 min
Mar 19, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble24 min
Mar 19, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba38 min
Mar 19, 6:03 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXLlano27 min
Mar 19, 6:07 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Medina38 min
Mar 19, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde50 min
Mar 19, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala67 min
Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Real57 min
Mar 19, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba27 min
Mar 19, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLampasas49 min
Mar 19, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFrio, Medina60 min
Mar 19, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Kerr55 min
Mar 19, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio58 min
Mar 19, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCoryell, Lampasas50 min
Mar 19, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real46 min
Mar 19, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Real55 min
Mar 19, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde53 min
Mar 19, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie29 min
Mar 19, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Medina31 min
Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBandera, Kerr43 min
Mar 19, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina48 min
Mar 19, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio53 min
Mar 19, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Coryell, McLennan45 min
Mar 19, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde65 min
Mar 19, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal, Uvalde61 min
Mar 19, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Kendall, Kerr66 min
Mar 19, 9:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDCollin, Dallas4 hr
Mar 19, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde53 min
Mar 19, 9:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kerr, Real, Uvalde3 hr
Mar 19, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde60 min
Mar 19, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde, Zavala59 min
Mar 19, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, McCulloch, San Saba15 min
Mar 19, 9:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDBell, Coryell, McLennan3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1782 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 318 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1782 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
318 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
447 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.3
Supercell composite
17.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

581 
WWUS20 KWNS 191940
SEL5  
SPC WW 191940
TXZ000-200300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
SHERMAN TEXAS TO 85 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS SHOWN A TENDENCY TO INTENSIFY ALONG AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS DRIFTING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL/N CENTRAL
TX...PARTIALLY AIDED BY THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF AN EMBEDDED SPEED
MAX EJECTING NEWD OVER W TX.  MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY IS PRESENT
E OF THE BOUNDARY...AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
AS WELL AS BOWING SEGMENTS.  AS A RESULT...THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO
THIS EVENING.  ADDITIONALLY...ANY OF THE STORMS ROOTED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Fisher, Foard and 13 more53 min
Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Donley and 7 more35 min
Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more96 min
Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more11 hr
Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBriscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more4 hr
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree and 2 more53 min
Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens and 25 more83 min
Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more4 hr
Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWilbarger86 min
Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more92 min
Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more7 hr
Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cooke, Grayson, Montague115 min
Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more89 min
Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Concho, Cooke and 26 more90 min
Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more85 min
Mar 19, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 26 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.