Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 299

March 19, 201224 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 19, 2012, 9:46 PM CDT for 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2012, 9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2012, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 24 counties

Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hill County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Medina County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Real County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 362 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1142 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1142 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-180 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2280 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

312 
ACUS11 KWNS 200247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200246
TXZ000-200445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0299
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL THROUGH NERN TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 200246Z - 200445Z

HEAVY RAIN WITH RATES LOCALLY FROM 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL REMAIN
LIKELY INTO THE EARLY MORNING. THE HIGHER RATES ARE EXPECTED FROM
S-CNTRL THROUGH ECNTRL TX INCLUDING THE HILL COUNTRY.

EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NERN TX
SWWD THROUGH SCNTRL AND SWRN TX EAST OF DEL RIO. NERN PORTION OF THE
BOUNDARY HAS BEEN A LITTLE MORE PROGRESSIVE...BUT TREND HAS BEEN FOR
THIS FEATURE TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY...ESPECIALLY ALONG SWRN
PORTIONS. DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO OVERTAKE THE
BOUNDARY WITH CONVECTION BACKBUILDING SWWD TO NEAR THE MEXICAN
BORDER. WITH HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH AXIS STILL TO THE WEST AND THE
TENDENCY FOR MID-UPPER FLOW TO BACK WITH TIME...STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TRAINING NEWD ALONG THE BOUNDARY. A SLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN
INFLUX OF HIGH THETA-E AIR FROM THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR
AS THE STORMS TRAIN NEWD THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.

..DIAL.. 03/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   32689569 30559740 28719987 29440058 31089851 33169627
            32689569

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more9 hr
Mar 19, 8:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 30 more53 min
Mar 19, 11:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Burleson, Caldwell and 28 more67 min
Mar 20, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar and 52 more9 hr
Mar 20, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Calhoun, Colorado, DeWitt, Duval and 13 more92 min
Mar 20, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 3 more2 hr
Mar 20, 9:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChambers, Galveston, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Liberty and 6 more87 min
Mar 20, 9:46 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Sabine and 3 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.