Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 304

March 20, 201221 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 20, 2012, 9:03 AM CDT for 21 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 87 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2012, 9:03 AM CDT (14:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2012, 10:30 AM CDT
In force
87 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Chambers County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1368 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 225 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1368 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
555 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
8.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

049 
ACUS11 KWNS 201404
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201403
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-201530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0903 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST TX/WESTERN LA TO FAR SOUTHERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 201403Z - 201530Z

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 91 HAS BEEN TEMPORALLY EXTENDED /15Z/ ACROSS
COASTAL SOUTHEAST TX...FOR A LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE/TORNADO THREAT
ASIDE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL. TO THE EAST OF WW 91...MONITORING FOR AN
INCREASING TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE THREAT FROM FAR EAST TX INTO LA AND
PERHAPS EVENTUALLY FAR SOUTHERN AR. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
WITHIN THE HOUR ESPECIALLY FOR FAR SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA.

FOCUSED ALONG COMPOSITE OUTFLOW...A SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO MAKE A
SLOW BUT STEADY GENERAL EASTWARD PROGRESSION THIS MORNING ACROSS FAR
EASTERN TX/UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN. AHEAD OF THIS LINE...SHORT TERM
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE WARM LAYER ALOFT /GENERALLY
CENTERED 700 MB/ AS NOTED PER 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM SHREVEPORT
AND LAKE CHARLES SHOULD ABATE THROUGH ASCENT AND SQUALL
LINE/COMPOSITE OUTFLOW UPLIFT. ACCORDINGLY...AS THE PRE-CONVECTIVE
LINE DIURNALLY HEATS /ALBEIT MODESTLY/...AN ALREADY
MOIST/UNINHIBITED BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD ALLOW FOR GRADUAL UPDRAFT
INTENSIFICATION THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING AND ESPECIALLY AFTERNOON.
WITHIN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET...12Z
OBSERVED SOUNDINGS AND MORE RECENT WSR-88D VWP DATA ARE INDICATIVE
OF LONG/MODESTLY CURVING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...WHICH WILL BE VERY
FAVORABLE FOR LINE-EMBEDDED VORTICIES AND NEAR/PRE-CONVECTIVE LINE
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF AT LEAST POCKETS OF WIND DAMAGE AND A FEW
TORNADOES. THE SEVERE THREAT MAY GRADUALLY INCREASE/BECOME A BIT
MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE MORNING /AND ESPECIALLY AFTERNOON/ SUCH
THAT A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ESPECIALLY FOR FAR SOUTHEAST
TX/SOUTHWEST LA.

..GUYER.. 03/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON   28609540 30479478 32209422 33099358 32849236 31479233
            29459273 29299397 28609540

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 9:46 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Calcasieu and 18 more7 hr
Mar 20, 2:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Cameron, Evangeline and 10 more94 min
Mar 20, 3:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 13 more88 min
Mar 20, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Grant, Jackson, Natchitoches and 3 more117 min
Mar 19, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more9 hr
Mar 19, 8:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 30 more53 min
Mar 19, 9:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Burnet, Coryell, Ellis and 18 more119 min
Mar 19, 11:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Burleson, Caldwell and 28 more67 min
Mar 20, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar and 52 more9 hr
Mar 20, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Calhoun, Colorado, DeWitt, Duval and 13 more92 min
Mar 20, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.