Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 92

March 20, 201224 parishes in Louisiana; 9 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 20, 2012, 9:46 AM CDT for 24 parishes in Louisiana; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2012, 9:46 AM CDT (14:46 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine35 min
Mar 20, 11:31 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVDe Soto, Natchitoches, Sabine29 min
Mar 20, 11:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson3 hr
Mar 20, 11:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine55 min
Mar 20, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine65 min
Mar 20, 12:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn60 min
Mar 20, 12:54 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Winn36 min
Mar 20, 12:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHJefferson3 hr
Mar 20, 1:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Red River, Winn41 min
Mar 20, 1:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHJasper7 hr
Mar 20, 1:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Grant, Jackson, Natchitoches, Winn56 min
Mar 20, 2:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHJasper, Newton3 hr
Mar 20, 2:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHJasper, Newton5 hr
Mar 20, 2:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHOrange7 hr
Mar 20, 2:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon5 hr
Mar 20, 2:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu29 min
Mar 20, 3:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn6 hr
Mar 20, 3:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 395 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 221 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
395 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
754 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

960 
WWUS20 KWNS 201446
SEL2
SPC WW 201446
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-202200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 92
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 AM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN LOUISIANA
       EXTREME EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 945 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR
TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...N-S LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EWD
FROM E TX INTO WRN LA IN ADVANCE OF A CLOSED LOW NEAR THE NM/TX
BORDER.  AN INFLUX OF BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S
WILL SUPPORT MODERATE INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE...DESPITE
CLOUDS THAT WILL SLOW SURFACE HEATING SOMEWHAT.
ADDITIONALLY...LOW-LEVEL SLY SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR CIRCULATIONS IN
THE LINE AND AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 9:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Calcasieu and 15 more87 min
Mar 20, 2:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Cameron, Evangeline and 10 more94 min
Mar 20, 3:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 13 more88 min
Mar 20, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Grant, Jackson, Natchitoches and 3 more117 min
Mar 19, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more9 hr
Mar 19, 8:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 30 more53 min
Mar 19, 9:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Burnet, Coryell, Ellis and 18 more119 min
Mar 19, 11:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Burleson, Caldwell and 28 more67 min
Mar 20, 12:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar and 52 more9 hr
Mar 20, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Calhoun, Colorado, DeWitt, Duval and 13 more92 min
Mar 20, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.