Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 277

March 18, 20128 counties in Oklahoma; 19 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 18, 2012, 7:37 PM CDT for 8 counties in Oklahoma; 19 counties in Texas. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2012, 7:37 PM CDT (00:37 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2012, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4154 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

466 
ACUS11 KWNS 190038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190037
OKZ000-TXZ000-190130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0277
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX THROUGH ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 80...

VALID 190037Z - 190130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 80 CONTINUES.

IT APPEARS THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN IN WRN OK THROUGH
0130Z OR SO IN ASSOCIATION WITH TORNADIC SUPERCELL OVER GREER COUNTY
MOVING NEWD TOWARD SERN BECKHAM AND SWRN WASHITA COUNTIES. A MORE
LIMITED THREAT EXISTS FARTHER SW INTO NWRN TX. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE OK SUPERCELL...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE ON A
DECREASING TREND. HOWEVER...OTHER SEVERE STORM MAY DEVELOP OVER WRN
TX BETWEEN 03-06Z.

SUPERCELL OVER WRN OK AND REMAINS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED VERY
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. ELSEWHERE STORMS OVER NWRN TX ARE
BEGINNING TO STRUGGLE AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. OTHER ACTIVITY IN
WRN TX SE OF LUBBOCK IS DEVELOPING IN RELATIVELY DRY AIR NEAR
RETREATING DRYLINE. MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS APPEARS TO BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. DRYLINE WILL CONTINUE TO RETREAT
WWD...AND WITH ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
INCREASING. THIS PROCESS IN CONJUNCTION WITH WEAKENING DRYLINE
CIRCULATION AND LIMITED FORCING FOR DEEPER ASCENT SUGGEST MOST
STORMS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND AND SEVERE
EVENTS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED.

OTHER SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING...AS THE DEEPER
FORCING ACCOMPANYING THE PACIFIC FRONT CURRENTLY OVER ERN NM
INTERCEPTS THE DRYLINE.

..DIAL.. 03/19/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON   36839975 35979908 34749895 33539932 32380064 32680142
            34520074 35990068 36860090 36839975

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills and 2 more35 min
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Ellis, Harper53 min
Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills83 min
Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 19 more4 hr
Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 21 more86 min
Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin and 15 more115 min
Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Love, Marshall90 min
Mar 19, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 14 more95 min
Mar 19, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 11 more5 hr
Mar 19, 6:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 9 more58 min
Mar 19, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 6 more5 hr
Mar 18, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 13 more96 min
Mar 18, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Coke and 39 more11 hr
Mar 18, 11:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBriscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Garza, Hale, Hall and 6 more4 hr
Mar 19, 4:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Fisher, Foard, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 16 more92 min
Mar 19, 4:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Fisher and 22 more7 hr
Mar 19, 10:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Irion, Jones, Nolan, Runnels and 4 more89 min
Mar 19, 2:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBandera, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Coleman and 42 more7 hr
Mar 19, 6:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 47 more85 min
Mar 19, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 26 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.