Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 293

March 19, 20124 counties in Arkansas; McDonald County, Missouri; 20 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 19, 2012, 3:55 PM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas; McDonald County, Missouri; 20 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2012, 3:55 PM CDT (20:55 UTC)
Expired
Mar 19, 2012, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 25 counties

Benton County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, McDonald County, MO, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 974 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2012-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 334 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
974 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
407 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

344 
ACUS11 KWNS 192055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192055 
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-192230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL/EASTERN OK TO ADJACENT PARTS OF
NORTHWEST AR/SOUTHWEST MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 192055Z - 192230Z

CONCERN EXISTS FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT INTO PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK AS WELL AS ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OK AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST AR/SOUTHWEST MO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED SOON ESPECIALLY FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN
LIKELY AS WELL.

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHEAST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK AND INTO NORTH TX AT
MID-AFTERNOON. BEAR/JUST BEHIND THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...A HYBRID
BOW/SUPERCELL ONGOING ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TX /WISE COUNTY AS OF
2045Z/ MAY CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD AND POSE A SEVERE THREAT
INITIALLY INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OK. GIVEN THAT STORMS MAY
SPREAD INTO OK ALONG/JUST BEHIND THE OUTFLOW WITHIN A HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT...A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED FOR AN INCREASING CONCERN OF
DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

..GUYER.. 03/19/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   33899717 35299626 36429530 36839437 35499396 33969534
            33899717

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more5 hr
Mar 19, 6:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington58 min
Mar 19, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more5 hr
Mar 19, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess, Grundy and 12 more95 min
Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 2 more53 min
Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills and 2 more35 min
Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Ellis, Harper53 min
Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills83 min
Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 19 more4 hr
Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 21 more86 min
Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin and 15 more115 min
Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Love, Marshall90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.