Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 88
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 19, 2012, 6:53 PM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 12 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 19, 2012, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 20, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 7:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, Pittsburg | 6 hr |
| Mar 19, 7:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Muskogee | 29 min |
| Mar 19, 7:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 42 min |
| Mar 19, 7:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 34 min |
| Mar 19, 8:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 43 min |
| Mar 19, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 61 min |
| Mar 19, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah | 28 min |
| Mar 19, 8:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 6 hr |
| Mar 19, 8:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah | 39 min |
| Mar 19, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 2 more | 41 min |
| Mar 19, 9:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha | 6 hr |
| Mar 19, 9:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Benton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 6 hr |
| Mar 19, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 61 min |
| Mar 19, 9:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford, Washington | 33 min |
| Mar 19, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 64 min |
| Mar 19, 10:54 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee and 2 more | 12 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 631 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -118 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 721 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 246 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 217 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
505
WWUS20 KWNS 192350
SEL8
SPC WW 192350
ARZ000-OKZ000-200500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 88
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT FROM 655 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86...WW 87...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN FORMING IN THE WARM
SECTOR ACROSS EASTERN OK...WHERE STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND
SUFFICIENT CAPE ARE PRESENT. THEREFORE...HAVE UPGRADED THE ONGOING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TO A TORNADO WATCH FOR THIS REGION.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 3:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 95 min |
| Mar 19, 4:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 19, 6:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 58 min |
| Mar 18, 7:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson and 2 more | 53 min |
| Mar 18, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills and 2 more | 35 min |
| Mar 18, 11:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Ellis, Harper | 53 min |
| Mar 19, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills | 83 min |
| Mar 19, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 19 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 19, 3:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 21 more | 86 min |
| Mar 19, 10:05 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin and 15 more | 115 min |
| Mar 19, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Love, Marshall | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.